Report 4: Interim Evaluation


E.8Opportunities for disabled people in business & disabled access to transport



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E.8Opportunities for disabled people in business & disabled access to transport


There is no evidence available yet on the opportunities provided by the Games for disabled people in business. As noted above, this will be addressed in the final evaluation of CompeteFor. Section 4.7 highlights some notable achievements in the area of employability for disabled people.

The GLA, TfL and ODA have taken forward accessible transport improvements linked to the Games. Overall, more than £6.5 billion has been invested to improve the transport network and ensure the smooth running of the Games.94 As described in Report 3, some improvements were planned anyway and have been accelerated or enhanced due to the Games (for example improvements to Stratford station) and some would not have happened without the Games (for example Southfields station improvements).

In terms of London's tube network there has been a continued programme of tube station upgrades (for example 250 wider aisle gates have been installed). Approaching a quarter, 24%, of tube stations have step free routes. There is now step free access in Green Park station, completed in 2011, and in Kings Cross and Southfields stations (which are all key stations for the Games). Improvements to Southfields station took place due to the Games and its need to serve the tennis venue at Wimbledon. According to the latest statistics, 78 station improvements will be complete by the Games. In addition, on the Docklands Light Railway (DLR) the line's capacity has been increased and new rail cars have been provided.95

Though all buses have been accessible since 2005 the proportion of accessible bus stops has now more than doubled since 2008 to more than 60% (this figure is up from 50% from data reported in our Report 3).96

On the rail network in London, 38% of all London's rail stations have step-free routes (and according to latest data this will be 42% by end of 2012. Additionally, there has been investment in train improvements and new trains since Report 3.97

New travel information tools have been established (eg films to show how disabled access ramps work).The new travel mentoring scheme has proved popular, enabling disabled people to make 9,000 journeys a year with a 'buddy' or mentor to help them get familiar with their route enabling them eventually to travel independently.



E.9Summary research question


What have been the economic impacts of the Games, particularly in terms of employment and GVA?

The economic impacts of the Games are occurring through two broad mechanisms. The first relates to the direct demand side effects on expenditure flows. Patterns of spend directly related to the preparation and staging of the Games can be derived from the management information systems of the ODA and LOCOG. The second mechanism relates to the ongoing impacts associated with legacy interventions and other indirect effects where supplementary analysis is required to generate outcome estimates.

Using a modelling approach it is estimated that ODA spend could have resulted in gross impacts of £8.2 billion of GVA (£2008 prices) and approximately 175,000 job years of employment in the UK over the period from 2007 to the end of Q1 2012. This gross impact is based on £6.5 billion of spending by ODA during this period.

Applying our displacement assumptions, our net UK GDP impacts are 88% of the level of the gross impacts above. The net GVA impact is estimated at £7.3 billion (£2008 prices) and the number of job years falls by just over 10% to 158,600.



Figure 4: 'Net' regional GVA and employment impacts of ODA spend (2008 prices)




Total Output (£m)

Total GVA (£m)

Total Job Years of Employment

Total Earnings (£m)

London

5,120

2,800

39,500

1,170

South East

2,270

1,050

24,990

580

East of England

2,100

950

23,250

520

West Midlands

1,270

580

16,610

320

East Midlands

820

380

11,040

210

North West

870

370

9,810

200

Yorkshire and the Humber

620

280

7,820

150

Scotland

590

290

7,310

150

South West

570

270

8,200

140

North East

250

120

2,990

60

Wales

240

110

4,390

70

Northern Ireland

190

80

2,710

50

Total

14,910

7,280

158,620

3,620

Source: Oxford Economics.

The economic modelling planned for Report 5 should benefit from more accurate displacements assumptions arising from the various on-going evaluations and studies.

The London, South East and East of England regions have enjoyed the bulk of economic benefits of ODA spend in terms of GVA and employment. However some significant benefits are estimated in regions further afield while other regions and nations have benefitted substantially from impacts through the supply chain. Interim evaluation evidence indicates that there has been a good geographical spread of businesses registered on CompeteFor, the portal which was established to ensure equal access to information on Games opportunities.

There is limited evidence to date of the ongoing economic impacts of the Games. The LDA's evaluation of LEST, the key Games-related employability and skills initiative in London, estimates that the programme generated net GVA of £219 million up to the end of 2010/11 by enabling job vacancies to be filled. According to recent research for London and Partners, the net tourism gain to the UK economy of the Games could be up to £1.24 billion (at 2011 prices) for the period 2007-2017.





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