Impact Turns Turn: closer US-India relations increase Pakistani terror
The News International 15 — 2015 (“US-India Strategic Cooperation – a Threat to Pakistan?,” The News International (Pakistan), May 7, Available Online at https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/39199-us-india-strategic-cooperation-%E2%80%94-a-threat-to-pakistan#, Accessed 07/20/16, JZ)
The growing cooperation between India and the United States has also caused the super power to take a back seat on the Kashmir issue. The dire need to force dialogue between the two neighbors on the core issues is being ignored in present. Since independence, Pakistan has established that for any sort of reconciliation with India will be after reaching a compromise on the Kashmir issue. Ultimately, it comes down to India getting a deal that is clearly not even on the negotiating table with Pakistan. By all facts and accounts, India has been sapping Pakistan’s productive and psychic energy every day for 68 years. With the strained relations between Pakistan and India, support from US for Indian military modernisation is equivalent to weakening Pakistan’s military position in South Asia, directly threatening Pakistan’s very existence. India had deliberately kept pressure on Pakistan’s eastern border to divert attention and facilitate the escape of terrorist groups into Afghanistan. This is especially in motion after the launch of Zarb-e-Azb. The fact that India cannot openly decide to emulate the Israelis in Lebanon is of great significance. They may be able to make short term tactical gains, getting the satisfaction of killing a few suspected ‘terrorists’ along with many innocent civilians and even occupying a small chunk of Pakistani territory temporarily. But in the long run, the risk of spectacular strategic failure leading to more and bigger terrorist attacks and possibly a nuclear conflagration is great in the region. Pakistan is almost as strong militarily, if not more, as India. Any reckless adventure by India will almost certainly relieve pressure on al-Qaeda and TTP, strengthen support for Pakistan’s military, weaken its democracy and help in the emergence of a new, powerful, popularly supported resist group in South Asia. This is precisely why great thought should be given to the indirect and direct consequences of Indo-US military cooperation for weakening Pakistan will only make the terrorist groups stronger. It is opportunity that they seek.
Turn — Pakistan Relations US-Indo coop causes tensions with Pakistan.
Panda 16 — Ankit Panda is a foreign affairs analyst, writer, and editor with expertise in international relations, international security, and geopolitics. He is currently an editor at the Council on Foreign Relations, an editor at The Diplomat Magazine, and a political risk consultant. At The Diplomat, Panda authors daily analysis and commentaries on international politics, security, economics, and culture, focusing on the broader Asia-Pacific region. He is a Carnegie New Leader at the Carnegie Council on Ethics in International Affairs. 6/8/16 5 Takeaways on US-India Relations After Modi's Meeting With Obama, http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/5-takeaways-on-us-india-relations-after-modis-meeting-with-obama/ @yangtri 7/20/16
A joint stand against terrorism. U.S.-India joint statements in recent years have included strong statements on terrorism, calling out Pakistan-based terror groups by name. Indeed, Washington recognizes the sensitivity of this issue for New Delhi. This year, the two sides continued this tradition and included a call “for Pakistan to bring the perpetrators of the 2008 Mumbai” attacks to justice. Notably, alongside Mumbai 2008, this year’s statement including the January 2016 Pathankot attack (more on that here). The Pathankot attack crushed what little bonhomie Modi and his Pakistani counterpart had established in late-2015, derailing any possibility of bilateral peace between Islamabad and New Delhi ths year. For the United States, the past few months have also seen a precipitous falling out with Pakistan, the U.S. ally that’s “really no ally at all.” With the disintegration of a proposed sale of U.S. F-16 fighters to Pakistan and the recent drone strike against the Taliban’s former leader in Balochistan, U.S.-Pakistan ties aren’t in the best spot. The strong stance on terrorism in this joint statement with India, with an added mention of Pathankot, could serve to further strain that relationship.
Pakistan-US relations are crucial – key to global relations, Central Asian Stability
The National Opinion 13, 12-9-2013, "Why Pakistan is still important to the US," No Publication, http://www.thenational.ae/thenationalconversation/editorial/why-pakistan-is-still-important-to-the-us WP
When Chuck Hagel, the United States secretary of defence, landed in Pakistan yesterday, it was to a welcome, and a relationship, strained by America’s ongoing drone strikes in the country’s tribal belts. US-Pakistani relations have been tense since the raid on Pakistan territory that killed Osama bin Laden in 2011. But even before that, Washington’s relations with Islamabad had become progressively more problematic. That is a mistake. Despite disagreements, there are sound reasons for the US to maintain good relations with Pakistan. Mr Hagel’s presence – the first visit by a US defence secretary in nearly four years – was a tacit acceptance that relations with Islamabad had room for improvement. He noted soon after his arrival that Pakistan had “provided tremendous support ... in the war on terror”. However, there is no question that Pakistan’s significance to the US goes beyond terrorism. Pakistan is one of the biggest recipients of economic aid from China – often seemingly targeted to annoy or provoke India and Iran. Islamabad’s relations with Beijing reached a milestone earlier this year when it handed over management of the Gwadar port to China. The port has geostrategic and political significance for US policy and interests in the region: it will link China to the Arabian Sea and to the Strait of Hormuz, the gateway for one-third of the world’s traded oil. If used as a Chinese naval base, the port will have new implications, not only for the US but also for India. China is also reportedly investing in Pakistan’s nuclear energy projects, which raises the risk of proliferation. So, the US should have serious concerns over such cooperation. If these were the only pieces of the geopolitical puzzle in the region, it would be fair to expect a competitive two-bloc formation to take shape in South Asia: China and Pakistan on one side, and India and the US on the other. But the puzzle is more complicated than that. Thanks to its location, Pakistan will inevitably play a central role in the future of Afghanistan, and ultimately the stability and economic interdependence of much of Central Asia. That is why Afghanistan’s stability is unthinkable without Pakistan’s cooperation. That is also why the US should demonstrate a more nuanced approach to its relations with Pakistan. It must understand that it cannot launch drone strikes at will or sign deals that appear to disadvantage Pakistan or favour India without there being some consequence to tripartite dynamics.
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