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- 2ac – regional econ – florida – global econ i/l Florida economy underpins global trade networks Keiser, 3/27
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- Florida is key to sustained growth Pew 14
- Florida’s overall economy is on the brink Benn 14
- Banks prove White 12/31/13
- 2ac – regional econ – asteroids ! Asteroid has a four year timeframe and causes extinction Whitehouse 2
- February, 2019
1ac – regional econ – florida – space scenario Florida economy is key to the success of the space industry – solves space scientific leadership, R&D, tech breakthroughs, and the economy FSC 12 (Florida Senate Committee, EXPANDING FLORIDA’S ROLE IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY http://www.flsenate.gov/PublishedContent/Session/2012/InterimReports/2012-135ms.pdf Interim Report 2012-2013 Florida Senate Committee on Military Affairs, Space, and Domestic Security)//twemchen ¶ Issue Description ¶ Florida is home to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s (NASA) launch facilities for the former ¶ Space Shuttle Program and numerous other scientific and technical programs. Florida is also home to some of the ¶ most outstanding colleges and universities in the world – both public and private. Many of the institutions have ¶ first class research programs and faculty working on cutting edge processes. ¶ ¶ The significant impact which university-based scientific research has on economic growth, global competition, ¶ and the enhancement of everyday activities is generally not contested. Likewise, academic research is a crucial ¶ element needed to expand Florida’s role in the space industry. Despite being a leader in the space industry, there ¶ are concerns about the abilities of Florida research universities in attracting federal funds for scientific research ¶ and development (R&D). ¶ ¶ This report seeks to explore the current programs or efforts in Florida which focus on enhancing academic R&D ¶ in Florida, specifically in space-related disciplines, and identify ways for the state to capitalize on these existing ¶ opportunities. Additionally, this project also briefly addresses NASA spinoff technology and future opportunities ¶ in Florida relating to space tourism and satellite remote sensing. ¶ Background ¶ Florida is a leader in the space industry as the home to a large number of major aviation and aerospace companies ¶ as well as other key space industry assets including NASA, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, and additional U.S. ¶ military bases. In addition to the impressive space infrastructure, Florida’s geographic location, optimal climate ¶ conditions, and extremely knowledgeable technical workforce contribute to the state’s ability to be a space ¶ industry leader. ¶ ¶ With the retirement of NASA’s Space Shuttle Program earlier this year, there is a need for Florida to diversify its ¶ capabilities in the space technology field. For over 50 years, Florida’s geographic features and technological ¶ infrastructure has allowed the state to serve the space industry as an exceptional civil and military launch location. ¶ In an effort to preserve Florida’s existing technological infrastructure and workforce, it is imperative that Florida ¶ create an environment that is conducive to exploiting space-based technologies outside the launch industry. ¶ ¶ As the fourth largest state in the nation, Florida is equipped with a strong academic research infrastructure with ¶ 11 public universities, 28 public colleges, and 29 private, not-for profit academic institutions. Around the globe, ¶ university-based R&D has proven to be an economic stimulator, in which technologies are developed and ¶ transferred into commercialization and, as a result, create job opportunities. There is widespread agreement that ¶ academic R&D is vital to the U.S. global economy and “is a key to economic competitiveness and the ¶ technological breakthroughs that improve our lives.”1¶ Researchers propose that university research should be ¶ recognized as a high-growth industry, given that “discoveries, often springing from U.S. universities, drive the ¶ growth of new high-technology businesses that propel jobs and prosperity.”2 Solves asteroid deflection Friedman 11 (Lou. recently stepped down after 30 years as Executive Director of The Planetary Society. He continues as Director of the Society's LightSail Program and remains involved in space programs and policy. Before co-founding the Society with Carl Sagan and Bruce Murray, Lou was a Navigation and Mission Analysis Engineer and Manager of Advanced Projects at JPL (Lou, The Space Review, “Space Power,” 2/14, http://www.thespacereview.com/article/1778/1)//twemchen American leadership in space is much more desired that resented—except when it gets used unilaterally, as in the past Administration’s call for “dominance in cislunar space.” Asian countries (China, Japan, India) are especially interested in lunar landings; Western countries, including the US, much less so. However, cooperating with Asian countries in lunar science and utilization would be both a sign of American leadership and of practical benefit to US national interests. Apollo 11 astronaut Buzz Aldrin has been a leader advocating such cooperation. At the same time American leadership can be extended by leading spacefaring nations into the solar system with robotic and human expeditions to other worlds. The US can’t do everything alone. Climate monitoring, Earth observation, space weather prediction, and ultimately asteroid deflection are huge and vital global undertakings that require international participation. That is also true with exploration projects sending robots and human to other worlds. American leadership in these areas is welcomed and used by other countries, even as they develop their own national programs. Extinction Matheny, 7 (Jason G Matheny, Prof of Health Policy and Management at the Bloomberg School of Public Health at Johns Hopkins University, “Reducing the Risk of Human Extinction,” Risk Analysis Volume 27 Number 5, Oct. 15 2007, http://www.upmc-biosecurity.org/website/resources/publications/2007_orig-articles/2007-10-15-reducingrisk.html)//twemchen Even if extinction events are improbable, the expected values of countermeasures could be large, as they include the value of all future lives. This introduces a discontinuity between the CEA of extinction and nonextinction risks. Even though the risk to any existing individual of dying in a car crash is much greater than the risk of dying in an asteroid impact, asteroids pose a much greater risk to the existence of future generations (we are not likely to crash all our cars at once) (Chapman, 2004 ). The "death-toll" of an extinction-level asteroid impact is the population of Earth, plus all the descendants of that population who would otherwise have existed if not for the impact. There is thus a discontinuity between risks that threaten 99% of humanity and those that threaten 100%. 2ac – regional econ – florida – global econ i/l Florida economy underpins global trade networks Keiser, 3/27—Vice Chancellor of Florida Chamber of Commerce (3/27/15, "A GLOBAL ECONOMY MEANS OPPORTUNITIES FOR FLORIDA’S FUTURE", Florida Chamber of Commerce, www.flchamber.com/article/a-global-economy-means-opportunities-for-floridas-future/)//twemchen Florida’s economy is moving in the right direction again. Recent polls from the Florida Chamber’s Political Institute confirm that likely voters remain confident in our economy’s recovery. But while our state is moving in the right direction, we are at a pivotal turning point. Florida is now moving towards becoming the hub for global trade. For Keiser University, a global economy equals opportunities for Florida’s future talent and workforce. By providing degree programs in Florida, and in China and Nicaragua, we are providing educational opportunities and options to students who will move our state, and the world, forward. For over 40 years, included in the University’s mission is a focus on preparing students to effectively compete, lead and serve in Florida and the global marketplace. We must continue to work towards attracting and retaining the best talent we can to Florida. And we must do this in high wage fields, which will help diversify Florida’s economy. Our state has a strong foundation in tourism and agriculture, but we can now build on foundation by providing opportunities for innovation, STEM, research and development and more. At Keiser, we believe closing the talent gap is key to sustained economic development. And what better way to grow, than to grow globally? To get involved with the Florida Chamber’s global efforts, contact Alice Ancona at aancona@flchamber.com. Florida’s economy is key to global growth – jobs and wages Pounds, 14 – business writer and editor for the Sun-Sentinel for more than two decades (March 2014, Marcia Heroux, “Florida now a front-runner for U.S. economy, economist says,” http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2014-03-25/business/sfl-snaith-economic-forecast_1_unemployment-rate-central-florida-u-s-economy)//twemchen Florida's economy in 2014 is leading the nation in job growth and the overall recovery, despite once being a straggler, said University of Central Florida economist Sean Snaith in his first quarter economic forecast released Tuesday. But now Florida is the front-runner, he says, pointing to the declining unemployment rate, payroll job creation and overall economic activity. In South Florida, employment is expected to grow 2.3 percent each year and unemployment to moderate to an average of 5.7 percent. The average annual wage is forecast to grow by 2.9 percent to $55,200, he said. Snaith said he expects the Florida economy to continue to outpace the nation as a whole over the next several years. Unemployment rates have fallen from their peaks, and they will continue to decline through 2017, he said. The pace of decline in unemployment will slow as labor-force growth picks up. Florida is key to sustained growth Pew 14 (http://www.pewstates.org/projects/stateline/headlines/which-states-will-generate-jobs-in-2014-85899531072 “Which States Will Generate Jobs in 2014?”, By Pamela M. Prah, Staff Writer 1/7/14)//twemchen After four years of a fragile and uneven recovery, the U.S. job machine is likely to kick into high gear in 2014. Even recession-battered states such as Arizona and Florida are expected to generate jobs at a healthier clip. 2ac – regional econ – florida – brink Our internal link outweighs on timeframe—the next couple of months are critical—also devastates tourism Fishkind, 5/22—Economic Adviser and principal at Fishkinda & Associates (Hank, "Fishkind: Consumers remain fearful on economy", Floriday Today, www.floridatoday.com/story/money/economy/fishkind-q-a/2015/05/22/fishkind-consumers-remain-fearful-economy/27707417/)//twemchen QUESTION: Many expected the national economy to turn around and we would see considerable growth but we haven’t. What’s happening? Fishkind: It’s very disappointing. We had thought the temporary factors — the weather, the West Coast ports being closed down on a big strike — would go away, and the economy would rebound as it did in 2014. It’s just not happening. Retail sales bounced up in March, but in April they were flat, less than one-tenth of 1 percent up. It appears that people are not spending all the extra money they have from the lower gas prices. They’re not spending the extra money they have from more jobs. And it is a bit surprising, almost unprecedented. Consumers are taking a holiday, even when they have extra money in their pockets. Q: What do you think is behind that? Fishkind: I think there are a couple of things. I think that, one, people are still not totally convinced that oil prices and gasoline prices are going to stay low. Secondly, the rate of growth in the economy, particularly the slow pace of wage gains, if any, really has made people nervous about their economic situation. So what we’re seeing is interesting. People are spending more money on eating and drinking and going out and on vacations, which is great for Florida. That spending is up in double-digit rates. It’s good spending. But people aren’t buying goods. They’re not buying new clothes. They’re not buying new cars. And that is surprising. And that’s what’s holding down retail sales so far this year. Q: How are economists reacting to this news. Is this something we should be concerned about? Fishkind: If this continues for another couple of months, then yeah, we’d have to greatly reduce our projections for Gross Domestic Product this year. And Florida’s economy is very sensitive to changes in Gross Domestic Product and interest rates. Interest rates will probably stay lower because growth is lower and the Fed will be less likely to increase rates anytime soon because it’s very slower growth and it’s surprising. And secondly it would have greater implications for Florida. Q: Exactly what are the implications for Florida. Fishkind: So far, we’ve seen spending on vacations and eating and drinking places and those kinds of things, which really help our economy. But that is unlikely to continue unless we get more growth in Gross Domestic Product. Instead, what would happen would be the whole economy would slow down, and we would see less spending, and less growth in spending on eating and drinking and vacations and things like that. So the next couple of months are really going to be critical, and we’re going to be watching very carefully what households and consumers do. Q: And what do you think households and consumers will do? What do you think is coming up next in the next couple of months? Fishkind: We’ll see some recovery. But I do have to reduce my projections for Gross Domestic Product. I would have thought would see an economy growing 3 1/2 to 4 percent this year and probably we’re going to see 2 1/2 percent growth. So it’s a significant reduction based on what we’ve seen so far this year. Q: So would this slowdown affect the tourism outlook? Fishkind: It could. I’ve been very optimistic, based on a strong national economy, high consumer confidence, low gas prices. We still have low gas prices, relatively speaking, but consumer confidence has begun to ebb a little bit in the last month. And with this slowing in the national economy, it does put at risk this very optimistic projection I’ve had for tourism. I think the national economy is going to turn out a little better than what the current data suggests. I think we’re going to be more like 2013 where after a month or two of sort of choppy retail sales, we got a pretty good gain in the second half of 2013. I’m thinking 2015 is going to be like 2013, and I believe we’ll still have a good tourism season. As the warm weather gets warmer and warmer, consumers will be able to spend a little more and be a little more confident. Florida’s overall economy is on the brink Benn 14 (http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/01/01/3847999/theres-economic-optimism-for-2014.html DOUGLAS HANKS, MARTHA BRANNIGAN AND EVAN S. BENN 1/1/14 There’s economic optimism for 2014 …but not a lot)//twemchen South Florida home prices will keep going up, but not as dramatically as they have been.¶ Employers will continue adding jobs, but will still face familiar headwinds.¶ An airline merger will bring more international visitors and cargo through Miami. But those trade gains may be offset by the falling price of gold.¶ In nearly every sector, South Florida’s economic outlook for the new year is a mixed bag of cautious optimism.¶ Analysts point to a relatively strong finish to 2013 as a sign that positive momentum will continue into 2014. But temper expectations, they warn, that this year will restore the region to pre-2007 prosperity. Banks prove White 12/31/13 (South Florida banks expect to grow in 2014, December 31, 2013|By Donna Gehrke-White, Sun Sentinel http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2013-12-31/business/fl-south-florida-healthier-banks-economy-20131225_1_bauer-financial-south-florida-top-10-banks)//twemchen ¶ ¶ No South Florida bank went under in 2013 and earnings reports were robust throughout the banking sector. That's good news, and there's more to come in 2014, with a healthier banking sector freer to lend more to both businesses and consumers.¶ ¶ "Things are getting better," said Richard Brown, chief economist of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. that last oversaw the closing of a South Florida bank in October 2012 when Tamarac's First East Side Savings Bank went under.¶ ¶ ¶ ¶ Banks in Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade counties in 2013 got a welcome gift from the real estate sector, which shot up in double-digt value early in the year.¶ ¶ "The real estate market turned on a dime," he said.¶ ¶ That helped banks trying to unload foreclosed properties while it kept some homeowners from dropping over the edge into foreclosure, FDIC's Brown said.¶ ¶ While conditions still aren't up to pre-recession levels, South Florida banks are much healthier than they were in the dark days when the entire state led the nation in bank closings in 2010, according to Brown and FDIC spokesman David Barr.¶ ¶ "The banking industry has made an unbelievably quick rebound in South Florida," said Raul Valdes-Fauli, president and CEO of South Florida-based Professional Bank. "So much so, that I fear we may have missed a few steps and might be setting ourselves up for another downturn.¶ ¶ "We all need to be cognizant of that."¶ ¶ Still, his bank increased its "loan books 45 percent in the past 12 months," Valdes-Fauli said. "The bank overall has grown in 2013, and we project healthy growth for next year, too."¶ ¶ Many other South Florida banks have been growing. Boca Raton-based First Southern Bank, for example, expanded into downtown Fort Lauderdale's financial district in May to cater to small businesses.¶ ¶ Overall, the number of bad loans continued to drop at South Florida banks, said Karen Dorway, president of the Coral Gables-based research company, Bauer Financial.¶ ¶ "We are very optimistic," about an even better year ahead, she said.¶ ¶ Her company gave its highest award of five stars to several South Florida banks — including the largest, Miami Lakes-based BankUnited — and the newest — Broward Bank of Commerce — that opened its doors in 2009 in Fort Lauderdale. Broward Bank was the state's No. 1 success story in lending to small businesses, with the help of federal money, according to a U.S. Treasury report published in October.¶ ¶ In December, BankUnited was named among the top 10 banks in the country, ranked as No. 8 by Forbes. It also was named the top-performing, publicly-owned mid-sized bank in America by Bank Director magazine.¶ ¶ "South Florida has really led Florida out of the recession. We expect it to get better," Kanas said in an interview. "We see continued improvement in the South Florida market."¶ ¶ ¶ Part of the bank's expected growth will be in new accounts and giving out more loans, he said.¶ ¶ New commercial loans at BankUnited, including real estate loans and leases, grew to $4.5 billion in the third quarter that ended Sept. 30, jumping about 20 percent — or $762 million.¶ ¶ Since September, BankUnited has continued its upward lending, giving out in December, for example, a $60 million loan that will reduce costs and free up money for ongoing improvements to the Lauderdale Marine Center in Fort Lauderdale, a 50-acre boatyard and marina, one of the nation's largest.¶ ¶ "We'll grow loans probably in excess of a billion dollars over a quarter," Kanas said. "We expect to see dramatic growth."¶ ¶ South Florida's economy should grow more in 2014 as other banks increase their lending to businesses, said South Florida banking analyst Ken Thomas.¶ ¶ That will help add more jobs to the area as companies get the money to expand, he said.¶ ¶ Regulations on commercial lending haven't tightened as much as they have on mortgages, Thomas added. That's more of an incentive for banks to focus on lending to small businesses, although Thomas expects them also to give out more mortgages.¶ ¶ Local banks should also make more profits in 2014 as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. "We know rates are going up," Thomas said. "That's even better news for banks' spreadsheets" as the banks will make more money from new loans' higher interest payments, he said.¶ ¶ Still, South Florida banks aren't at their healthiest pre-recession level, he and other analysts said. That may take another two years or so.¶ ¶ "The banks in South Florida are in pretty good shape but there are a handful that could use a little help," said James Cassel, chairman and co-founder of Cassel Salpeter & Co., an independent South Florida investment banking firm. 2ac – regional econ – asteroids ! Asteroid has a four year timeframe and causes extinction Whitehouse 2 – (Dr. David, Science Editor at BBC Online, “Space Rock ‘On Collision Course’”, BBC News, 7-24, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/2147879.stm)//twemchen Potential devastation¶ Detailed calculations of NT7's orbit suggest many occasions when its projected path through space intersects the Earth's orbit.¶ Researchers estimate that on 1 February, 2019, its impact velocity on the Earth would be 28 km a second - enough to wipe out a continent and cause global climate changes. Innovation key to solve extinction—multiple scenarios Kurzweil 8—BS in Computer Science and Literature in 1970 from MIT, header of tons of entrepreneurial projects (Ray, 13 April 2008, Making the World A Billion Times Better, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/11/AR2008041103326.html)//twemchen **ellipses in original This exponential progress in the power of information technology goes back more than a century to the data-processing equipment used in the 1890 census, the first U.S. census to be automated. It has been a smooth -- and highly predictable -- phenomenon despite all the vagaries of history through that period, includingtwo world wars, the Cold War and the Great Depression. I say highly predictable because, thanks to its exponential power, only technology possesses the scale to address the major challenges -- such as energy and the environment, disease and poverty -- confronting society. That, at least, is the major conclusion of a panel, organized by the National Science Foundation and the National Academy of Engineering, on which I recently participated. Take energy. Today, 70 percent of it comes from fossil fuels, a 19th-century technology. But if we could capture just one ten-thousandth of the sunlight that falls on Earth, we could meet 100 percent of the world's energy needs using this renewable and environmentally friendly source. We can't do that now because solar panels rely on old technology, making them expensive, inefficient, heavy and hard to install. But a new generation ofpanels based on nanotechnology (which manipulates matter at the level of molecules) is starting to overcome these obstacles. The tipping point at which energy from solar panels will actually be less expensive than fossil fuels is only a few years away. The power we are generating from solar is doubling every two years; at that rate, it will be able to meet all our energy needs within 20 years. Nanotechnology itself is an information technology and therefore subject to what I call the "law of accelerating returns," a continual doubling of capability about every year. Venture capital groups and high-tech companies are investing billions of dollars in these new renewable energy technologies. I'm confident that the day is close at hand when we will be able to obtain energy from sunlight using nano-engineered solar panels and store it for use on cloudy days in nano-engineered fuel cells for less than it costs to use environmentally damaging fossil fuels. It's important to understand that exponentials seem slow at first. In the mid-1990s, halfway through the Human Genome Project to identify all the genes in human DNA, researchers had succeeded in collecting only 1 percent of the human genome. But the amount of genetic data was doubling every year, and that is actually right on schedule for an exponential progression. The project was slated to take 15 years, and if you double 1 percent seven more times you surpass 100 percent. In fact, the project was finished two years early. This helps explain why people underestimate what is technologically feasible over long periods of time -- they think linearly while the actual course of progress is exponential. We see the same progression with other biological technologies as well. Untiljust recently, medicine -- like energy -- was not an information technology. This is now changing as scientists begin to understand how biology works as a set of information processes. The approximately 23,000 genes in our cells are basically software programs, and we are making exponential gains in modeling and simulating the information processes that cracking the genome code has unlocked. We also have new tools, likewise just a few years old, that allow us to actually reprogram our biology in the same way that we reprogram our computers. For example, when the fat insulin receptor gene was turned off in mice, they were able to eat ravenously yet remain slim and obtain the health benefits of being slim. They didn't get heart disease or diabetes and lived 20 percent longer. There are now more than a thousand drugs in the pipeline to turn off the genes that promote obesity, heart disease, cancer and other diseases. We can also turn enzymes off and on, and add genes to the body. I'm an adviser to a company that removes lung cells, adds a new gene, reproduces the gene-enhanced cell a million-fold and then injects it back into the body where it returns to the lungs. This has cured a fatal disease, pulmonary hypertension, in animals and is now undergoing human trials. The important point is this: Now that we can model, simulate and reprogram biology just like we can a computer, it will be subject to the law of accelerating returns, a doubling of capability in less than a year. These technologies will be more than a thousand times more capable in a decade, more than a million times more capable in two decades. We are now adding three months every year to human life expectancy, but given the exponential growth of our ability to reprogram biology, this will soon go into high gear. According to my models, 15 years from now we'll be adding more than a year each year to our remaining life expectancy. This is not a guarantee of living forever, but it does mean that the sands of time will start pouring in rather than only pouring out. What's more, this exponential progression of information technology will affect our prosperity as well. The World Bank has reported, for example, that poverty in Asia has been cut in half over the past decade due to information technologies and that at current rates it will be cut by another 90 percent over the next decade. That phenomenon will spread around the globe. Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 1.61 Mb. Share with your friends:
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