Chicago Debate League 2013/14 Core Files


AC Harms: A/t - #2 “No Nuclear Terrorism” [3/3] 22



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2AC Harms: A/t - #2 “No Nuclear Terrorism” [3/3] 22



5) Terrorists will take advantage of lax border security to launch devastating attacks.
WALSER, 11

[Ray, Senior Policy Analyst specializing in Latin America at The Heritage Foundation, “Iran, Mexican Zetas, and the Southern Terror Express,” 10/12, http://blog.heritage.org/2011/10/12/iran-mexican-zetas-and-the-southern-terror-express/]


A persistent threat scenario against the U.S. has been foreign terrorist organizations—acting independently or in cooperation with violent transnational criminal organizations, and perhaps backed by anti-American regimes in the region—launching a terrorist attack from across our southern border. It is a scenario the Obama Administration has recognized but generally minimized. For example, the U.S. State Department’s 2010 Country Reports on Terrorism reported: The threat of a transnational terrorist attack remained low for most countries in the Western Hemisphere. There were no known operational cells of either al-Qa’ida- or Hizballah-related groups in the hemisphere, although ideological sympathizers in South America and the Caribbean continued to provide financial and moral support to these and other terrorist groups in the Middle East and South Asia. The continued unfolding of the Iran plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador in the U.S. is also a reason to revisit the terror threat in the Americas. In the indictment and yesterday’s press conference, it became clear that co-defendant Manssor Arbabsiar, a naturalized Iranian living in Texas, traveled repeatedly to Mexico in search of hired assassins willing to work for Iranian payoffs. There Arbabsiar thought he was enlisting the services of Mexico’s deadliest, most ruthless criminal organization, the Zetas, to carry out the contract assassination in exchange for $1.5 million in Iranian cash. The Zetas, with their paramilitary tactics and ruthless disregard for human life, would make a perfect fit with terror-minded Iranians. Little wonder Tehran would seek to enlist them as hired executioners to conduct assassinations and wreak havoc in Washington, D.C. The uncovering of the Iran plot is a wake-up call here in the U.S. but also in the Western Hemisphere. It compels us take an even tougher stance against those who eagerly embrace Iran and act as an Iranian conduit into the Western Hemisphere. Hugo Chavez’s Venezuela—followed by nations like Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua, and Cuba—certainly head the list and require ever-increasing scrutiny. The growing Hezbollah threat has been well-documented by Ambassador Roger F. Noriega and Jose R. Cardenas in “The Mounting Hezbollah Threat in Latin America” and by investigative journalist Douglas Farah. Hezbollah works closely with Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and Qods Force, whose operative, Gholam Shakuri, was indicted along with Arbabsiar in the plot.

2AC Harms: A/t - #3 “Violence is Decreasing” [1/3] 23



1) Violence is increasing near the border due to drug cartels expanding their influence in Mexico. Their evidence is only about economic investment, not drug crimes. Extend our 1AC PERKINS AND PLACIDO evidence.
2) Border violence expanding due to drug cartel competition.
SEELKE AND FINKLEA, 13

[Clare, Specialist in Latin American Affairs; Kristin, Analyst in Domestic Security with Congressional Research Service; “U.S.-Mexican Security Cooperation: The Mérida Initiative and Beyond,” 1/14, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R41349.pdf]


Mexico is a major producer and supplier to the U.S. market of heroin, methamphetamine, and marijuana and the major transit country for more than 95% of the cocaine sold in the United States. 7 Mexico is also a consumer of illicit drugs, particularly in northern states where criminal organizations have been paying their workers in product rather than in cash. Illicit drug use in Mexico increased from 2002 to 2008, and then remained relatively level from 2008 to 2011. 8 According to the 2011 National Drug Threat Assessment , Mexican drug trafficking organizations and their affiliates “dominate [in] the supply and wholesale distribution of most illicit drugs in the United States” and are present more than one thousand U.S. cities. 9 The violence and brutality of the Mexican DTOs has escalated as they have battled for control of lucrative drug trafficking routes into the United States and local drug distribution networks in Mexico. U.S. and Mexican officials now often refer to the DTOs as transnational criminal organizations (TCOs) since they have increasingly branched out into other criminal activities, including human trafficking, kidnapping, armed robbery, and extortion. From 2007 to 2011, kidnapping and violent vehicular thefts increased at even faster annual rates than overall homicides in Mexico. 10 The expanding techniques used by the DTOs, which have included the use of car bombs and grenades, have led some scholars, U.S. officials, and Members of Congress to liken DTOs’ tactics to those of armed insurgencies. 11

2AC Harms: A/t - #3 “Violence is Decreasing” [2/3] 24



3) Even if violence is decreasing, the means of violence are escalating. Drug running along the border has allowed cartels to develop military capabilities.
WALSER, 10

[Ray, PhD., senior policy analyst at The Heritage Foundation; “U.S. Strategy Against Mexican Drug Cartels: Flawed and Uncertain,” 4/26, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2010/04/us-strategy-against-mexican-drug-cartels-flawed-and-uncertain]


Because they control entry into the U.S., the Mexican states of Baja California, Chihuahua, Guerrero, Michoacan, and Sinaloa account for nearly 75 percent of Mexico’s drug murders. Ciudad Juarez, across the Rio Grande from El Paso, has developed a reputation as the deadliest city on the planet. In the past five years, more than 1,000 police and military officers have lost their lives in the fight. Targets of cartel gunmen have included former generals, active-duty military officers, and heads of federal and local police agencies, as well as individuals in witness protection programs, print and media journalists, and even recovering addicts seeking help in drug treatment and rehabilitation centers. Moreover, Mexico’s drug violence has spawned a variety of hybrid, hyper-violent criminal organizations such as the cartel-like Zetas that are able to employ military-like professionalism coupled with terrorist-like methods of indiscriminate murders— tactics ominously new to North America. Mexico’s Zetas are studied closely and with considerable intensity by U.S. law enforcement and security strategists.[6] Security analysts describe Mexico’s transition from gangsterism to dangerous hybrid forms of “paramilitary terrorism” with “guerrilla tactics.”[7] The capabilities of the Zetas, for example, include sophisticated intelligence-gathering, often with insider information, coordinated military actions, and deployment of concentrated levels of lethal firepower, as well as an ability to exploit new vulnerabilities such as extortion and the wholesale theft of oil from pipelines. In essence, Mexico’s narco-cartels have constructed what one expert labeled “a parallel government” in which power is shared between elected officials and drug barons.[8]



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