Developed by the Texas Transportation Institute and the Texas Department of Transportation


“Revenue and Expense Statement for the period 2009-2035” Output Window



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3.6 “Revenue and Expense Statement for the period 2009-2035” Output Window
This view shows the Revenues and Expenses projected from 2009-2030. Revenue categories include State Revenues, Federal Reimbursements, and total revenues. Expense categories include the 12 expense categories as determined by TxDOT, costs for each of the five major TxDOT operations strategies, TxDOT financing functions, and costs for new capacity. The final green column provides you with the overall balance projection (in millions) from 2009-2035. (An example output is provided below)


3.7 “Statement of Revenue for the local options selected to 2030” Output Window
Depending on the MPO selected in the Local Revenue Options section of the TRENDS model input, the output will provide you with a local revenue statement from 2010-2030. Each column provides the fiscal year in which the revenue is earned. Each row shows revenue earned from each taxing category. These include: Local Option Gasoline Tax Revenues, Local Option Diesel Tax Revenues, Local Option Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Fee Revenues, and Local Option Vehicle Registration Revenues. The fifth row is a total of all these revenues earned for each fiscal year. The last row is a total of all revenues earned from each taxing category from 2010-2030. (An example comparison of the Houston/Galveston MPO with Capital Area MPO is provided below)



3.8 “Statement of Revenue for the local options selected to 2035” Output Window
Depending on the MPO selected in the Local Revenue Options section of the TRENDS model input, the output will provide you with a local revenue statement from 2010-2035. The columns provide the fiscal year that the revenue is earned. Each row shows revenue earned from each taxing category. These include: Local Option Gasoline Tax Revenues, Local Option Diesel Tax Revenues, Local Option Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Fee Revenues, and Local Option Vehicle Registration Revenues. The fifth row is a total of all these revenues earned for each fiscal year. The last column is a total of all revenues earned from each taxing category from 2010-2030. (An example comparing the Houston/Galveston MPO with Capital Area MPO is provided below)




APPENDIX A – ESTIMATION OF POPULATION
This model employs four alternative population projection scenarios, titled the 1.0, 0.5 and 04 scenario. The 1.0 scenario assumes that population migration rates are equal to those experienced in Texas from 1990 to 2000. The 0.5 Scenario assumes population migration rates one-half the rates experienced from 1990 to 2000. The 04 Scenario assumes migration rates estimated for the period 2000 to 2004. The 07 Scenario assumes migration rates estimated for the period 2000 to 2007. Under these alternative assumptions, the 1.0 Scenario produces the largest population, the 0.5 Scenario produces the smallest future population and the 04 Scenario produces a population that is roughly a mid-range between the 1.0 and 0.5 Scenarios. Alternative projections of future Texas population were secured from the Texas State Data Center website at the following web address: http://txsdc.utsa.edu/.
Details of the results of the alternative population forecasts are presented below.



 

Low MPG Scenario

 

High MPG Scenario

 

Average MPG Scenario

 

Personal

Commercial

 

Personal

Commercial

 

Personal

Commercial

Year

Vehicles

Vehicles

 

Vehicles

Vehicles

 

Vehicles

Vehicles

2006

18.3657

6.0057

 

18.3657

6.0057

 

18.3657

6.0057

2007

19.0761

6.0183

 

19.0857

6.0192

 

19.0809

6.0188

2008

19.8017

6.0322

 

19.8412

6.0357

 

19.8215

6.0340

2009

20.5429

6.0476

 

20.6534

6.0570

 

20.5981

6.0523

2010

21.3000

6.0647

 

21.5627

6.0864

 

21.4313

6.0755

2011

22.0687

6.0882

 

22.5354

6.1338

 

22.3021

6.1110

2012

22.4190

6.1089

 

23.1374

6.1749

 

22.7782

6.1419

2013

22.7793

6.1311

 

23.7531

6.2203

 

23.2662

6.1757

2014

23.1505

6.1548

 

24.4243

6.2706

 

23.7874

6.2127

2015

23.5334

6.1802

 

25.1604

6.3264

 

24.3469

6.2533

2016

23.9288

6.2075

 

25.9733

6.3885

 

24.9510

6.2980

2017

24.3378

6.2368

 

26.8773

6.4579

 

25.6076

6.3474

2018

24.7616

6.2684

 

27.8910

6.5356

 

26.3263

6.4020

2019

25.2014

6.3026

 

29.0376

6.6230

 

27.1195

6.4628

2020

25.6587

6.3395

 

30.3475

6.7216

 

28.0031

6.5306

2021

26.1351

6.3796

 

31.8604

6.8334

 

28.9977

6.6065

2022

26.6324

6.4230

 

33.6301

6.9605

 

30.1313

6.6918

2023

27.1529

6.4704

 

35.7302

7.1059

 

31.4415

6.7882

2024

27.6988

6.5220

 

38.2651

7.2732

 

32.9819

6.8976

2025

28.2728

6.5784

 

41.3873

7.4667

 

34.8300

7.0225

2026

28.8782

6.6401

 

44.9660

7.6704

 

36.9221

7.1553

2027

29.5184

6.7079

 

49.1075

7.8851

 

39.3129

7.2965

2028

30.1977

6.7825

 

53.9533

8.1117

 

42.0755

7.4471

2029

30.9207

6.8648

 

59.6970

8.3513

 

45.3088

7.6080

2030

31.6932

6.9559

 

66.6102

8.6049

 

49.1517

7.7804

2031

32.5129

7.0548

 

71.2729

8.8669

 

51.8929

7.9608

2032

33.3782

7.1608

 

75.5492

9.1370

 

54.4637

8.1489

2033

34.2879

7.2734

 

79.3267

9.4153

 

56.8073

8.3443

2034

35.2408

7.3921

 

82.4998

9.7020

 

58.8703

8.5471

2035

36.2366

7.5164

 

84.9748

9.9975

 

60.6057

8.7570

2036

37.2746

7.6460

 

86.6742

10.3021

 

61.9744

8.9740

2037

38.3547

7.7806

 

87.9744

10.6159

 

63.1646

9.1982

2038

39.4771

7.9199

 

88.8541

10.9392

 

64.1656

9.4296

2039

40.6417

8.0638

 

89.6982

11.2724

 

65.1700

9.6681

2040

41.8490

8.2122

 

90.5459

11.6157

 

66.1974

9.9140



APPENDIX B – COMMERCIAL & PERSONAL VEHICLES

This model employs the use of personal and commercial vehicle fuel efficiency averages when determining fuel efficiency factors as well as vehicle registration. The amount of revenue earned from commercial and personal vehicles is fairly easy to differentiate because 98 percent of commercial vehicles burn diesel fuel and 97 percent of personal vehicles burn gasoline.


According to the Texas Transportation Code Section 501.241, a commercial motor vehicle is defined as:

  • A vehicle (or combination of vehicles) with a gross weight, registered weight, or gross weight rating exceeding 26,000 pounds, that is designed or used for transportation of cargo in furtherance of any commercial enterprise

  • For-hire vehicle used to transport household goods, regardless of gross weight rating

  • Vehicle, including a bus, designed or used to transport more than 15 passengers, including the driver

  • Vehicle defined by 49 CFR §390.5, owned or controlled by someone domiciled in, or a citizen of, a country other than the United States

  • Any other vehicle used in the transport of intrastate or interstate commercial goods

According to the Texas Transportation Code Section 501.241, a passenger motor vehicle is defined as:

  • A passenger car used to transport persons and designed to accommodate 10 or fewer passengers, including the operator.

  • A truck, including a pickup truck, panel delivery truck, or carryall truck, that has a manufacturer's rated carrying capacity of 2,000 pounds or less.

  • A motor vehicle, other than a tractor, that is equipped with a rider's saddle and designed to have when propelled not more than three wheels on the ground.


1 Legislative Budget Board. Overview of the State Highway Fund 0006 Revenues and Allocations, the Texas Mobility Fund, and the Texas Rail Relocation and Improvement Fund. Austin: April 2008.

2 2030 Committee. 2030 Committee Texas Transportation Needs Report. Austin. February 2009. (pp. 25-26)


3 2030 Committee. 2030 Committee Texas Transportation Needs Report. Austin. February 2009. (p. 18)

4 2030 Committee. 2030 Committee Texas Transportation Needs Report. Austin. February 2009. (p. 19)

5 Texas State Senate. Senate Finance Committee and Senate Transportation and Homeland Security Committee, Allocations of State Transportation Resources Hearing. Austin. March 1, 2006.


6 Texas Department of Transportation. Gulf Intracoastal Waterway 2005-2006 Legislative Report. Austin. 2005.

7 Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts web site. Texas Taxes - Texas Automobile Burglary and Theft Prevention Authority Assessment, Accessed 28 March 2010. <http://www.window.state.tx.us/taxinfo/insurance/atp.html>

8 Texas Department of Transportation web site. Proposition 12 Fact sheet, Accessed 28 March 2010. < http://www.dot.state.tx.us/project_information/prop12/facts.htm>


9 House Research Organization. Proposition 14: Allowing borrowing by the Texas Transportation Commission. Austin. 2008.


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