3.6 “Revenue and Expense Statement for the period 2009-2035” Output Window
This view shows the Revenues and Expenses projected from 2009-2030. Revenue categories include State Revenues, Federal Reimbursements, and total revenues. Expense categories include the 12 expense categories as determined by TxDOT, costs for each of the five major TxDOT operations strategies, TxDOT financing functions, and costs for new capacity. The final green column provides you with the overall balance projection (in millions) from 2009-2035. (An example output is provided below)
3.7 “Statement of Revenue for the local options selected to 2030” Output Window
Depending on the MPO selected in the Local Revenue Options section of the TRENDS model input, the output will provide you with a local revenue statement from 2010-2030. Each column provides the fiscal year in which the revenue is earned. Each row shows revenue earned from each taxing category. These include: Local Option Gasoline Tax Revenues, Local Option Diesel Tax Revenues, Local Option Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Fee Revenues, and Local Option Vehicle Registration Revenues. The fifth row is a total of all these revenues earned for each fiscal year. The last row is a total of all revenues earned from each taxing category from 2010-2030. (An example comparison of the Houston/Galveston MPO with Capital Area MPO is provided below)
3.8 “Statement of Revenue for the local options selected to 2035” Output Window
Depending on the MPO selected in the Local Revenue Options section of the TRENDS model input, the output will provide you with a local revenue statement from 2010-2035. The columns provide the fiscal year that the revenue is earned. Each row shows revenue earned from each taxing category. These include: Local Option Gasoline Tax Revenues, Local Option Diesel Tax Revenues, Local Option Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Fee Revenues, and Local Option Vehicle Registration Revenues. The fifth row is a total of all these revenues earned for each fiscal year. The last column is a total of all revenues earned from each taxing category from 2010-2030. (An example comparing the Houston/Galveston MPO with Capital Area MPO is provided below)
APPENDIX A – ESTIMATION OF POPULATION
This model employs four alternative population projection scenarios, titled the 1.0, 0.5 and 04 scenario. The 1.0 scenario assumes that population migration rates are equal to those experienced in Texas from 1990 to 2000. The 0.5 Scenario assumes population migration rates one-half the rates experienced from 1990 to 2000. The 04 Scenario assumes migration rates estimated for the period 2000 to 2004. The 07 Scenario assumes migration rates estimated for the period 2000 to 2007. Under these alternative assumptions, the 1.0 Scenario produces the largest population, the 0.5 Scenario produces the smallest future population and the 04 Scenario produces a population that is roughly a mid-range between the 1.0 and 0.5 Scenarios. Alternative projections of future Texas population were secured from the Texas State Data Center website at the following web address: http://txsdc.utsa.edu/.
Details of the results of the alternative population forecasts are presented below.
|
Low MPG Scenario
|
|
High MPG Scenario
|
|
Average MPG Scenario
|
|
Personal
|
Commercial
|
|
Personal
|
Commercial
|
|
Personal
|
Commercial
|
Year
|
Vehicles
|
Vehicles
|
|
Vehicles
|
Vehicles
|
|
Vehicles
|
Vehicles
|
2006
|
18.3657
|
6.0057
|
|
18.3657
|
6.0057
|
|
18.3657
|
6.0057
|
2007
|
19.0761
|
6.0183
|
|
19.0857
|
6.0192
|
|
19.0809
|
6.0188
|
2008
|
19.8017
|
6.0322
|
|
19.8412
|
6.0357
|
|
19.8215
|
6.0340
|
2009
|
20.5429
|
6.0476
|
|
20.6534
|
6.0570
|
|
20.5981
|
6.0523
|
2010
|
21.3000
|
6.0647
|
|
21.5627
|
6.0864
|
|
21.4313
|
6.0755
|
2011
|
22.0687
|
6.0882
|
|
22.5354
|
6.1338
|
|
22.3021
|
6.1110
|
2012
|
22.4190
|
6.1089
|
|
23.1374
|
6.1749
|
|
22.7782
|
6.1419
|
2013
|
22.7793
|
6.1311
|
|
23.7531
|
6.2203
|
|
23.2662
|
6.1757
|
2014
|
23.1505
|
6.1548
|
|
24.4243
|
6.2706
|
|
23.7874
|
6.2127
|
2015
|
23.5334
|
6.1802
|
|
25.1604
|
6.3264
|
|
24.3469
|
6.2533
|
2016
|
23.9288
|
6.2075
|
|
25.9733
|
6.3885
|
|
24.9510
|
6.2980
|
2017
|
24.3378
|
6.2368
|
|
26.8773
|
6.4579
|
|
25.6076
|
6.3474
|
2018
|
24.7616
|
6.2684
|
|
27.8910
|
6.5356
|
|
26.3263
|
6.4020
|
2019
|
25.2014
|
6.3026
|
|
29.0376
|
6.6230
|
|
27.1195
|
6.4628
|
2020
|
25.6587
|
6.3395
|
|
30.3475
|
6.7216
|
|
28.0031
|
6.5306
|
2021
|
26.1351
|
6.3796
|
|
31.8604
|
6.8334
|
|
28.9977
|
6.6065
|
2022
|
26.6324
|
6.4230
|
|
33.6301
|
6.9605
|
|
30.1313
|
6.6918
|
2023
|
27.1529
|
6.4704
|
|
35.7302
|
7.1059
|
|
31.4415
|
6.7882
|
2024
|
27.6988
|
6.5220
|
|
38.2651
|
7.2732
|
|
32.9819
|
6.8976
|
2025
|
28.2728
|
6.5784
|
|
41.3873
|
7.4667
|
|
34.8300
|
7.0225
|
2026
|
28.8782
|
6.6401
|
|
44.9660
|
7.6704
|
|
36.9221
|
7.1553
|
2027
|
29.5184
|
6.7079
|
|
49.1075
|
7.8851
|
|
39.3129
|
7.2965
|
2028
|
30.1977
|
6.7825
|
|
53.9533
|
8.1117
|
|
42.0755
|
7.4471
|
2029
|
30.9207
|
6.8648
|
|
59.6970
|
8.3513
|
|
45.3088
|
7.6080
|
2030
|
31.6932
|
6.9559
|
|
66.6102
|
8.6049
|
|
49.1517
|
7.7804
|
2031
|
32.5129
|
7.0548
|
|
71.2729
|
8.8669
|
|
51.8929
|
7.9608
|
2032
|
33.3782
|
7.1608
|
|
75.5492
|
9.1370
|
|
54.4637
|
8.1489
|
2033
|
34.2879
|
7.2734
|
|
79.3267
|
9.4153
|
|
56.8073
|
8.3443
|
2034
|
35.2408
|
7.3921
|
|
82.4998
|
9.7020
|
|
58.8703
|
8.5471
|
2035
|
36.2366
|
7.5164
|
|
84.9748
|
9.9975
|
|
60.6057
|
8.7570
|
2036
|
37.2746
|
7.6460
|
|
86.6742
|
10.3021
|
|
61.9744
|
8.9740
|
2037
|
38.3547
|
7.7806
|
|
87.9744
|
10.6159
|
|
63.1646
|
9.1982
|
2038
|
39.4771
|
7.9199
|
|
88.8541
|
10.9392
|
|
64.1656
|
9.4296
|
2039
|
40.6417
|
8.0638
|
|
89.6982
|
11.2724
|
|
65.1700
|
9.6681
|
2040
|
41.8490
|
8.2122
|
|
90.5459
|
11.6157
|
|
66.1974
|
9.9140
|
APPENDIX B – COMMERCIAL & PERSONAL VEHICLES
This model employs the use of personal and commercial vehicle fuel efficiency averages when determining fuel efficiency factors as well as vehicle registration. The amount of revenue earned from commercial and personal vehicles is fairly easy to differentiate because 98 percent of commercial vehicles burn diesel fuel and 97 percent of personal vehicles burn gasoline.
According to the Texas Transportation Code Section 501.241, a commercial motor vehicle is defined as:
A vehicle (or combination of vehicles) with a gross weight, registered weight, or gross weight rating exceeding 26,000 pounds, that is designed or used for transportation of cargo in furtherance of any commercial enterprise
For-hire vehicle used to transport household goods, regardless of gross weight rating
Vehicle, including a bus, designed or used to transport more than 15 passengers, including the driver
Vehicle defined by 49 CFR §390.5, owned or controlled by someone domiciled in, or a citizen of, a country other than the United States
Any other vehicle used in the transport of intrastate or interstate commercial goods
According to the Texas Transportation Code Section 501.241, a passenger motor vehicle is defined as:
A passenger car used to transport persons and designed to accommodate 10 or fewer passengers, including the operator.
A truck, including a pickup truck, panel delivery truck, or carryall truck, that has a manufacturer's rated carrying capacity of 2,000 pounds or less.
A motor vehicle, other than a tractor, that is equipped with a rider's saddle and designed to have when propelled not more than three wheels on the ground.
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