Developed by the Texas Transportation Institute and the Texas Department of Transportation



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2. TRENDS MODEL INPUT

This chapter offers a step-by-step guide on how to interpret the questions asked in the TRENDS model. Each section in this User’s Guide is ordered according to how each section appears in the TRENDS model.



2.1 New Capacity
The first question you will be asked is: “Would you like to invest additional state funds in increased transportation capacity?” (Yes or No). The default answer is “No”. If you answer “Yes”, additional questions appear. You will be asked how much additional capacity (in dollars) you would like to provide (in billions of dollars), in what year you would like the improvements to begin, and the year in which you would like the improvements to be completed. (see below)



2.2 State Gasoline and Diesel Tax Variables
Once you have entered the amount of new capacity that is desired as well as the years in which the improvements are to be done, the TRENDS Model will now ask you a series of questions regarding tax rates. Prior to beginning the analysis, the screen looks as follows:

As you can see, the first question you will be asked relates to the state gasoline tax. The current state gasoline tax rate is 20 cents per gallon. The TRENDS Model asks if you would like to increase the gasoline tax rate. The default answer is “No.” If you change the answer to “Yes”, TRENDS will ask the amount of the increase and the fiscal year in which you would like the increase to become effective. For cent values less than 1, you will need to enter a leading 0 first. For example, 1/10th of a cent increase would need to be typed as 0.1. (see below)




Once you have entered this information, you will notice that TRENDS will ask if you would like to increase the gasoline tax again. Again, the default answer is “No”. If you change answer to “Yes”, the model again asks for the amount of the increase and the fiscal year in which the increase is to become effective. (see below)

The next set of questions pertains to the state diesel fuel tax. This section of the model operates exactly like the gasoline tax section. As can be seen in the screen shot above, the TRENDS Model asks if you would like to increase the state diesel fuel tax. Again, the default answer is “No”. If you would like to increase the state diesel fuel tax, simply change the answer to “Yes”. When the answer to the question is changed to “Yes”, like in the gasoline tax section, an expanded menu becomes visible. (see below)




You are then asked to enter the amount of the increase in cents per gallon and the year in which you would like the increase to become effective. You also have the option of increasing the diesel fuel tax again by entering the amount of the second increase and the fiscal year it is to become effective. For cent values less than 1, you will need to enter a leading zero first. For example, 1/10th of a cent increase would need to be typed as 0.1.




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