Elections Disad – Core – Hoya-Spartan 2012



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Ext – GOP Base link




Plan mobilizes gop base and fiscal conservatives – they hate it


Lawder, 12 (David, Journalist @ Reuters, Reuters, 6/8, http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/06/07/usa-infrastructure-boehner-idINL1E8H7AH320120607)
Boehner also has had a difficult time getting his own caucus to support a transportation bill -- even one with Keystone and new oil drilling rights included -- because of its costs. Many fiscal conservatives backed by the Tea Party movement will not support a multibillion spending bill at a time of high budget deficits

A2: GOP Voters Support Transportation Spending

GOP Voters don’t support


Pew, 12 (Pew Research Center, 1/23, http://www.people-press.org/2012/01/23/public-priorities-deficit-rising-terrorism-slipping/)
No issue divides partisans more than the importance of environmental protection – 58% of Democrats say it is a top priority, compared with just 27% of Republicans. Of the 22 items tested, environmental protection is one of the lowest GOP priorities, along with such issues as improving transportation infrastructure and campaign finance reform. Dealing with the nation’s energy problems, by contrast, is of equal importance to both Republicans (55% top priority) and Democrats (57%), though other recent surveys suggest that partisans have very different solutions in mind.

2NC Funding Mechanism Link




Funding collapses theoretical support – becomes key election issue regardless of how its paid for


Berstein Research, 12 (Sanford C. Bernstein is widely recognized as Wall Street’s premier sell-side research firm. Our research is sought out by leading investment managers around the world, and we are annually ranked at the very top of acknowledged arbiters. In independent surveys of major institutional clients, Bernstein's research is ranked #1 for overall quality, industry knowledge, most trusted, best detailed financial analysis, major company studies, most useful valuation frameworks, best original research, and most willing to challenge management. In Institutional Investor’s 2010 annual client survey, the leading survey by which analysts in our industry are evaluated, 100% of our U.S. Analysts were recognized as among the best in their respective fields -- more than any other firm on Wall Street, 2/3, http://www.fraternalalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Washington-Research-2012-Preview-Transportation-Funding.pdf)
Expected passage of a long-term aviation financing bill next week gives ground transportation advocates

cause for hope, but that's likely a red-herring. The politics surrounding how to pay for infrastructure



financing simply remain too hot to handle in an election year. President Obama has run away from any

discussion of increasing the 18.4 cents per gallon federal gasoline tax, while Republicans won't support a

tax increase of any kind to pay for new spending, even if some groups are willing to pay additional taxes.

Those views are generally consistent with a voting public that wants to spend more on transportation

infrastructure – but does not want to foot the bill out of their own wallets.

Forces gas Tax Hikes – causes massive public backlash on key issue


Grant, 12 (David, Staff Writer, CSM, Christian Science Monitor, 5/8, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2012/0508/Transportation-bill-not-yet-passed-already-blasted-by-critics)
The problem is that paying for American infrastructure more fully means raising taxes on someone. One solution, pegging the gas tax to inflation – or raising it outright – would risk further angering Americans already angry about gas prices. A recent Washington Post/ABC News poll showed 65 percent of Americans disapprove of how President Obama has handled gasoline prices, compared with 26 percent who approve.

Dem funding mechanisms still spun as tax increases


Berstein Research, 12 (Sanford C. Bernstein is widely recognized as Wall Street’s premier sell-side research firm. Our research is sought out by leading investment managers around the world, and we are annually ranked at the very top of acknowledged arbiters. In independent surveys of major institutional clients, Bernstein's research is ranked #1 for overall quality, industry knowledge, most trusted, best detailed financial analysis, major company studies, most useful valuation frameworks, best original research, and most willing to challenge management. In Institutional Investor’s 2010 annual client survey, the leading survey by which analysts in our industry are evaluated, 100% of our U.S. Analysts were recognized as among the best in their respective fields -- more than any other firm on Wall Street, 2/3, http://www.fraternalalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Washington-Research-2012-Preview-Transportation-Funding.pdf)

The Senate Package: The "Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21 st Century (MAP-21)" Senate Environment and Public Works (EPW) Committee Chairwoman Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and ranking member James Inhofe (R-OK) were early out of the gates last year expressing bipartisan support for their approach, which seeks to do the minimum to keep pace with inflation for the next two years while avoiding the need for another HTF bailout along the lines of the $35 billion of general fund taxpayer dollars injected since 2008. Three committees have now approved their portions of the bill: EPW and Senate Commerce (highway safety) late last year and Senate Banking (mass transit) on Thursday. A fourth, the Finance Committee, has yet to act, which is a crucial step because Finance is the only panel with authority to raise the $13 billion needed to keep the HTF afloat through 2013 (unless Senate Democrats had a change of heart and decided to go the medical malpractice route, which goes through a different committee). Finance has been meeting for weeks on a hodgepodge of funding offsets, which we are told range from eliminating the ability of paper companies to amend prior tax returns to claim the $1.01 per gallon cellulosic biofuels credit for the "black liquor" fuel they produce to reclaiming or denying passports of U.S. citizens accused of owing back taxes. Senate Republicans oppose most of these items as tax increases and are instead backing oil and gas drilling revenues and spending cuts, including from the Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing loan program and canceling unspent stimulus funds. Thus the Finance Committee may end up with a partisan bill, which lessens the chances for winning 60 votes on the floor – which could throw the whole enterprise into doubt. The underlying Senate bill provisions would:



GOP funding mechanisms undermines obama’s support with environmentalists


CBS News, 12 (5/14, http://ryofillingstation.com/pdfs/RYO%20FEDERAL%20News%20Clips%2005.14.12.pdf)

Democrats denied their motivation was producing fodder for campaigns. But they accused House Republicans of doing just that with a highway bill that requires construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to the Texas Gulf Coast, which Obama and many Democrats have opposed for environmental reasons. "We ought to quit taking jabs at one another to score political points," said Rep. Nick Rahall, D-W.Va. The tactic has been given the nickname "poison pill" because it sometimes causes the demise of the legislation to which the provision is attached.

That shreds him with his base


Fitzgerald 12 (Thomas, Columnist @ Philadelphia Enquirer, Daily Herald, 2/18, l/n)

Obama has also grabbed opportunities to reassure key elements of the Democratic base. He recently refused permission for the proposed Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to Texas, cheering environmentalists; pushed for more federal student loans and lower college tuition, issues popular with the young voters who were vital to his 2008 election; and has taken a more confrontational approach toward GOP leaders in Congress.



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