Elections Disad – Core – Hoya-Spartan 2012
Ext – GOP mechanism = anti-environment
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- 2NC Turn Shield – no perceived benefits/need
- No Political upside – public doesn’t think its important or perceive job upside
- That’s true for all key voting demographics
Ext – GOP mechanism = anti-environmentGOP mechanism would cut clean energy and expand oil drillingBerstein Research, 12 (Sanford C. Bernstein is widely recognized as Wall Street’s premier sell-side research firm. Our research is sought out by leading investment managers around the world, and we are annually ranked at the very top of acknowledged arbiters. In independent surveys of major institutional clients, Bernstein's research is ranked #1 for overall quality, industry knowledge, most trusted, best detailed financial analysis, major company studies, most useful valuation frameworks, best original research, and most willing to challenge management. In Institutional Investor’s 2010 annual client survey, the leading survey by which analysts in our industry are evaluated, 100% of our U.S. Analysts were recognized as among the best in their respective fields -- more than any other firm on Wall Street, 2/3, http://www.fraternalalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Washington-Research-2012-Preview-Transportation-Funding.pdf) Obama last year proposed a massive $556 billion six-year bill but left it up to Congress to propose how to pay for it. This year Obama is arguing for simply claiming about half the $800 billion in "savings" from spending less in Iraq and Afghanistan to fund the transportation programs. That's not going to fly with the GOP – but its great politics to talk about using money initially expected to go overseas "for a little nation-building at home," as Obama said in his State of the Union address. Republicans have said they are willing to pay for the bill with spending cuts to clean energy programs, oil drilling revenues, and proposals such as caps on medical malpractice awards that bear little relation to the underlying issue of transportation financing – and which stand little chance of becoming law while Democrats control the Senate and White House. That's why we think, unlike with the FAA bill, there's a better-than-even chance partisan gridlock will in fact play out and stymie a long-term fix for ground transportation funding, and the highway and transit programs will limp along past the 2012 elections with a temporary extension. The lame duck session is expected to be a busy one, so we can't rule out the possibility of a deal – particularly because Chairman Mica (who may face term limits and have to step down, unless granted a waiver) and Chairwoman Boxer (who faces the real possibility that Republicans take the Senate and write a different bill) would have to start the process all over again even if they hold on to their positions, as pending legislation simply dies once the 112 th Congress adjourns. Come 2013, they'd have to start from scratch with either an emboldened President Obama ready to do big things in his second and final term in office (arguably better from a transportation funding standpoint) or a GOP President facing a mandate to cut spending overall yet boost defense funding above current projections and closer to the historically-high (in the post-World War II era) levels of the past five years. Though an unlikely scenario, given the need and desire on the part of Boehner and other Republicans (and frankly Obama as well) to secure a major legislative accomplishment before the elections, we also can't rule out the possibility of a long-term deal this spring or fall. 2NC Turn Shield – no perceived benefits/needThey hate plan – don’t perceive job benefitsBergsten, 9 FRED BERGSTEN, Director, Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Economy, 3/22, lexis) The problem the President will be facing is that Americans do not like government spending and investment, even when it is desperately needed. Our huge trade deficit, for example, is largely composed of consumer goods from Asia and energy, but the public is skeptical of a shift toward spending on public infrastructure that would alter the equation and create more jobs in America. That is why power grids, roads, parks, and public transportation in Europe are dramatically more modern better maintained than they are here. More spending on public facilities and less on imported cars, clothes, and household bric-a-brac would reduce our trade deficit and increase employment here, but the President's grades will be good only if the public begins to believe this. No Political upside – public doesn’t think its important or perceive job upsideFreemark, 12 Yonah Freemark is an independent researcher currently working in France on comparative urban development as part of a Gordon Grand Fellowship from Yale University, from which he graduated in May 2008 with a BA in architecture. He writes about transportation and land use issues for The Transport Politic and The Infrastructurist, 1/25, http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2012/01/25/on-infrastructure-hopes-for-progress-this-year-look-glum/ In the context of the presidential race, Mr. Obama’s decision not to continue his previously strong advocacy of more and more transportation funding suggests that the campaign sees the issue as politically irrelevant. If the Administration made an effort last year to convince Americans of the importance of improving infrastructure, there seems to have been fewer positive results in terms of popular perceptions than hoped for. Perhaps the rebuffs from Republican governors on high-speed rail took their toll; perhaps the few recovery projects that entered construction were not visible enough (or at least their federal funding was not obvious enough); perhaps the truth of the matter is that people truly care more about issues like unemployment and health care than they do for public transit and roads. That’s true for all key voting demographicsPew, 11 (Pew Research Center, 1/20, http://www.people-press.org/2011/01/20/about-the-surveys/) Improving the nation’s roads, bridges, and transportation does not rank as a particularly high priority for Democrats, Republicans or independents. Still, Democrats are more likely to see this as important (41% top priority vs. 30% of independents, 26% of Republicans. This is the case for dealing with obesity as well. 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