Gdi 2010 Energy Reform Politics da


UQ- Will Pass- Political Capital High



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UQ- Will Pass- Political Capital High


Obama’s political capital high- gained republican and public support through health care

Pear July 1st (Robert , New York Times WA correspondent, New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/02/health/policy/02health.html , 7-1-10) ET

WASHINGTON — President Obama gets high marks, even from some Republicans, for the way he has begun carrying out the new health care law in the 100 days since it was signed. And a new poll suggests a small increase in favorable views of the measure since May. But it remains unclear whether a substantial number of people will see tangible benefits before the November elections, and whether those benefits will help Democrats who voted for the legislation and are facing resistance from voters who view it as fiscally irresponsible and overly intrusive.


Obama’s political cap on the rise- media likes Health Care Bill

Pear July 1st (Robert , New York Times WA correspondent, New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/02/health/policy/02health.html , 7-1-10) ET

I give them an A for effort,” said Stuart M. Butler, a vice president of the conservative Heritage Foundation. “But there are land mines down the road because the law is fundamentally flawed.” Stephen E. Finan, a health economist at the American Cancer Society, said: “I am extremely impressed with what the administration has accomplished. They have cranked out a lot of regulations. They’re doing it methodically, and they’re doing it well.” On Thursday, the administration unveiled a Web site, HealthCare.gov, where consumers can obtain information about public and private health insurance options in their states. The administration and many states are also setting up high-risk insurance pools for people who have been denied coverage because of pre-existing conditions.


Health care gaining popularity is increasing capital- he gets the blame

Hilzenrath June 30th (David, Washington Post Staffwriter, The Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/30/AR2010063000438.html , 6-30-10) ET

The health-care overhaul gained popularity from May to June, according to a new tracking poll. The results suggest that the Obama administration's promotion of the legislation may be paying off or that the public may be warming to the law as early provisions take effect. The Kaiser Family Foundation poll found that 48 percent of the public had a favorable view of the law in June while 41 percent had an unfavorable opinion. A month earlier, the split was 41 percent favorable to 44 percent unfavorable. The latest survey results were not much different from those in March, shortly before the law was enacted. Then, at the end of a bitter year-long battle, 46 percent said they supported the proposed legislation while 42 percent opposed it.


UQ- Will Pass- Political Capital Push


Obama’s political capital is on the brink- he must use his remaining political capital for energy reform

Usborne 6/17 [David, Staff Writer, 2010, The Independent, Lexis] KLS

For all the excitement that Mr Obama generated as an orator in 2008, he has hardly kept America in his thrall since taking office. (Only the Tea-Bag Obama -haters remain gripped.) That said, he has the habit of suddenly burning twice as brightly when he is really in a corner, but his preferred medium is a big speech before a crowd overseas (think nuclear-free world in Prague), or a hastily convened joint session of Congress (think healthcare). His presidency is once again on the line, on the cusp between disaster and redemption. Since the BP spill almost two months ago, his poll ratings have slipped, but not precipitously. Maybe the President can even spin a silver policy lining from the disaster, pushing through energy reform.

UQ- Will Pass- Public Support


Public supports energy reform

Geller June 8th ( Kate, Rutgers, League of Conservative Voters, http://www.lcv.org/newsroom/press-releases/poll-americans-want-real-energy-reforms-in-wake-of-gulf-coast-disaster.html , 6-8-10) ET

WASHINGTON – As the Gulf Coast oil disaster continues to unfold, the League of Conservation Voters released a new poll by the Benenson Strategy Group today showing overwhelming public support for comprehensive energy legislation that goes beyond simply making BP pay for the damage they’ve done. The poll also found that the oil spill is intensifying the public’s desire for clean energy investments and increased regulation on corporate polluters. Additionally, the poll shows that comprehensive energy legislation can be a powerful election issue, with high support among key electoral groups.



UQ: Will Pass- Reid


And, energy reform will pass- reid forcing vote ensures

Blue Wave News June 30th ( Blue Wave News, http://bluewavenews.com/2010/06/30/republicans-fear-climate-and-immigration-legislation-will-lead-to-failure-for-decades/ , 6-30-10) ET

Senate Democrats intend on forcing the Republicans to vote against a climate bill that includes drilling safety reform. Reid notes that there will be a vote and the threat to Republicans like Graham is that it will be very uncomfortable for them: “Whatever form it takes, we’re going to move forward,” Reid said directly after yesterday’s meeting. “We agree we must deal with the catastrophe in the Gulf, we must create millions of new jobs, we must cut pollution, and we must strengthen our national security and energy independence.” Democrats have been attempting to tie the need for sweeping energy and climate legislation to the ongoing BP PLC oil leak since it began, but the new plan appears to go a step further. By including drilling safety reform in the bill, they hope to make the case that a vote against the package is a vote for BP and “Big Oil.” “It will be an opportunity for senators to vote for oil safety,” Lieberman said.


Reform will pass- reid will trickster it through

Allan june 25th (Nicole, staff editor at The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2010/06/democrats-start-to-play-hardball-on-climate/58743/ ) ET

Thanks to BP's oil spill, significant climate-change legislation now has a real shot at passing, though not because it will gain votes for the Senate's struggling energy-reform bills. Democrats have another tactic in mind.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's latest energy strategy is to fold a comprehensive climate bill in with bipartisan legislation reforming the oil industry. The "spill bill," a response to the BP oil spill that would impose new safety and environmental rules and reform regulation of offshore oil exploration, is fast-tracked for approval in the Energy and Natural Resources Committee next week. Both Democrats and Republicans have rallied behind the need for refined regulation to ensure that a disaster like the Gulf spill does not happen again. Democrats are hoping that by sneaking energy provisions into the bill, Republicans won't be able to vote against it without looking like they're siding with Big Oil. Daniel J. Weiss, Senior Fellow and Director of Climate Strategy at the Center for American Progress Action Fund, lays out the dilemma Democrats are hoping to place in Republicans' laps:People have never been enamored with big oil companies, and now they're even angrier at them. The upcoming debate will pose a choice for senators to either vote with Big Oil and block reform or vote with the American people to make our rigs safer, reduce oil use, and reduce oil pollution. Democrats took a similar strategy with financial reform, using the economic collapse to pressure Republicans into voting for more Wall Street regulation. Next week's vote will determine the success of this strategy once and for all, but Democrats are confident that the bill will enjoy bipartisan support. With climate, however, they'd risk torpedoing vital reforms to the oil industry if the strategy did not work.




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