Gonzaga Debate Institute 2010 Pointer/Gordon/Watts/Samuels Turkey Neg
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- Turkey Doesn’t Fear Russia
Turkey Doesn’t Fear RussiaTurkey doesn’t fear Russia-they are partners Oku 5 (Asim, AIA Turkish and Cacasian sections, “Russia - Turkey: The New Eurasian Alliance: The Quest For the Lost Empires,” Axis and Information Analysis, http://www.axisglobe.com/article.asp?article=149) MJ From the beginning of the new millennium Russia and Turkey started to see each other not as opponents but as partners, both economic, and political (3). As mutual fears declined , animosity to America increased . Nationalist Slavophile tendencies were more distinctly traced to the ruling Russian establishment's policy, while the Turkish ruling party of Justice and Development persistently emphasized that the country belongs to the Muslim world. Turkey’s already unsteady relations with Israel, continue to deteriorate (4), in order to become chairman of the Organization Islamic Conference. Russia hopes to strengthen its own status in this organization. An anti-American mood reigns in the political and intellectual elites of both countries, and simultaneously in both Moscow and Ankara nostalgia over lost influence is felt. Both Russians and Turks do not want the West to consider them as minor, "younger" partners, and they aspire to regain their influence over the borders of former empires – the Ottoman and Russian (and later - Soviet). Political leaders and nationalist intellectuals see Turkey and Russia as carriers of the Eurasian historical tradition, compelled to resist the Atlantic cultural and political intrusion into the area. Thus two fundamental factors of Russian - Turkish relations take shape: the common aspiration to reach "strategic depth" (the term of Turkish professor Ahmet Davutoglu (5), meaning the actual return to historical spheres of influence) and unity on the ground of " Eurasian historical commonality". Turkey and Russia have mutual trust-no fear exists Engdahl 9 (F. William, leading researcher, economist and analyst of the New World Order, “The Geopolitical Great Game: Turkey and Russia Moving Closer,” http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/Geopolitics___Eurasia/Turkey___Russia/turkey___russia.html) MJ Turkish President Abdullah Gul paid a four-day visit to the Russian Federation from February 12 to 15, where he met with Russian president Dmitry Medvedev, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, and also travelled to Kazan, the capital of Tatarstan, where he discussed joint investments. Gul was accompanied by his state minister responsible for foreign trade, and Minister of Energy, as well as a large delegation of Turkish businessmen. Foreign Minister Ali Babacan joined the delegation. The largest autonomous republic in Russian Federation whose population mainly consists of Muslim Tatar Turks, is a sign how much relations between Ankara and Moscow have improved in recent months as Turkey has cooled to Washington foreign policy. In previous years, Moscow was convinced that Turkey was trying to establish Pan-Turanism in the Caucasus and Central Asia and inside the Russian Federation, a huge concern in Moscow. Today clearly Turkish relations with Turk entities inside the Russian Federation are not considered suspicious as it was once, confirming a new mood of mutual trust. Turkey Doesn’t Fear RussiaTurkey not afraid of Russia-friendship and cooperation between them Turkish Weekly 8 (“Turkey, Russia to work on simplified customs to overcome trade row,” http://www.turkishweekly.net/news/59035/turkey-russia-to-work-on-simplified-customs-to-overcome-trade-row.html) MJ Russia and Turkey are working on a simplified customs system in order to overcome the ongoing trade row between the countries. Russian and Turkish foreign ministers also emphasized the friendship and significant cooperation between the two neighbors. The Russian Foreign Minister paid a one-day working visit to Turkey on Tuesday where he met his Turkish counterpart Ali Babacan in Istanbul. The two ministers had discussed the trade row, recent developments in Caucasus, and Iran and Iraq. Russia was not discriminating against Turkey in the trade relations between the countries, hit by a recent customs dispute, Lavrov told the joint conference with Babacan, adding Russian customs authorities were working to simplify their bilateral customs system. Hundreds of trucks transporting Turkish exports to Russia have been held at the country's checkpoints for up to four weeks, costing exporters billions of dollars in losses. The row has triggered speculation that Russia is trying to punish Turkey for allowing U.S. warships carrying aid to Georgia to pass through the Bosporus to the Black Sea. Lavrov, however, denied that stricter Russian controls on Turkish imports are politically motivated, underlining Russia's commitment to reach the 25-billion-dollars trade volume target in 2008. He said some countries had breached customs regulations prompting Russian authorities to take more stringent measures. Babacan said he believed that trade problems between Turkey and Russia would be overcome with a flexible attitude and the cooperation of Russia. "We discussed in a sincere and constructive way the problems caused by keeping and checking Turkish products at Russian customs gates longer than usual," Babacan told the conference. Turkey and Russia are friends-Turkey not afraid Singh 5/20 (K. Gajendra, Indian ambassador to Turkey and Azerbaijan, “Medvedev Consolidates Russian Influence in Turkey & Syria,” http://www.boloji.com/analysis2/0599.html) MJ Turkey and Russia with others in the region are charting a policy of friendship based on solid economic alliances. Turkey with its pre-Ottoman and Ottoman past shares ethnic, cultural and linguistic affinities with central Asia, Caucasus and Balkans. Ankara has excellent relations with East European nations and tie ups with its former Vilayats (provinces). With economic gains as bait Ankara can even help Moscow re-enter Balkans including new states created out of Yugoslavia, from where Russia was forced out by US and NATO during 1990s. While their interests do not always coincide, the two can help each other out in the Caucasus, as and when US power and influence ebb there. With Gul besides him, Medvedev proclaimed in Ankara, "Russia and Turkey are working together to maintain global and regional stability. Sitting in the president's office just now we spoke about the fact that the Black Sea countries themselves, and above all the region's two biggest countries, Russia and Turkey, bear direct responsibility for the situation in the region." Russia, certainly and even Turkey might want to forestall any attempt to make the Black Sea a "NATO lake". Moscow hopes Ankara would help keep outside powers at bay. Russia itself is trying its best to limit NATO's activities in Georgia and even the East European Black Sea coast. Any Russia-Turkish attempt to create a regional security system or understanding in the South Caucasus will be resisted by Washington, which has its proxy ruling in Georgia and close relationship with Azerbaijan based on exploitations of its oil and gas reserves. The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline gives US a handle to keep Baku and Georgia in line. Azerbaijan has close relations with Ankara but an agreement between Turkey and Armenia to normalise relations has sent Baku fuming. Armenia remains allied to Russia, Georgia is unlikely to join NATO any time soon after the August 2008 war between Georgia and Russia over South Ossetia. On the whole Washington’s influence is on the decline. 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