1ac heg Advantage Scenario 1 is Leadership



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WMD Challengers: Iran



Iran gaining missiles/potentially working with North Korea

Panda 5-19-11 – Ranjaram Panda, Senior Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, “North Korea and Iran Partner in Ballistic Missiles Trade,” IDSA Comment, http://www.idsa.in/idsacomments/NorthKoreaandIranPartnerinBallisticMissilesTrade_RajaramPanda_190511

Meanwhile, the response from Iran, as expected, was of denial. It rejected charges of missile cooperation with North Korea. Slamming the expert panel’s findings as “fabrications”, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast argued that Iran’s own missile capabilities are so advanced that it does not need outside help. He said: “Iran’s (missile) technology and capability are advanced enough that we don’t need other countries to provide us technology or components. …We have repeatedly rejected reports on the exchange of ballistic missile technology or parts with any country.” However, an independent assessment made by the US intelligence analysts suggests that Russia has also supported entities in China and North Korea to help Iran move towards self-sufficiency in the production of ballistic missiles. Indeed, Tehran’s collaboration with Pyongyang on missile development was evident during an October 2010 North Korean military parade which showcased a new Nodong missile warhead. The warhead possessed “a strong design similarity with the Iranian Shahab 3 triconic warhead.”


Iran’s missile program is a threat- recent developments

DAREINI 6-2-11 – Ali Akbar Dareini, Associate Press for Yahoo Games, “Iran: Missile progress shows sanctions futile,” http://news.yahoo.com/iran-missile-progress-shows-sanctions-futile-162422024.html

Iran's defense minister claimed Saturday that the country's missile progress shows that U.N. sanctions are ineffective and won't stop Tehran's defense programs.

The statement by Gen. Ahmad Vahidi comes during 10 days of war games in Iran's latest show of military might and displays what Tehran claims is growing self-sufficiency in military and other technologies.

Vahidi said Iran's missile program is "indigenous" and has no reliance on foreign countries to meet its defense requirements. Iran is under four sets of U.N. sanctions over its refusal to halt uranium enrichment, a technology that can be used to produce nuclear fuel or atomic weapons.

Last week, Iran unveiled underground missile silos for the first time, making Iran's arsenal less vulnerable to any possible attack.



Iran's Revolutionary Guard, the country's most powerful military force, said the Islamic Republic has the ability to produce missiles with a greater range than those currently in its arsenal, but doesn't need to do so.

The upgraded version of Iran's Shahab-3 and Sajjil-2 missiles already can travel up to 1,240 miles (2,000 kilometers) — putting Israel, U.S. bases in the Gulf region and parts Europe within reach.

"The war games ... show Iran's great capability in designing, producing and using various kinds of missiles based on domestic knowledge. This showed that the sanctions imposed had no effect on Iran's missile program," Vahidi said in comments posted on sepahnews.com, the Guard's official website.

Iran has periodically boasted of what it calls homegrown advances in technological sectors such as its satellite program and other scientific work.
North Korea and Iran are trading BMT

BBC 5-14-11 – BBC News, “North Korea and Iran sharing ballistic missile technology,” Asia-Pacific, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-13402590

North Korea and Iran appear to have been exchanging ballistic missile technology in violation of sanctions, a leaked UN report shows. The report, obtained by Reuters, said regular transfers had been taking place through "a neighbouring third country", named by diplomats as China.

The sanctions were imposed on Pyongyang by the UN after it conducted a series of nuclear tests in 2006 and 2009. They ban all trade in nuclear and missile technology with North Korea.

They also imposed an arms embargo and subjected some North Korean individuals to travel bans and assets freezes. North Korea has twice tested nuclear devices and said in September last year that it had entered the final phase of uranium enrichment.

The country is believed to have enough plutonium to make about six bombs, but is not thought to have developed a ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.

The report was written by a UN panel of experts monitoring Pyongyang's compliance with the sanctions. It said that "prohibited ballistic missile-related items are suspected to have been transferred between the Democratic People's Republic of Korea [North Korea] and the Islamic Republic of Iran", using regular scheduled flights on national carriers Air Koryo and Iran Air.

For arms and related material, "whose illicit nature would become apparent on any cursory physical inspection", Pyongyang appeared to prefer the use of chartered cargo flights, Reuters quoted it as saying. The flights would travel "from or to air cargo hubs which lack the kind of monitoring and security to which passenger terminals and flights are now subject".



This presented "new challenges to international non-proliferation efforts", said the panel.
Iran secretly tested ballistic missiles

Phillips 6-30-11 – James Phillips, Senior Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs at the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation, “Iran’s Missile Tests Amplify Nuclear Alarm Bells,” The Foundry

Iran secretly has tested ballistic missiles that are capable of carrying a nuclear warhead in violation of U.N. Security Council resolutions, British Foreign Secretary William Hague warned yesterday. Britain believes Iran conducted at least three secret tests of medium-range missiles since October, more evidence of Iran’s accelerating missile buildup. Hague’s statement came the day after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed to have launched 14 missiles as part of the ongoing “Great Prophet 6,” 10 days of military exercises designed to showcase the Islamic Republic’s growing military strength.

Hague also expressed alarm at Iran’s plans to triple its capacity to enrich uranium to 20 percent, a higher level than is needed for civilian nuclear power. Tehran claims that it needs such highly enriched uranium to fuel its research reactor, but has no known means of transforming such uranium into fuel rods suitable for fueling the reactor. It is particularly suspicious that these uranium enrichment operations will take place inside a fortified mountain base near Qum—discovered by Western intelligence agencies in 2009 after it was covertly built without informing the International Atomic Energy Agency, a violation of Iran’s nuclear proliferation commitments. By enriching uranium to 20 percent, Iran will position itself for a much faster nuclear breakout, as it is much easier to enrich to the 90 percent level needed for nuclear weapons from uranium already enriched to 20 percent than from the 3 percent level used in most civilian nuclear reactors.
Obama continues to downplay Iran’s missile capabilities despite recent advancements

Phillips 6-30-11 – James Phillips, Senior Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs at the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation, “Iran’s Missile Tests Amplify Nuclear Alarm Bells,” The Foundry

Iran also unveiled several new missile silos on Monday, and yesterday it claimed to have built a new long-range radar system capable of monitoring low-flying satellites. If true, such a radar system might enable the Revolutionary Guards to better conceal their nuclear and ballistic missile activities from Western intelligence satellites by giving them advance notice of when such satellites were due to pass over sensitive areas.

One of Iran’s most potentially dangerous new missiles is the Khalije Fars (“Persian Gulf”) anti-ship missile, which reportedly is a solid-fuel missile capable of hitting ships up to 350 kilometers away. Combined with airborne surveillance aircraft that could provide targeting data, this missile could pose a threat to U.S. aircraft carriers and other warships. One of the foremost experts on Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal, Uzi Rubin, considers that such a missile capability could be “a game-changer” in the event of hostilities in the Persian Gulf between Iran and the United States.

Meanwhile, the Obama Administration continues to downplay Iran’s progress on the ballistic missile and nuclear fronts. It maintains that international sanctions have slowed the momentum of Iran’s military buildup, despite mounting contradictory evidence.





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