Relations impacts and cp’s


Armenian genocide resolution shatters U.S.- Turkey relations and leads to hostility between Turkey and Armenia



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Armenian genocide resolution shatters U.S.- Turkey relations and leads to hostility between Turkey and Armenia

Guardian 10 (“Armenian ‘genocide’ vote unjust, says Turkey”, 3/5/10, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/mar/05/armenian-genocide-vote-unjust-turkey)


Turkey's prime minister warned of serious damage to US-Turkish relations today after a congressional committee approved a resolution describing the massacre of more than 1 million Armenians by the Ottoman empire during the first world war as genocide. Recep Tayyip Erdogan said his country had been accused of a crime it did not commit, adding that the resolution would hamper efforts by Turkey and Armenia to end a century of hostility. Turkey last night recalled its ambassador after the house foreign affairs committee approved 23-22 the non-binding measure despite objections from the Obama administration, which had warned that such a move would harm relations with Turkey – a Nato ally with about 1,700 troops in Afghanistan – and could imperil fragile reconciliation talks between Turkey and Armenia.

Armenian Genocide rez bad – heg



Passing the resolution would shatter all U.S. military ties to Turkey, which is key to NATO, defense contracting, aerospace, Iraq, and Afghanistan

The Atlantic 10 (Max Fisher, “The Case Against U.S. Recognition of Armenian Genocide”, 3/4/10, http://www.theatlanticwire.com/opinions/view/opinion/The-Case-Against-US-Recognition-of-Armenian-Genocide-2736)


Many Democrats, however, feel that this policy wrongly puts foreign policy over human rights and betrays the sizable Armenian-American population. President Obama himself, while campaigning in early 2008, said he would push for recognition. But now that the House Foreign Affairs Committee is going ahead with a measure to formally recognize the genocide, the White House sent none other than Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to ask them to back down. The principled case for recognizing genocide may seem obvious, but many critics are warning that the downsides of recognition are simply too big to ignore. Here's why Obama and others don't want to go ahead. Turkey Means Business Reuters reports, "One Turkish government official said Turkey was open to all options -- including the recall of its ambassador to Washington -- if the congressional panel approves the legislation ... Turkey is an important ally whose help the United States needs to solve confrontations from Iran to Afghanistan." Like Bush, Obama Sees Long Game Fox News' Eve Zibel notes that Bush faced a similar predicament in 2007. "President Bush ran into the same problem the Obama administration is now facing, recognizing the genocide, but asking the House not to pass the resolution so as to maintain good relations between the United States and Turkey. The United States maintains the Incirlik military base in Turkey which is used as a main hub for training missions for the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq." None of Our Business Turkish Coalition of America President Lincoln McCurdy writes on NJ.com that the Armenian genocide "has no relevance to America's foreign relations and interests." He writes, "Congress is neither the 'conscience' of the world, nor its revisionist historian." Bad for Defense Contractors The Hill's Kevin Bogardus warns that a lot of U.S. business is tied up in Turkey. "Executives for the nation's top defense contractors say billions of dollars in business with Turkey could disappear if a genocide resolution advances on Capitol Hill." Why We Need Turkey The Financial Times explains, "The vote comes at a delicate time, with bilateral ties already strained as Washington increases the pressure on Ankara to back sanctions against Iran. Turkey, with Nato's second biggest army and an increasingly influential voice in the Middle East, is a critical ally for the US in the region. It is also an important market for the US aerospace industry, which opposed the resolution ... Turkey's government has warned of serious damage to relations with Washington if the resolution, which is non-binding, passes a full vote on the floor of congress.

Armenian genocide rez bad – Turkey-Armenia relations



Recognizing Armenian genocide kills Turkey-Armenian relations

Washington Post 2010 [3/4, Armenia-Turkey dispute stirs lobbying frenzy, lexis]
Turkish officials also argue that a genocide resolution could imperil an emerging agreement between Turkey and neighboring Armenia to normalize ties. "Our message is very straightforward: This resolution that is coming up to the committee will hamper Turkish-American relations and is not helpful for relations between Turkey and Armenia," said Murat Mercan, a member of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) who serves as chairman of the foreign affairs committee in the Turkish parliament.

ARmenian genocide Cp – links to politics



The CP precipitates political contention along party lines and causes a lobby fight

Washington Post 2010 [3/4, Armenia-Turkey dispute stirs lobbying frenzy, lexis]
The Turkish government has spent millions on Washington lobbying over the past decade, much of it focused on the Armenian genocide issue. The country's current lobbyist, the Gephardt Group, collects about $70,000 a month for lobbying services from the government in Ankara, according to federal disclosure records. Another group, the Turkish Coalition of America, has targeted the districts of committee members who are considered potential swing votes, including submitting op-eds to local newspapers from the group's president. The Armenian government, which previously enlisted BKSH & Associates and Burson-Marsteller, does not currently have a U.S. representative on file, according to Justice Department records of foreign lobbyists. But several well-organized Armenian American groups are active in attempting to influence Congress, including the Armenian National Committee and the Armenian Assembly of America, which together spent about $380,000 on lobbying last year. Armenian American communities in California, Massachusetts and New York have also provided crucial political support to Democrats in recent years, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). Armenian-related political action committees have given members of Congress about $83,000 in campaign contributions since 2007, most of that to Democrats, according to Federal Election Commission records. The Turkish Coalition PAC, meanwhile, has doled out $173,000 in donations during the same period, with a slight preference for Republicans. The chief executives of defense contractors Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, United Technologies and Northrop Grumman have also weighed in, writing in a letter to Berman this week that the resolution risks "alienating a significant NATO ally and trading partner." The Armenian National Committee of America blasted the letter as "morally reprehensible."



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