2NC Blocks AT Blocks Empirics disprove—Iraq war was about oil-driven profit motive False—cap doesn’t facilitate interdependence—pure capitalism means self-interest and profit drive—profit drive causes endless drive for accumulation that causes war Finite resources mean war is inevitable under capitalism—nations compete for limited resources to satisfy populations Capitalism and war are inextricably linked—the neoliberal ideology demands constant and predatory accumulation
Reyna, Associate researcher at the Max Planck Institute for Social Anthropology 99 (Stephen P., Deadly Developments: Capitalism, States and War, Psychology Press, 1999, University of Michigan Libraries)//AS
Thomas Hobbes published Leviathan in l65l, beginning modem English discourse concerning the state. Hobbes' state consisted of the "Soveraigne" and the "Subject" in a dominion (l968:228). I accept this Hobbesian notion of a state as a sovereign government and a subject civil society, and my concern in the present article is to introduce an approach that helps to explain the emergence of the modem version of this Leviathan. So, in a sense, I tell a whale of a story, but do so using the logical approach introduced below. The "logics" of what I call the new social anthropology. as opposed to those of mathematics, concern directions taken as a result of complex actions, with it understood that "complexes" are groups of institutions in which force is concentrated' There have been logics of "capital accumulation" that move in the direction of increasing and concentrating capital force in capitalist complexes. There have also been logics of "predatory accumulation" that move in the direction of increasing and concentrating violent force within government complexes. Scholars have recognized that changes internal to Atlantic European states"˜ capitalist complexes increased their capital accumulation and were influential in the emergence of the modem state. Few scholars have contemplated any such role for predatory accumulation. and systematic analysis of the relationships between the two logics in the making of the Leviathan has been virtually ignored. I argue in this article thata military-capitalist complex, based upon two mutually reinforcing logics of predatory and capital accumulation. contributed to the formation of the modern state because the complex allowed the reciprocating logics to produce more violent and capital force than was possible when they operated alone. 'Die military capitalist complex. then. might be imagined as a sort of structural steroid that bulked up stately whales into Hobbes' "great Leviathan." a creature with the forces of a "mortal God" ( l968:227) that-luckily for England-turned out by |763 to be England.
Neoliberal expansion is used to justify a new kind of modern war
Roberts and Sparke, Professors of geography at the Universities of, respectively, Kentucky and Washington 03 (Susan and Matthew, “Neoliberal Geopolitics”, Antipode 35:5, 2003, Wiley Online)//AS
Armed with their simple master narrative about the inexorable force of economic globalization, neoliberals famously hold that the global extension of free-market reforms will ultimately bring worldwide peace and prosperity. Like Modernity and Development before it, Globalization is thus narrated as the force that will lift the whole world out of poverty as more and more communities are integrated into the capitalist global economy. In the most idealist accounts, such as those of New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman (1999:xviii), the process of marketized liberalization is represented as an almost natural phenomenon which, “like the dawn,” we can appreciate or ignore, but not presume to stop. Observers and critics of neoliberalism as an emergent system of global hegemony, however, insist on noting the many ways in which states actively foster the conditions for global integration, directly or through international organizations such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Trade Organization (Gill 1995). Under what we are identifying as neoliberal geopolitics, there appears to have been a new development in these patterns of state-managed liberalization. The economic axioms of structural adjustment, fiscal austerity, and free trade have now, it seems, been augmented by the direct use of military force. At one level, this conjunction of capitalism and war-making is neither new nor surprising (cf Harvey 1985). Obviously, many wars—including most 19thand 20th-century imperial wars—have been fought over fundamentally economic concerns. Likewise, one only has to read the reflections of one of America’s “great” generals, Major General Smedley Butler, to get a powerful and resonant sense of the long history of economically inspired American militarism. “I served in all commissioned ranks from Second Lieutenant to Major General,” Butler wrote in his retirement, [a]nd during that period, I spent most of that time being a high-class muscle-man for Big Business, for Wall Street and for the Bankers. Neoliberal Geopolitics 887In short I was a racketeer, a gangster for capitalism. I suspected I was part of a racket at the time. Now I am sure of it. I helped make Honduras “right” for American fruit companies in 1903. I helped make Mexico, especially Tampico, safe for American oil interests in 1914. I helped make Haiti and Cuba a decent place for the National City Bank boys to collect revenues in. I helped in the raping of half a dozen Central American republics for the benefit of Wall Street. The record of racketeering is long. I helped purify Nicaragua for the international banking house of Brown Brothers in 1909–1912. I brought light to the Dominican Republic for American sugar interests in 1916. In China I helped to see to it that Standard Oil went its way unmolested. (quoted in Ali 2002:260) If it was engaged in a kind of gangster capitalist interventionism at the previous fin-de-siècle, today’s American war-making has been undertaken in a much more open, systematic, globally ambitious, and quasicorporate economic style. Al Capone’s approach, has, as it were, given way to the new world order of Jack Welch.
AT: Cap Solves Environment Empirics disprove—environmental degradation massively worse since the industrial revolution Tech solves arguments are logically flawed—capitalism created those problems in the first place—creates an endless cycle Profit motive disproves—under capitalism profit outweighs all so people will exploit the environment at any cost Even if it works now, it’s unsustainable—resources are finite Expanding neoliberalism assures total environmental destruction and increases disease susceptibility
Gill, Distinguished Research Professor of Political Science at York University, 95 (Stephen, “Globalisation, Market Civilisation, and Disciplinary Neoliberalism”, Millennium - Journal of International Studies 24:3, 1995, Sage Publications)//AS
Neoliberal forms of rationality are largely instrumental and are concerned with finding the best means to achieve calculated ends. For neoliberals, primary motivations are understood in a possessively individualistic framework. Motivation is provided by fear and greed, and is reflected in the drive to acquire more security and more goods. Yet, any significant attempt to widen this pattern of motivation would entail an intensification of existing accumulation and consumption patterns, tending to deplete or to destroy the eco-structures of the planet, making everyone less secure and perhaps more vulnerable to disease (even the powerful). Thus, if North American patterns of accumulation and consumption were to be significantly extended, for example to China, the despoliation of the global eco-structure would be virtually assured. Even so, the central ideological message and social myth of neoliberalism is that such a possibility is both desirable and attainable for all: insofar as limitations are recognised, this is at best through a redefinition of the concept of "˜sustainable development' so as to make it consistent with the continuation of existing patterns of accumulation and consumption."
Neoliberalism destroys the environment—resources are being irreversibly depleted—tech can’t fix
De La Barra, Chilean political activist, international consultant and former UNICEF Latin America Public Policy Advisor 07-- (Ximena, “THE DUAL DEBT OF NEOLIBERALISM”, Imperialism, Neoliberalism and Social Struggles in Latin America”, 9/1/09, edited by Dello Bueno and Lara, Brill Online)//AS
Meanwhile, environmental management remains on a permanent collision course with the neoliberal, agro-export model of production. The incessant search for expansion, consuming ever more non-renewable resources in the process, fails to assume the accompanying environmental costs and results in an irreversible deterioration. Technological innovation concentrated in the hands of just a few private transnational corporations is unable to act as an engine for social transformation and reduction of environmental risk, instead serving as a vehicle for intensifying exploitation of labour, social exclusion, and environmental destruction.Globalisation and the growth of industrial production and commercial advertising have created new patterns of consumption catering only to select sectors while increasing the production of wastes and pollution. At the same time, there has been no corresponding rhythm of increasing the capacity for waste reduction or even recycling the valuable resources being lost in waste, including water. This loss of balance has degraded ecosystems to an alarming extent. In the last 50 years, the overall level of deterioration has sharply accelerated. Climatic change is increasingly providing us with a painful reminder of this. The availability of water per capita is now less than half of what once existed and these supplies are being contaminated by pesticides, fertilisers, and untreated human wastes. Air quality is likewise worsening, resulting in at least a 50% increase in registered respiratory infections. Five times more combustible fuels are being burned and four times as much emissions of carbon monoxide are The Dual Debt of Neoliberalism • 43being produced. The proportion of urban inhabitants relative to the total has grown from 17% to 50%, while the investments being made in urban infrastructure are being reduced. The use of cement has multiplied four-fold and the expansion of built areas has limited the natural drainage capacity, especially in urban areas, causing more frequent and more severe flooding. Over the last 25 years, the planet has lost a third of its natural resources in terms of forests, fresh water, and marine species. Meanwhile, a high proportion of vegetation that fulfils a hydro-regulating role has been lost, and global warming has come to threaten our future as a species (UNDP 1998).4 Growing environmental risks therefore constitute an additional negative consequence of the dominant development model. Coupled with increased social vulnerability, the result is a breeding ground for the so-called “natural” disasters that continue to increase in frequency and intensity
AT: Cap K2 Freedom Note: DO NOT READ WITH DEMOCRACY LINK
False—capitalism subjugates all people to the endless profit drive—prevents happiness and freedom by valuing human life economically More freedom in the world of the alt—economic equality enables equal opportunity Neoliberalism is control—“free market” is a convenient term for “heavily regulated in favor of the elite”—it’s control without the masses knowing Neoliberalism imposes control on unwilling societies and represses political dissidents
Peck and Tickell, Canada Research Chair in Urban & Regional Political Economy ,Professor of Geography, University of British Columbia and Professor at Canada Research Chair in Urban & Regional Political Economy and Professor of Geography, University of British Columbia respectively, 02 (Jamie and Adam, “Neoliberalizing Space”, Antipode 34:3, July 2002
The new religion of neoliberalism combines a commitment to the extension of markets and logics of competitiveness with a profound antipathy to all kinds of Keynesian and/or collectivist strategies. The constitution and extension of competitive forces is married with aggressive forms of state downsizing, austerity financing, and public- service "reform." Andwhile rhetorically antistatist, neoliberals have proved adept at the (mis)use of state power in the pursuit of these goals.For its longstanding advocates in the Anglo-American world, neoliberalism represents a kind of self-imposed disciplinary code, calling for no less than monastic restraint. For its converts in the global south, neoliberalism assumes the status of the Latinate church in medieval Europe, externally imposing unbending rule regimes enforced by global institutions and policed by local functionaries. Meanwhile, if not subject to violent repression, nonbelievers are typically dismissed as apostate defenders of outmoded institutions and suspiciously collectivist social rights.
Democracy in the neoliberal state simply utilizes a politics of disposability to decide who get to vote and and who gets to exist – effectively considering all others a “disposed” population
Giroux, Ph.D. @ Carnegie-Mellon University, Global TV Network Chair Professorship at McMaster University in the English and Cultural Studies Department, 2008
(Henry A., “Beyond the biopolitics of disposability: rethinking neoliberalism in the New Gilded Age,” Social Identities: Journal for the Study of Race, Nation and Culture, Vol. 14.5, pp 606-607)//SG
At the dawn of the new millennium, it is commonplace for references to the common good, public trust, and public service to be either stigmatized or sneered at by people who sing the praises of neoliberalism and its dream of turning ‘the global economy . . . into a planetary casino’(Castoriadis, 2007, p. 47). Against this dystopian condition, the American political philosopher, Sheldon Wolin, has argued thatbecause of the increasing power of corporationsand the emergence of a lawless state (given immense power during the administration of George W. Bush),American democracy is not only in crisis, it is also characterized by a sense of powerlessness and experiences of loss. Wolin (2000) claims that this sense of loss is related ‘to power and powerlessness and hence has a claim upon theory’ (p. 3). In making a claim upon theory,loss aligns itself with the urgency of a crisis, a crisis that demands a new theoretical discourse while at the same time requiring a politics that involves contemplation, that is, a politics in which modes of critical inquiry brush up against the more urgent crisis that threatens to shut down even the possibility of critique.For Wolin, the dialectic of crisis and politics points to three fundamental concerns that need to be addressed as part of a broader democratic struggle. First, politics is now marked by pathological conditions in which issues of death are overtaking concerns with life. Second, it is no longer possible to assume that democracy is tenable within a political system that daily inflicts massive suffering and injustices on weak minorities and those individuals and groups who exist outside of the privileges of neoliberal values, that is, those individuals or groupswho exist inwhat Achille Mbembe (2003) calls ‘death-worlds,new and unique forms of social existence in which vast populations are subjected to conditions of lifeconferring upon them the status of the living dead’(pp. 3940).Third, theory in some academic quarters now seems to care more about matters of contemplation and judgment in search of distance rather than a politics of crisisdriven by an acute sense of justice, urgency, and intervention. Theory in this instance distances itself from politics, neutered by a form of self-sabotage in which ideas are removed from the messy realm of politics, power, and intervention. According to Wolin (2000),
Even though [theory] makes references to real-world controversies,its engagement is with the conditions, or the politics, of the theoretical that it seeks to settle rather than with the political that is being contested over who gets what and who gets included. It is postpolitical. (p. 15)
AT: Cap Solves Poverty Empirically false—rampant poverty today particularly in countries exploited by rich nations Their evidence is biased and Eurocentric—poverty only decreases in the select few nations that benefit from neoliberalism No reason to redistribute resources in the status quo under capitalism—won’t happen Neoliberalism’s rapid requirement for urbanization exacerbates the rich-poor divide resulting in ruined livelihoods, increased inequality, increased poverty, detrimental environmental impacts, and horrific living conditions
Greenberg, Ph.D in Anthropology at University of Michigan, 2012
(James B., Thomas Weaver (Ph.D. in Anthropology at University of California at Berkeley), Anne Browning-Aiken (Ph.D. in Anthropology at University of Arizona), William L. Alexander (Professor of Anthropology at University of Arizona), “The Neoliberal Transformation of Mexico,” Neoliberalism and Commodity Production in Mexico, University Press of Colorado, pp 328-329)//SG
Neoliberal development has led tothe accoutrementsof modernization and prog- ress, such as arguably better infrastructure and certainly greater opportunities for a narrow set of Mexican and foreign elites. For the masses,however, neoliberalism has created toll roads they can’t afford to use. While free trade has harmonized prices between the UnitedStatesand Mexicofor most commodities, forworking people incomes remain flat and putting food on the table, let alone buying the foreign goods that flood the market, remains a struggle.Neoliberal development has made the rich richer and the poor desperate. Beyond its costs for Mexico’s masses, the economy and the environment have paid the price of neoliberal devel- opment. Although conditions were far from good before,employment, working conditions, distribution of income, and living conditions have become markedly worse for the masses under neoliberalism. As these conditions have worsened, so have violence, oppression, and environmental degradation.The implementation of neoliberal policy was brutal, particularly for Mexico’s rural poor. Rather than helping the poor, these policies have deepened poverty and ruined livelihoods. Even by the World Bank’s own accounts, 5 to 10 percent of Mexico’s rural population still lives on under a dollar per day, and another 20 percent lives on less than two dollars a day (World Bank 2004:xx).National fig- ures, however, hide rural poverty. By 1996, following neoliberal restructuring and NAFTA, 80 percent of the rural population fell below this line. Rural poverty numbers improved slowly between 1998 and 2006, according to the World Bank, because of public and private transfers (the latter from migrant remissions) and increases in tourism and services; the poverty rate fell to 55 percent. But as the US economy soured, rural poverty again began to rise and stood at 61 percent in 2008 (World Bank 2012). Under neoliberalism, inequality has also been increas- ing in the United States since the 1980s (Glasmeier 2007; Uchitelle 2007). Beyond the growing inequalities in wealth, widespread and growing poverty comes with other social costs. As displaced rural migrants pour into Mexico’s cit- ies, they face both large-scale unemployment and horrific living conditions;the only housing they may be able to afford is improvised out of cardboard and other temporary materials and they seldom have heat, electricity, or water. Without sewers and sanitation, these slums are breeding grounds for diseases of poverty and deteriorating health (Davis 2006).These problems are only the down-payment on the social costs of neoliber- alism. For peasants and smallholders fleeing ruined rural economies, migration entails a process of class transformation: unable to make a living working their own lands, they must now work for someone else. Working for wages changes the basic logic of livelihoods. Whether the migrants find work in Mexico or in the United States, working for wages rewards households that send more workers into labor markets, and the people left behind must find ways to earn cash. This situation irrevocably changes the gender division of household labor.
Neoliberalism exacerbates wealth gaps and leads to tremendous poverty
Albo, Department of Political Science, York University, 06 (Gregory, “The Unexpected Revolution: Venezuela Confronts Neoliberalism”, Presentation at the University of Alberta, International Development Week, 1/06, http://socialistproject.ca/theory/venezuela_praksis.pdf)//AS
The social impacts of neoliberalism have been dismal. The processes of social exclusion and polarisation that sharpened in the 1980s across Latin America have continued with faltering per capita incomes and massive informal sector growth, in the order of an astonishing 70-80 percent of new employment, to the present. With ECLA long having declared the 1990s Latin A1nerica's second lost decade, it will soon have to do so for a third.'0 Here Venezuela records the same numbing neoliberal patternsof reproduction of social inequality as elsewhere: some 80 percent of the population lives in poverty, while 20 percent enjoy the oligarchic wealth produced by rentier oil revenues; the worst performance in per capita GDP in Latin American from the late 1970s to the present, with peak income levels cut almost in halt, a collapse of rural incomes leading to massive migration into the cities, with close to 90 per cent of the population now in urban areas, particularly Caracas, one of the world's growing catalogue of slum cities; 3/4 of new job growth estimated to be in the informal sector, where half of the working population is now said to "˜work'; and recorded unemployment levels (which have quite unclear meaning given the extent of reserve armies of under-employed in the informal economy) hovering between 15 to 20 per cent for a decade. The tally of social ills produced by neoliberal models of economic development makes for sober reading. These all impinge on any attempt an alternate direction for the Venezuelan state, although the booming oil sector allows for far more room for redistributional policies and potential to convert oil revenues into "˜endogenous development' than elsewhere. However, to date, there has been only some modest increase in incomes for waged workers and poorer sections, which can largely be attributed to the economic recovery. There has been no radical redistribution of income and only modest shiiis in high-income tax burdens.
AT: Transition Causes War Their evidence assumes people still want capitalism—post-alt people will accept a better system No incentive to go to war—no more profit motive for nations in the world of the alt Assumes flawed realist theory of states—they won’t lash out because it’s no longer in their benefit to accumulate resources
Studies about transition war are methodologically flawed—no incentive to go to war during transition
Bennett and Nordstrom, professors in the Department of Political Science, Pennsylvania State University 00 (D. Scott, Timothy, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 44, No. 1, Feb., pp. 33-61, JSTOR)//AS
Most scholarly works that examine the effects of domestic economic woes on international behavior have focused on the theoretical possibility that leaders undertake adventurous foreign policies under conditions of worsening economic, social, and political problems (Levy 1989). Commonly known as either externalization or diversion, the main thrust of the argument is that political elites can solidify their relationship with their domestic constituents by transferring the public's attention from economic issues to the foreign enemy. Underlying the process is the assumption that the military action will cause the citizens to "rally 'round the flag" (Mueller 1973) and thereby the patriotic mass will see political elites in a more positive light. Early studies attributed to his rallying effect to a suspected in-group/out-group relationship. Simmel (1955) argued that an altercation with an out-group (the target of the externalization efforts) helps promote cohesion within the in-group (the troubled leader's citizenry) because it is natural for individuals to pull together with those they know when confronted by outsiders. Transferring the argument to action, it may be that if political elites realize that this in-group/out-group dynamic exists, then they will make advantageous use of externalization tactics. Auxiliary arguments might suggest that leaders will prefer short, manageable conflicts to boost their support without risking the long term costs of war. An additional implication of the theory when applied strategically to pairs of conflictual states is that while states with problems are likely to be conflict initiators, states without such problems are more likely to be the targets of diversion. If diversionary logic holds and states want to initiate a cheap and manageable incident to divert attention without imposing major costs, then leaders would prefer to initiate against states in a good economic or domestic situation. If the target is in bad shape domestically, then leaders in that target may have their own incentives to escalate the conflict to divert public attention. Initiators thinking strategically may try to avoid conflict against such an opponent. While diversionary conflict theory has been the subject of much scholarly attention, the evidence supporting the argument has been mixed. On one hand, studies that take the historical case study approach tend to support the notion that leaders do externalize when faced with domestic problems (Levy 1988, 667); in a related body of work, some case studies of deterrence failures have shown that these cases are often characterized by an attacker who is motivated by internal problems (e.g., Jervis, Lebow, and Stein 1985). On the other hand, quantitative studies of externalization have not provided consistent support. Across studies of externalization in general (e.g., Leeds and Davis 1997) or in the context of specific states' foreign policies (Fordham 1998; Gowa 1998; Meernik 1994; Meernik and Waterman 1996; Ostrom and Job 1986; Morgan and Bickers 1992; Mintz and Russett 1992), findings about whether quantitative data support the theory have been mixed. The nature of the results has led some to question the validity of the theories. For example, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (1985) posits that the logical flaw in externalization theory lies in the psychological nature of the original scapegoat hypothesis on which externalization theory is based. While the international relations version of this theory is indeed written in psychological terms (in-group/out-group), it may be that "the logical foundation for the leap from individual psychology to national action remains non-existent" (1985, 130). Similarly, Levy (1989, 266) puts forth four problems with the original causal process as described by Simmel (1955), Coser (1956), and other early writers on externalization(:1 ) little attention is paid to the direction of the relationship between internal problems and external conflict, (2) attempts to develop or test alternative theoretical relationships are rare,( 3) precise specifications of when externalization should occur theoretically are rare, and (4) the conditions under which externalization conditions should hold are unexplored. The conclusion that Levy draws from these theoretical issues is that many of the empirical studies suffer from problems of misspecified models (1989, 267). An additional possible source of discrepancies in findings about diversionary conflict may be attributable to differences in research design and variable measurement. Studies have used a variety of research designs, different dependent variables (uses of force, major uses of force, militarized disputes), different estimation techniques, and different data sets covering different time periods and different states. Even the central concept of externalization, namely, domestic trouble, is unclear. Most studies to date have used presidential popularity, overall presidential success, the election calendar, or a misery index composed of inflation and unemployment as indicators of presidential problems. Cross-national studies have most frequently examined what James (1988, 103) categorizes as manifest conflict, a category which includes protest demon strations, political strikes, armed attacks, and deaths from domestic violence. This category can be opposed to latent conflict, which exists when sources of trouble are present but have not yet led to the physical manifestations of dissatisfaction. Diversionary conflict theory as presented is typically so general in its discussion of internal problems that it opens a Pandora's box of possible indicators of domestic conflict, and all of the types of measures discussed above fit with the theory. The vague nature of the theory may be contributing to this possible problem of model misspecification, but there are few arguments that suggest one indicator is superior to the others. Alternative relationships between domestic economic performance and international conflict also have been proposed, perhaps most importantly by Blainey (1973, 74). Blainey offers the alternative hypothesis about economics and war that economically challenged countries are more likely to be the target of aggressive military acts than their initiator (1973, 86). Faced with a poor target in a bad economic situation, who is faced with an unhappy populace and possibly limited resources, potential conflict initiators are likely to see opportunity. The argument also parallels the historical notion that leaders would only go to war when their coffers were full-in bad times, leaders may simply not be able to afford to go to conflict. Blainey's argument appears to pose a challenge to diversionary conflict theory in its emphasis on what is the most likely direction of conflict. Note, however, that its prediction (weak states become targets) differs from a strategic application of diversionary conflict theory. By coming at externalization from the substitutability perspective, we hope to deal with some of the theoretical problems raised by critics of diversionary conflict theory. Substitutability can be seen as a particular problem of model specification where the dependent variable has not been fully developed. We believe that one of the theoretical problems with studies of externalization has been a lack of attention to alternative choices; Bueno de Mesquita actually hints toward this (and the importance of foreign policy substitution) when he argues that it is shortsighted to conclude that a leader will uniformly externalize in response to domestic problems at the expense of other possible policy choices (1985, 130). We hope to improve on the study of externalization and behavior within rivalries by considering multiple outcomes in response to domestic conditions.5 In particular, we will focus on the alternative option that instead of externalizing, leaders may internalize when faced with domestic economic troubles. Rather than diverting the attention of the public or relevant elites through military action, leaders may actually work to solve their internal problems internally. Tying internal solutions to the external environment, we focus on the possibility that leaders may work to disengage their country from hostile relationships in the international arena to deal with domestic issues. Domestic problems often emerge from the challenges of spreading finite resources across many different issue areas in a manner that satisfies the public and solves real problems. Turning inward for some time may free up resources required to jump-start the domestic economy or may simply provide leaders the time to solve internal distributional issues. In our study, we will focus on the condition of the domestic economy (gross domestic product [GDP] per capita growth) as a source of pressure on leaders to externalize. We do this for a number of reasons. First, when studying rivalries, we need an indicator of potential domestic trouble that is applicable beyond just the United States or just advanced industrialized democracies. In many non-Western states, variables such as election cycles and presidential popularity are irrelevant. Economics are important to all countries at all times. At a purely practical level, GDP data is also more widely available (cross-nationally and historically) than is data on inflation or unemployment. 6 Second, we believe that fundamental economic conditions are a source of potential political problems to which leaders must pay attention. Slowing growth or worsening economic conditions may lead to mass dissatisfaction and protests down the road; economic problems may best be dealt with at an early stage before they turn into outward, potentially violent, conflict. This leads us to a third argument, which is that we in fact believe that it may be more appropriate in general to use indicators of latent conflict rather than manifest conflict as indicators of the potential to divert. Once the citizens of a country are so distressed that they resort to manifest conflict (rioting or engaging in open protest), it may be too late for a leader to satisfy them by engaging in distracting foreign policy actions. If indeed leaders do attempt to distract people's attention, then if protest reaches a high level, that attempt has actually failed and we are looking for correlations between failed externalization attempts and further diversion.¶
AT: No Alt Solvency
Extend Lafer – he cites empirical evidence of successful anti-neoliberal movements to prove that the alt will be successful in this instance. Prefer empirics – they’re the best way to accurately predict events.
Latin American anticapitalist revolutionary ideas are unconventional and successful
Albo, Department of Political Science, York University, 06 (Gregory, “The Unexpected Revolution: Venezuela Confronts Neoliberalism”, Presentation at the University of Alberta, International Development Week, 1/06, http://socialistproject.ca/theory/venezuela_praksis.pdf)//AS
ln spite of so many determined efforts of the past to impose a uniform architecture, there is no blueprint for making a revolution against capitalism. And there is just as clearly no single design for the Lett today to break out of the straitjacket of neoliberalism, and re-open possibilities for more democratic and egalitarian social orders. The thing about social revolutions is that they keep coming around in unexpected ways in unexpected places. Who would have dared predict the emption that was Seattle in November l999, when the powers behind neoliberal globalization seemed completely unassailable? And who would have predicted then - certainly none of the sages of the global social justice movement who quite consciously moved to the margins the issue of winning state power as another failed blueprint- that Venezuela under Hugo Rafael Chavez Frias would emerge as the key zone insisting that alternatives to neoliberalism must not only be asserted but tried? This is exactly the importance of Chavez and the Bolivarian revolutionary process, as the Chavistas refer to their struggle, for the Left at this juncture in the struggle against neoliberal globalization."˜
AT: Can’t Solve Root Cause
Alt solves the root cause of the aff’s impacts – De La Barra uses economic data to substantiate her claim that neoliberalist policies are the underlying cause of all violence and systemic impacts. Prefer our evidence – all of their authors are biased in favor of the existing system
Neoliberal policies are the root cause of violence, oppression, warming, and instability– the price to pay is too high
Greenberg, Ph.D in Anthropology at University of Michigan, 2012
(James B., Thomas Weaver (Ph.D. in Anthropology at University of California at Berkeley), Anne Browning-Aiken (Ph.D. in Anthropology at University of Arizona), William L. Alexander (Professor of Anthropology at University of Arizona), “The Neoliberal Transformation of Mexico,” Neoliberalism and Commodity Production in Mexico, University Press of Colorado, pp 334-335)//SG
Neoliberalism also underlies the growing problems of crime and violence affecting Mexico more broadly. The policies that ruined smallholder agriculture also made the country receptive to growing marijuana and poppies, thereby open- ing spaces into which drug cartels moved (see the chapter by Emanuel and chapter 9 by Weaver, this volume). The money from the drug trade has had a pernicious effect on Mexican society, creating extensive problems of corruption and increas- ing levels of violence (Campbell 2009).Neoliberal policies have driven millions of Mexicans into economic exile and helped turn Mexico into a major source of drugs. Both drugs and victims of structural violence spill across the border, as does the violence that too often accompanies them, reminding us that we live in a global society and thatneoliberalism in Mexico also has direct consequences for the United States.As we have seen with the near collapse of global financial mar- kets, problems are contagious in an increasingly integrated global economy. Just as the consequences of neoliberal policies in Mexico spill over into the United States, the impacts of US applications of neoliberalism reverberate in Mexico. As the popular saying goes, “When the United States catches a cold, Mexico catches pneumonia.” Tight credit affects commodity chains, so the consequences of the neoliberal debacle in US financial markets are felt strongly in Mexico. In sum, our major area of unease regarding neoliberalism is that, as an eco- nomic framework, the lopsided version of development it delivers comes at too high a price.While neoliberalism may further global capitalism’s frantic drive for expansion and increased profit, it has not resolved intra- and inter-nation prob- lems of inequality, environmental degradation, unequal distribution of resources and gains, global warming, lack of healthcare, instability of pension funds, cor- ruption, and clientelism. Instead, it has increased violence and oppression and generally worsened working and living conditions.
AT: Cede the Political
Turn – only the alt truly engages in politics. The alt chooses to reject neoliberalism, but it does not drop out of political action – instead, it uses political means to achieve an apolitical end. On the contrary, the aff’s form of debate and discussion is fundamentally bankrupt – every author on framework proves that the aff fails to produce effective discussions or solutions.
AT: Utopianism Bad
The alt is not utopian – Lafer chooses to discuss the real-world impact of a demonstration instead of theoretical effects – the alt can happen in the real world
AT: Neolib Inevitable
Neoliberalism not inevitable – in fact, it’s contributing to its own downfall – that’s Lafer. The 1999 Seattle demonstrations against the WTO prove that liberal forces in society (youth, immigrants, and environmentalists) had an impact on policymakers – means that the alt’s engagement in debate over neoliberal policies has empirically been successful in spilling over into legislature
And, rejecting the notion of inevitable neoliberalism is critical to resistance – surrender is a self-fulfilling prophecy
Hursh and Henderson, associate professor of education at the University of Rochester and PhD at the Warner Graduate School of Education and Human Development 11 (David and Joseph, “ Contesting global neoliberalism and creating alternative futures”, Discourse: Studies in the Cultural Politics of Education 32:2, May 2011, Routledge)//AS
Contesting neoliberalism necessitates that we situate neoliberal policies within the larger neoliberal discourse promoting markets, competition, individualism, and privatization. Analysing education policies in the USA, whether the push for mayoral control in Rochester, New York (see Duffy, 2010; Hedeen, 2010; Ramos, 2010), school reform policies under Renaissance 2010 in Chicago, or Race to the Top under the Obama administration, requires that we understand how reforms such as using standardized testing are presented as efficient, neutral responses to the problem of raising student achievement, rather than examining the root causes of student failure, including lack of decent paying jobs and health care, and under-funded schools. Current policies reinforce neoliberalism and leave the status quo intact. Similarly, if we look at education in Sub-Saharan Africa, we must situate schools within the hollowing out of the state, and the lack of adequate funding for education and other social services such as health care. For example, in Uganda, as in several other Sub-Saharan countries, the global recession has contributed to drug shortages, making it impossible to treat the growing number of AIDS patients (McNeil, 2010). Yet, under more social democratic policies the state would play a larger role in providing health care. Furthermore, education is increasingly contested, as the plutocracy promotes education as a means of producing productive, rather than critical, employees. Schools are more often places where teachers and students learn what will be on the test rather than seeking answers to questions that cry out for answers, such as how to develop a healthy, sustainable environment or communities where people are actually valued for who they are rather than what they contribute to the economy. Instead, we must ask what kinds of relations do we want to nurture, what kinds of social relations, what kind of work do we want to do, and what kinds of culture and technologies do we want to create. These questions require that we rethink schools so that teachers and students can engage in real questions for which the answer will make a difference in the quality of our lives. These questions also require that we rethink our relationship to a specific kind of ‘free’ marketplace that is not, in fact, inevitable. By problematizing the idea of neoliberal marketization, we can begin to construct new markets that actually value commonly held resources and local communities.
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