No nasa space launches now- partisan fighting and controversies prevent all funding Handberg 7-25



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Insurance Turn


Space insurance becomes more expensive for companies as risks increase—hurts innovation

Journal of Aerospace Engineering 07 Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part G: Journal of Aerospace Engineering June 1, 2007Space Debris An Insurance Perspective http://pig.sagepub.com/content/221/6/915.abstract

Insurance for space missions has developed and matured over the decades and is now routinely available for most missions, though only some are insured. Policies that cover accidental damage in the pre-launch phases; launch and a period in-orbit; and follow-on in-orbit insurance are taken out by those wanting to transfer their risk exposures to the insurance community. These include spacecraft manufacturers, spacecraft owner-operators, users of spacecraft payloads, and launch service providers. Liabilities to third parties can also be covered by insurance. National and international law (e.g. UN Treaties) determine such matters. Under the UN Liability Convention, the Launching State is ultimately liable. Through licensing and contracts the Launching State transfers its liabilities to the launch service providers and spacecraft owner-operators. In turn, these insure their own liabilities. The risk of space debris damage is included as one of many environmental hazards. In an insurance context, space debris includes man-made objects/fragments, and naturally occurring objects, both in-orbit and entering/re-entering to earth. It also includes debris from launchers and stages that explode or otherwise do not reach orbit. All objects of whatever origin can cause damage or injury as they return through air-space to land or sea. While there have been instances of debris impact on spacecraft in-orbit, so far, none has resulted in an insured loss. Insurance is a reactive enterprise, and if a total loss claim attributed to debris impact were to arrive in the market, it would adversely affect the cost and availability of insurance. Tracing the cause (debris impact) to a particular man-made space object is difficult, but not impossible. If done successfully, this could result in a claim against the Launching State of that object. Insurers always stay aware of the extent and the orbital distribution of space debris, as well as the possibility that debris damage may be traceable to an identifiable man-made object. Their stance is to keep an informed watching brief on the subject.


Space debris increases insurance premiums

Taylor 07 ((USAF B.A., Berry College; J.D., University of Georgia; LL.M. (Air and Space Law), McGill University, is the Chief of the Space and International Law Division at Headquarters United States Air Force Space Command at Peterson Air Force Base in Colorado Springs, Colorado) Michael Taylor “Trashing the Solar System One Planet at a Time: Earth's Orbital Debris Problem" Georgetown International Environmental Law Review 20 Geo. Int'l Envtl. L. Rev. 1 http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3970/is_200710/ai_n21279526/

INSURANCE Increased space debris will eventually affect the cost of insurance for space operations. Insurance for space operations falls into one of two categories. The first type compensates a satellite owner or operator for the loss of a functional satellite and covers different phases of a satellite's life. The most common insurance of this type provides coverage for the phases of launch-in-orbit commissioning and in-orbit life. In a typical policy, 25% of the premium covers the launch and 75% applies to the remainder of the satellite's operational life. Many satellites undoubtedly fail due to design or operational reasons unrelated to orbital debris, but some satellites do collide with orbital debris. Thus, insurance underwriters will eventually have to consider debris when setting insurance premiums for a satellite’s operational phase. The insurance market changes rapidly in response to launch successes and launch failures, even though launch coverage makes up only 25% of the premiums. Similarly, as the risk of collision with orbital debris increases, insurance underwriters will undoubtedly pay attention to the trend and respond by increasing premiums or excluding damage caused by orbital debris from their policies.


That turns the case—fewer companies will innovate

Space Security Index 10 (International Research Consortium, “Space Security 2010,” August 2010, http://www.spacesecurity.org/space.security.2010.reduced.pdf )

Increased space debris causes the cost of launch and orbit insurance to rise—which deters private access and investment in space Space Security Index, 10 (International Research Consortium, “Space Security 2010,” August 2010, accessed 4-26-11,http://www.spacesecurity.org/space.security.2010.reduced.pdf ) Insurance affects both the cost and risk of access to space . Insurance rates also influence the ease with which start-up companies and new technologies can enter the market. 75 Although governments play an important role in the insurance sector insofar as they generally maintain a certain level of indemnification for commercial launchers, the commercial sector assumes most of the insurance burden . There are two types of coverage: launch insurance, which typically includes the first year in orbit, and on-orbit insurance for subsequent years. Most risk is associated with launch and the first year in orbit. When covering launches, insurance underwriters and brokers discriminate among launch vehicles and satellite design so that the most reliable designs subsidize the insurance costs of the less reliable hardware.76 Following a decade of tumultuous rates due to tight supply of insurance and a series of industry losses, many companies abandoned insurance altogether, but recently there has been a softening of the launch insurance market .77 The approximate premium for launch vehicles (as a percentage of launch costs) has recently been in the range of: Ariane-5, 6.5 percent; Atlas-5, 6.6 percent; Sea Launch, 7.5 percent; Chinese Long March, 7.9 percent; and Proton, 10.3 percent.78 Terms have also become more restricted. Insurers do not generally quote premiums more than 12months prior to a scheduled launch and in-orbit rates are usually limited to one-year terms and often do not cover events such as terrorism or “Acts of God.”79 It is possible that insurance costs may go higher in the future, owing to the risk caused by the significant increase in space debris in recent years.


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