Politics – 2011 Michigan Debate Institutes – gls lab



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2nc Turns Case


Failure to pass the debt ceiling shuts down NASA- this ev cites empirical examples

Moskowitz 11 (Clara, Clara Moskowitz is a senior writer for Live Science and Space.com, How Would a Government Shutdown Affect NASA?, http://www.space.com/10995-government-shutdown-budget-nasa.html, 3/2/11, MM)

If that scenario does come to pass, a government shutdown would likely disrupt programs not only across the nation but into space. All NASA workers essential to the space shuttle and other critical missions would continue to work, but analysts and researchers involved with NASA's many space probes might be among those who are sent home. As of today (March 1), U.S. lawmakers had yet to pass a budget for the 2011 fiscal year, which began last October. The country has been operating under a stopgap measure called a continuing resolution that extends last year's funding. Unless Congress and Obama can agree on a new budget to operate after the two-week stop-gap, the government will shut down and all government workers considered nonessential will be furloughed until funding comes through. That includes much of NASA, which is currently managing the space shuttle Discovery's final mission to the International Space Station. Discovery launched Feb. 24, carrying six astronauts on an 11-day voyage. The crew is not set to return to Earth until March 8. [Photos of Shuttle Discovery's Final Launch] Shuttle crew wouldn't be stuck Even if the federal government does shut down, all NASA workers considered essential to the mission would stay on, so Discovery wouldn't end up stranded in space. That means most Mission Control staffers managing both the space shuttle and space station programs would continue working as usual. "It goes without saying, but the astronauts themselves are considered essential personnel," added space history and artifacts expert Robert Pearlman, editor of collectSPACE.com. "While certainly disruptive, costly and personally burdensome, if there were a shutdown, I would expect NASA to treat crew safety aboard the International Space Station as an essential function and top priority," said Scott Pace, director of the Space Policy Institute at George Washington University in Washington, D.C. Yet support personnel such as cafeteria workers, office managers and secretaries would be sent home, which could certainly have an impact on the complex workings at NASA. Repeating history This wouldn't be the first time such a situation occurred. In November 1995 the federal government famously shut down while President Clinton negotiated with a Republican Congress led by House Speaker Newt Gingrich. That shutdown coincided with the STS-74 mission of the space shuttle Atlantis as it visited Russia's Mir space station. "The STS-74 crew had just docked to the Mir space station when the government shut down," Pearlman said. "All nonessential personnel were furloughed, which basically meant that from a mission perspective, everyone who was needed to fly the mission was considered necessary, but anyone who was not associated with actually operating the mission and flying it out successfully had to go home." That included NASA's public affairs office, which runs press conferences and distributes information to the media and the public. "There were no daily status reports, and media briefings were held unofficially outside of NASA centers at first, and then in limited fashion on-site," Pearlman said. "This occurred at the same time as the burgeoning of the World Wide Web, which led to the creation of an unofficial STS-74 website to distribute more information about the mission." Beyond the shuttle If there is a government shutdown, NASA programs beyond the space shuttle are likely to be similarly affected. "Obviously there’ll be an impact if there's a government shutdown on the activities at NASA," said Roger Launius, senior curator in the Division of Space History at the Smithsonian Institution's National Air and Space Museum."How significant that impact would be is dependent on a variety of factors, not least of which is how long it's shut down." NASA scientists and researchers analyzing data beamed back from the space agency's numerous space probes would probably have to go home. Yet workers who were critical to the continued functioning of those probes would probably be counted as essential. Pearlman said, "Anyone associated with actually operating a spacecraft, where if they did not do their job they'd be putting into jeopardy U.S. assets — those would be considered essential personnel." Averting a shutdown Experts say it's more likely that lawmakers will compromise on a new spending measure in time to prevent a shutdown this week. "It looks to me like everybody's trying to solve this at least short-term, and hopefully that will happen," Launius told SPACE.com. NASA echoed that optimism. "We believe an agreement will be reached to prevent a government shutdown," said a spokeswoman for the space agency, Katherine Trinidad. "The safety of our astronauts is our top priority, and we will take the steps necessary to ensure they have the proper support."
Turns every impact – collapses social security, military operations, security, and the economy

Min 2010 – David, Associate Director for Financial Markets Policy at the Center for American Progress. (The Big Freeze

The Conservative Pledge to Freeze the Debt Ceiling Is a Looming Disaster, Center for American Progress, October 28, 2010, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/10/big_freeze.html)



The consequences of refusing to raise the debt ceiling would be even more costly today, given the precarious state of the U.S. economy and global financial markets, and potentially could be disastrous. Unlike in 1995, when our economic outlook was good, we are currently fighting our way out of the Great Recession and coming off of the worst financial crisis since the 1930s. Nonetheless, led by the advice of Newt Gingrich, the former House Speaker who was the architect of the 1995-96 debt ceiling crisis, many conservatives are clamoring for a repeat of this past episode in recklessness. The budgetary consequences of this conservative pledge would be catastrophic and far-reaching, forcing the immediate cessation of more than 40 percent of all federal government activities (excluding only interest payments on the national debt), including Social Security, military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, homeland security, Medicare, and unemployment insurance. This would not only threaten the safety and economic security of all Americans, but also have dire impacts for the economy and job growth. In short, the economic consequences of such a large and precipitous drop in spending would be crushing, and almost certainly result in a severe drop in economic growth and employment at a time when we can least afford it. Moreover, such a move could lead to a panic in the international financial markets. Following the 2008 financial crisis, we have seen debt crises hit Ireland, Greece, and Italy, with fears that this could spread further and cause a global economic downturn. The financial markets are on edge today, with U.S. Treasury bonds being the safe haven for most investment capital. Refusing to raise the debt ceiling would recklessly disrupt the sale and purchase of new Treasury bonds, and could potentially cause a run on outstanding Treasurys as well, as investors sought other investments. This could have catastrophic consequences for our economy as well as the economic stability of the rest of the world.



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