Report No. 49194 africa infrastructure country diagnostic



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Intercontinental traffic


The overall intercontinental traffic in Africa is dominated by the entry points in the north (Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia), mainly by flights from France. In fact, the North African intercontinental traffic so much leads the traffic figures for the entire continent that it is best to analyze traffic patterns in Sub-Saharan Africa independent of North African traffic (see figure 1.6 and figure 1.7). But, intercontinental growth has been strong in both North and Sub-Saharan Africa. Overall African intercontinental capacity increased by 10.7 percent annually between 2004 and 2007, and, in spite of the September 11 effects, the overall growth between 2001 and 2007 has been 56 percent, with an estimated 67 million seats. The most dominant intercontinental route between Algeria and France has now been topped by France’s route to Morocco. Egypt plays an important role as a gateway to the Middle East, and the Egypt–Germany route is also one of the dominant European connections.

Though not as strong as the overall African growth, Sub-Saharan Africa’s intercontinental capacity has managed to grow 43.6 percent from 2001 to 2007, with an annualized growth rate of 6.2 percent between 2001 and 2007. Sub-Saharan intercontinental traffic relies heavily on the three major hubs of Johannesburg, Nairobi, and Addis Ababa, with the U.K.–Johannesburg route the most heavily traveled. Senegal also operates as an important stop in West Africa.5 Between 2001 and 2007 the continent saw a significant rise in service provided by the Middle East. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) was in only two of the top 30 country pairs in 2001, yet by 2007 had five of the top routes. In addition, traffic to East Asia and the Pacific regions has nearly doubled between 2004 and 2007 to 1.6 million seats.



Figure 1.6 Top 30 intercontinental routes for Africa as of November 2007, measured using seats available per week



Source: Analysis on data provided by Seabury ADG.

Note: The routes are displayed as country pairs, though there often is more than one airport served in a country, with the thickness of the connecting lines being in proportion to volume. The most important routes are the north African countries Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia connecting with France. The most important Sub-Saharan route is between the United Kingdom and South Africa. Cairo is both important as an entry point for Europe (mainly Germany) and the Middle East.


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