Report No. 49194 africa infrastructure country diagnostic

Figure 1.7 Top 30 intercontinental routes for Sub-Saharan Africa as of November 2007, with the North African traffic subtracted

Source: Analysis on data provided by Seabury ADG. Note: Johannesburg serves as the most important entry point, with the three largest partners (excluding North Africa) being the United Kingdom, Germany, and the UAE.

The highest growth rates on major routes can be found on routes with the Middle East, specifically South Africa and Egypt with the UAE, and in the traffic between France and Morocco. The only routes showing decline between 2001 and 2004 are between the Unites States and South Africa, and between Morocco and France.

Table 1.3 in Appendix I summarizes the main intercontinental country pair routes, presenting figures on both growth in the routes and competitiveness in terms of number of airlines. Table 1.4 provides a view as to who the actual airlines serving Africa intercontinentally are, ranked by overall market share in 2007.While there are outliers in the data (e.g. the route between South Africa and the UAE), a broad conclusion can be made that the routes with the highest growth rates were served by more carriers (i.e. showed more competition). Over 30 percent of market share is held by the top five airlines—South African Airways, Air France, British Airways, EgyptAir, and Emirates. In total, there are eight African carriers (including South Africa) in the top 20 airlines.

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