Report No. 70290-ge


Fiscal policy and investments: scrapping-and-recycling the old and polluting vehicle fleet



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Fiscal policy and investments: scrapping-and-recycling the old and polluting vehicle fleet. As a time-bound policy, Government can intervene in the market to remove some of the old fuel-inefficient vehicles from the road network (38 percent of passenger cars or almost 245,000 cars) that are 20 or more years old. Vehicle scrapping-and-recycling programs are fiscal policy measures that are often combined with moderate capital investments. Typically a government offers financial incentives such as tax exemptions and/or subsidies to owners of older vehicles to purchase newer and less-polluting models; sometimes a government provides financial assistance, such as cheaper financing for new vehicles or loan guarantee (see Box 2 on Cairo). Variations of vehicle scrapping-and-recycling programs have been implemented in several countries with a range of income levels; these have experienced varying degrees of success as measured by cost-effectiveness. However, the common benefit has been substantially reduced fuel consumption and emissions (Table 3).

A vehicle scrapping-and-recycling program must be carefully designed considering fiscal implications, income levels, potential revenue streams (from recycling scrapped metals), financial sustainability, and anticipated environmental and economic benefits. If not properly targeted, it could be a very regressive and expensive policy that benefits the wealthier population who can afford to purchase new vehicles and brings about little environmental benefits.CITATION Gla08 \n \t \l 1033 Moreover, in the case of Georgia, where domestic automobile industry is non-existent, vehicle scrapping-and-recycling programs could merely substitute fuel imports with vehicle imports, which is undesirable given that one of the key policy objectives is to balance the current account through reduction in fuel imports.

Table 3: Comparing Vehicle Scrapping Programs


Programs

US: CARS (2009)

France: Prime a la Casse (2009)

Germany: Umw-elpraemie (2009)

Egypt (2009-ongoing)

Romania (2009-10)

Objective

Fuel economy

Reduction of GHG emissions

Fleet renewal

Air quality

Air quality; industry support

Eligibility of participating cars

25+ years

10+ years

9+ years

20+ years taxi

12+ years and operational

Requirements for new cars

Fuel efficiency

Less than 160g CO2/km emissions

1 year used cars allowed, minimum Euro 4

?

?

Subsidies or tax credit per vehicle

$3,500-4,500

€1,000

€2,500

$1,300-2,300




Number of vehicles replaced

677,081

470,000

1,932,929

17,000 (in 2009)

49,000 (2010-18)



221,650

Government spending on subsidies/tax waivers

$2,850 million

€600 million

€5,000 million

Est. $620 million for 8 years

€216 million

Value of scrapped vehicles

€850 million

€555 million

€3,000 million

Unknown

Unknown

Fuel savings (€ million)

€20 million

€50 million

€40 million

Unknown

Unknown

Energy consumption reduction










2.1 MJ




CO2e reduction by 2025 (thousand tons)

100

265

200

1,300




Source: Vigneault (2009), IHS Global Insight (2010), ACEA (2009), ESMAP (2010)

Box 2. Cairo’s Taxi Scrapping-and-recycling Project

Project Overview. In April 2009, the Egyptian Ministry of Finance, with support from the Prime Minister, initiated the Vehicle Scrapping-and-recycling Program for the Greater Cairo Region (GCR). Under this initial phase, a taxi replacement and recycling program was launched on a voluntary basis; private taxi owners receive financial and other incentives to surrender their old vehicles for new, more fuel-efficient models and the old vehicles are scrapped and recycled. The program was launched to support enforcement of Traffic Law 121, effective June 9, 2008, which targets improvements in air quality and reduction of greenhouse gases (GHG) associated with Egypt’s aging fleet of taxis, microbuses, minibuses, and buses. Initially, the program focused on replacing taxis in the GCR; it was a collaborative effort between government and the private sector that offered an attractive financial package to taxi owners with vehicles that were more than 20 years old. The package includes a 25-30 percent price reduction for a new replacement vehicle, €2,500 in subsidies and tax waivers, discounted loan terms and insurance agreements, and other incentives. Total program cost was estimated at about US$620.24 million, depending on the number of participants, share of each model, etc. The program will remain active for 28 years. During the first phase, it will replace about 45,000-50,000 taxis in the GCR. Then, in later phases, pending approvals, taxis and other mass transport vehicles in other regions would be replaced. The first phase will reduce emissions by an estimated 1.3-2.3 million tons CO2e over 10 years. Carbon financing will support the project, plus help underwrite development of a recycling facility for the scrapped vehicles. As of 2009, some 17,000 taxis had been replaced, reducing emissions by 57,233 tons CO2e and energy use by 29 percent.

Distribution of Model Years of Registered Taxis in the Greater Cairo Region




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