Report of the Working Group on Petroleum & Natural Gas Sector for the XI plan


Annexure IV - Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)



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Annexure IV - Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)


Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)

A competitive market is one with a sufficiently large number of firms competing with one another that prices are kept at levels that reflect social costs. Since market power usually leads to high prices and/or low quality, and often stifles future innovations, it hurts consumers and should be restricted. There are numerous ways to obtain market power. If there are only a few firms in a market, so concentration is high, then each firm will have some market power to charge a high price. When the market is highly concentrated, it is also easier for firms to coordinate their pricing behaviour so a high level of prices can be maintained. Market power may also exist even with many small firms in the market, when there is a dominant firm. A common way of obtaining more market power is through mergers and acquisitions.

In merger analysis, the next step would be to calculate market shares of the parties involved and the concentration level of the market. When measuring concentration, the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is often used by the US antitrust agencies. The HHI is the sum of the squared market shares of all the participants. For example, if there are three firms in the market, with market shares 50 percent, 30 percent, and 20 percent, respectively, then the HHI is: 50^2+30^2+20^2=3,800. As a result, a monopoly market has an HHI equal to 10,000. A competitive market has an HHI that is low. Unlike other indexes (for example, the four -firm concentration ratio), the HHI assigns greater weights to the market shares of the larger firms, in accord with their relative importance in the market.

A market is characterized as unconcentrated (HHI below 1,000), moderately concentrated (HHI between 1,000 and 1,800), and highly concentrated (HHI above 1,800). To get a sense of these thresholds, an HHI of 1,000 corresponds to ten firms of equal size, and an HHI of 1,800 corresponds to five and half firms of equal size. Although the exact numerical cut-off does not have precise justifications, it provides a broad framework for further analysis. In practice, the US antitrust authorities change in the HHI from the pre-merger level is very dramatic and there is other evidence that suggests that a post-merger price increase is likely. Such analysis linking market concentration to market power is often called structural analysis. Antitrust analysis has evolved over time with the development of economic theories and empirical methods.



    1. Annexure V - Year Wise, Product Wise Comparison of Actual & X Plan Projections


Year wise Comparison of X Plan Demand


































 







(Figs. In TMT)

PRODUCT

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

2006-07

 

X Plan

Actual

Var (+/-)

X Plan

Actual

Var (+/-)

X Plan

Actual

Var (+/-)

X Plan

Actual

Var (+/-)

X Plan

OE

Var (+/-)

LPG

8776

8351

-425.1

9528

9305

-223

10310

10245

-65

11,123

10304

-819

11,966

10494

-819

NAPHTHA

10823

11962

1138.8

10723

11868

1145

8668

13993

5325

9,128

12262

3134

9,128

8983

3134

MS

7620

7570

-50.1

8202

7897

-305

8813

8251

-563

9,419

8648

-771

10,067

11333

-771

ATF

2370

2271

-99.1

2445

2484

39

2523

2813

290

2,605

3298

693

2,691

3630

693

SKO

11000

10404

-595.8

11000

10230

-770

11000

9395

-1605

11,000

9359

-1641

11,000

9414

-1641

HSD

42146

36645

-5501.3

44508

37074

-7434

46966

39650

-7316

49,555

40152

-9403

52,324

40583

-9403

LDO

1500

2064

563.6

1500

1619

119

1500

1477

-23

1,500

885

-615

1,500

905

-615

FO/LSHS

13184

12738

-445.9

13520

12945

-575

13876

13540

-336

14,253

12733

-1520

14,653

2421

-1520

BITUME

2808

2986

178.4

2892

3373

481

2979

3340

361

3,069

3515

446

3,161

13454

446

LUBES

1202

1250

48.1

1245

1427

182

1283

1336

53

1,342

2104

762

1,386

3592

762

OTHERS

5668

7885

2217.0

5668

9529

3861

5668

7596

1928

5,668

8658

2990

5,668

9225

2990

TOTAL

107097

104126

-2971.4

111231

107751

-3480

113586

111634

-1952

118662

111920

-6742

123544

114034

-6742




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