Sdi 2010 Midterms Impacts Updates



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Warming Internal


It’s now or never

Washington Independent 10

“Does Grahams Backtrack Spell the End of Cap-and-Trade?” 1-27-10, Lexis



With Democrats 59-seat majority in the Senate likely to be reduced to 53 to 55 after the midterm elections, if cap-and-trade doesnt happen this year, it wont happen for a long time. The House leaderships impressive success in passing a landmark climate bill, the hope engendered by the tripartisan climate talks, President Obamas Copenhagen pledge to cut Americas emissions by around 17 percent by 2020 ” all that might have just gone down the drain with a Scott Brown-influenced change of heart by the senior senator from South Carolina.
Each vote is key

The Times 12-28

Democrats pose threat to President Obama’s cap-and-trade climate Bill, http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article6969108.ece



Less than ten days after claiming a breakthrough on climate change in Copenhagen President Obama is facing a mutiny from senior Democrats who are imploring him to postpone or even abandon his cap-and-trade Bill. Democratic Senators, fearful of a drubbing in the mid-term elections next year, are lining up to argue for alternatives to the scheme that is the centrepiece of the carbon reduction proposals that Mr Obama hopes to sign into law. With the Congressional battles over Mr Obama’s healthcare reforms fresh in their memory senior Democrats are asking the Administration to postpone the next big climate change push until at least 2011. Senators from Louisiana, Indiana, Nebraska and North Dakota, some with powerful energy companies among their constituents, are falling out of love with the idea of a large-scale cap-and-trade scheme — which seeks to allocate tradeable permits to major polluters — in favour of less ambitious proposals that put jobs and the economy first. Each of their Senate votes is vital for any climate change Bill to have a chance of being passed, and a firm American commitment to cap and trade is essential for similar carbon reduction mechanisms to be effective on a global scale. RELATED LINKS Barack the secret swinger drops basketball for golf Horse-trading over health scars Obama Asked if she has urged the White House to abandon cap and trade — at least until after the mid-terms — Senator Mary Landrieu of Louisiana told the Politico website yesterday: “I am communicating that in every way I know how.” At least five other high-ranking Democrats have lobbied the Administration in similar terms. Senator Kent Conrad of North Dakota said that winning passage of climate change legislation in an election year had “very poor prospects”, and Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska said that he would “just as soon see [climate change] set aside until we work through the economy”
Democratic margins are key to climate legislation


AP 2/18/10 “Obama aims to boslter Senate Deomcrats out West”
President Barack Obama is intervening out West in a brutal election season for incumbents, trying to bolster two vulnerable senators – one of them Majority Leader Harry Reid – and the morale of his party. Obama ventures Thursday to Denver to raise money and speak up for Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet of Colorado, who was appointed and is now getting challenged within his party. Obama will end up in Las Vegas for another Democratic fundraiser and plenty of prominent time with Reid, the Nevada lawmaker who is a major target for Republicans in November. The trip has a public agenda, too – a Las Vegas town hall on the economy on Friday and an Obama speech to the business leaders of that city, who feel he keeps slamming their town. But the political element is a big driver of a visit that will mostly be at taxpayer expense. Obama’s direct involvement comes as the Democrats’ command of the Senate grows shakier, jeopardizing Obama’s agenda as he cannot count on any Republican support. Obama will try to help all year in targeted states he carried in 2008, like Colorado and Nevada, as the margins in Congress will shape his own fortunes on economic, health care and climate legislation

Warming Legislation Good – Global Modeling


Climate bill key to Copenhagen treaty-failure to pass causes extinction via warming and continues oil dependence
UPI 6-16

http://www.upi.com/Science_News/Resource-Wars/2010/06/16/US-climate-bill-to-shape-UN-talks/UPI-31061276708247/


Worldwide hopes for a comprehensive climate protection treaty hinge on whether U.S. President Barack Obama can push through an ambitious U.S. climate bill. At least that's what observers to the U.N. climate negotiations say. EU Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard, a former Danish climate minister and chairwoman of the Copenhagen climate summit, last month said it was key that the United States legally commits itself to greenhouse gas emissions caps. "The United States needs to bring in the law," she said of the climate and clean energy bill currently stalling in the Senate. Quickly growing economies like India and China are waiting on Washington to live up to its rhetoric before they are willing to take their own steps, Hedegaard added. The U.N. climate negotiations are still deadlocked after a U.N. summit in Copenhagen last year ended in acrimony. Industrialized and developing nations are still at odds over how to limit the global temperature rise to no more than 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. A rise beyond that limit would result in potentially catastrophic consequences for humanity, with meteorological disasters increasing, scientists say. Developing nations have resisted a legally binding treaty because they claim rich nations that have benefited from emitting during the past decades should shoulder more of the burden. Industrialized countries argue the developing nations need to commit to concrete reduction targets to enable a global effort. The European Commission recently backtracked on a plan to unilaterally boost the bloc's greenhouse gas emissions reduction target from 20 percent to 30 percent -- likely also because other nations, including China and the United States, haven't committed to similarly ambitious targets. European officials hope that the U.S. Senate passes the U.S. climate bill before the next crucial U.N. summit in Cancun, Mexico in December. It's not that the United States has been completely inactive. Obama campaigned on plans for a green economic miracle and has unlocked millions of dollars to boost clean energy development and usage. However, just like his colleagues from Asia and Europe, he has failed to rally the world's nations behind a comprehensive climate protection treaty due to be passed at a U.N. summit in Copenhagen last year. At home, the House of Representatives passed sweeping climate protection and renewable energy legislation a year ago. A similar bill in the Senate, the American Power Act drafted by Sens. John Kerry, D-Mass., and Joe Lieberman, Ind-Conn., however, has been blocked by filibuster threats. The bill would need support from at least one Republican senator to have a chance and no one seems to be considering changing sides. Obama this week urged Americans to rally behind a "national mission" to promote clean energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions responsible for global warming. In the eighth week of the catastrophic BP oil spill, Obama urged his fellow Americans to battle their longstanding dependence on fossil fuels. "The tragedy unfolding on our coast is the most painful and powerful reminder yet that the time to embrace a clean energy future is now," Obama said. "Now is the moment for this generation to embark on a national mission to unleash America's innovation and seize control of our own destiny." Obama added: "Time and again, the path forward has been blocked -- not only by oil industry lobbyists but also by a lack of political courage and candor. The consequences of our inaction are now in plain sight." Officials supporting the Kerry-Lieberman bill have pointed to new figures by the Environmental Protection Agency to counter criticism that curbing emissions would hurt the U.S. economy. Lieberman said his bill would cost the average American family less than $150 a year. "Is the American household willing to pay less than $1 a day so we don't have to buy oil from foreign countries, so we can create millions of new jobs, so we can clean up our environment? I think the answer is going to be yes," Lieberman said. By the way: The millions of barrels of oil that have gushed into the gulf, killing fish, sea mammals and birds, damaging the ecosystem and threatening the regional economy for years to come -- know how long they would have fueled the U.S. economy? Less than four hours.




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