Sdi 2010 Midterms Impacts Updates
Warming Leads to War – Resources
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Warming Leads to War – ResourcesWarming leads to resource wars Dyer 9 Gwynne, MA in Military History and PhD in Middle Eastern History former @ Senior Lecturer in War Studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, Climate Wars The military profession, especially in the long-established great powers, is deeply pessimistic about the likelihood that people and countries will behave well under stress. Professional officers are trained to think in terms of emergent threats, and this is as big a threat as you are going to find. Never mind what the pundits are telling the public about the perils of climate change; what are the military strategists telling their governments? That will tell us a great deal about the probable shape of the future, although it may not tell us anything that we want to hear. In Britain, climate change has been taken seriously at the official level for a long time, and the British Armed Forces are free to discuss any scenarios they want. The DC DC Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007-2036, third edition, 2006, a ninety-one-page document produced by the Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre within the British Ministry of Defence and regularly updated online, is "a source document for the development of UK Defence Policy." In many ways, it is a remarkably sophisticated document. At one point, for example, it observes that "by the end of the period [2°36] it is likely that the majority of the global popula tion ~ill find it difficult to 'turn the outside world off.' lCT [information and communication technology] is likely to be so pervasive that people are permanently connected to a network or two-way data stream with inherent challenges to civil liber ties; being disconnected could be considered suspicious." But on the political and strategic impacts of climate change, it is surprisingly terse. Here is all it has to say on the matter: The future effects of climate change will stem from a more unstable process, involving sudden and possibly in some cases catastrophic changes. It is possible that the effects will be felt more rapidly and widely than antici pated, leading, for example, to an unexpected increase in extreme weather events, challenging the individual and collective capacity to respond ... Increasing demand and climate change are likely to place pressure on the supply of key staples, for exam ple, a drastic depletion of fish stocks ora significantly reduced capacity to grow rice in SE Asia or wheat on the US plains. A succession of poor harvests may cause a major price spike, resulting in significant economic and political turbulence, as well as humanitarian crises of significant proportions and frequency ... Water stress will increase, with the risk that disputes over water will contribute significantly to tensions in already volatile regions, possibly triggering military action and population movements ... Areas most at risk are in North Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia, includ ing China whose growing problems of water scarcity and contamination may lead it to attempt to re-route the waters of rivers flowing into neighbouring India, such as the Brahmaputra ... A combination of resource pressure, climate change and the pursuit of economic advantage may stimulate rapid large-scale shifts in population. In par ticular, sub-Saharan populations will be drawn towards the Mediterranean, Europe and the Middle East, while in Southern Asia coastal inundation, environmental pressure on land and acute economic competition will affect large populations in Bangladesh and on the East coast of India. Similar effects may be felt in the major East Asian archipelagos, while low-lying islands may become uninhabitable. Warming Leads to War – US-ChinaWarming leads to US-China war Dyer 9 Gwynne, MA in Military History and PhD in Middle Eastern History former @ Senior Lecturer in War Studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, Climate Wars China's shrinking rivers will affect not only food produc tion across southern China but also the country's ambitious hydroelectric schemes, like the Three Gorges Dam. The weak ening of the northeast monsoon will cut grain production on the north Chinese plain, and China's industrialized coastal regions will take a severe battering from rising sea levels and stronger storm systems. The autocratic Chinese regime may seek to fortify its domestic position, rendered shaky by these blows, by directing popular anger outwards, at Taiwan, Japan or even the United States. Warming Leads to War – Russia- ChinaWarming leads to Russia-China war Dyer 9 Gwynne, MA in Military History and PhD in Middle Eastern History former @ Senior Lecturer in War Studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, Climate Wars Both of the world's greatest powers are also in the north ern mid-latitudes, but their sheer size makes matters more com plicated, for they straddle several of the zones mentioned above. For a variety of unrelated reasons, China is the big loser. While its most northerly region, Manchuria, comparable in latitude to the New England states in the United States, should continue to receive adequate rainfall at plus-two degrees Celsius, the north Chinese plain, where the country grows most of its wheat, will not: the monsoon that delivers the summer rainfall over most of that region is already beginning to fail, and in the longer run, the volume of flow in the Huang He (Yellow River) will be affected as well. To make matters worse, the shallow aquifer that underlies much of that region has already been pumped dry, and the deep aquifer is going fast. Farther south, where the main grain crop is rice, the glaciers and snowpack in the high Tibetan Plateau that feed the Yangtze and other major rivers are melting. When they are gone, the rivers will become more seasonal, and will contain less water in the summer months, when it is most needed. Northern Eurasian stability could ... be substantially affected by China's need to resettle many tens, even hun dreds of millions from its flooding southern coasts. China has never recognized many of the Czarist appropriations of Chinese territory, and Siberia may be more agricultur ally productive after a 5 to 6 degree C rise in temperature, adding another attractive feature to a region rich in oil, gas and minerals. A small Russian population might have substantial difficulty preventing China from asserting control over much of Siberia and the Russian Far East. The probability of conflict between two destabilized nuclear powers would seem high. Directory: files files -> Answer True False 2 points Question 2 files -> Integer programming and game theory files -> 4 Integer Programming files -> Bpa vehicle Window Repair Scenario #1 task: Procure vehicle window relacement. Objective files -> Pop Warner History files -> North Carolina Inclusion Initiative Mapping Where Children with ieps are Being Served Purpose files -> Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Program Data: Standard 1 Exhibit 4d files -> Hanban – asia society confucius classrooms network 2010 request for proposal files -> Northern England’s set-jetting locations Download 0.56 Mb. Share with your friends:
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