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Impact Turn- North Korea/China Aggresion
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- Straits Times -2K
Impact Turn- North Korea/China AggresionIf the US-Korea Alliance Grows, China and North Korea will strengthen their bonds The Asian Institute for Policy Studies 3/28/11 (CSIS, CEFC: Korea-US Alliance and Northeast Asian Security, http://asaninst.org/eng/careers/board_read.php?num=259&type=recruit&page=1, Accessed 7/28/11) Although the South Korean participants all welcome and appreciate the close consultation between the two governments on the North Korean issue, there was some difference of views on how best to deal with this issue. Some Korean participants from the ruling party criticized the U.S. for allegedly having given up on denuclearizing North Korea while others from the opposition party criticized Washington for allegedly waiting for collapse of the North Korean regime. American participants rejected both lines of criticism. On the hardline side, one ROK participant, a member of the ruling party, questioned the value of returning to the Six Party talks. China, he said, says North Korea will not give up nuclear weapons but China still "advises us to return to the Six Party Talks." What then is the purpose of the Six Party Talks? At the same time, the Korean participant alleged, the U.S. had changed its policy from denuclearization of North Korea to preventing proliferation of nuclear weapons and technology. Another member of the ruling party in the ROK said there are two opinions in South Korea about the Six Party Talks. One school wants a return to talks. A second favours reintroducing tactical U.S. nuclear weapons or developing an indigenous nuclear capability. These views, he said, "will increase." While these participants from the ruling party in the ROK seemed to suggest that the U.S. has given up on the goal of denuclearization, some of the opposition party participants seemed to criticize the U.S. for being too "tough" and too close to ROK President Lee Myong-bak. One opposition leader said that the current strategy of the Lee Myong-bak and Obama Administrations is not to return to negotiations but to put pressure on North Korea in order to facilitate a collapse. But, the opposition leader went on, China supports North Korea and there is no possibility of collapse. Moreover, said the opposition legislator, as the U.S.-ROK alliance strengthens, so too does the China-North Korea alliance and this raises the danger of a reversion to Cold War-type alliances. U.S. Korea partnership provokes third parties Weirz ‘11 (Richard, director of the Center for Political-Military Analysis, a Senior Fellow at the Hudson Institute. Http://the-diplomat.com/2011/07/05/the-danger-of-closer-us-korea-ties/) The latest meeting between senior South Korean and US officials confirmed that relations between South Korea and the United States are the best they’ve been in decades. The two governments have set aside past disagreements and adopted a common policy on numerous international issues. They also now closely coordinate mutually supporting policies on regional security, nuclear security, Afghanistan, and development assistance. As US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton rightly noted during the recent visit of South Korean Foreign Minister Kim Sung-hwan: ‘Our partnership truly has gone global.’ The trouble is that this harmony has actually worsened ties between South Korea, the United States and important third parties, such as North Korea and China. These states fear that a US-South Korean partnership will harm their own regional interests, and could potentially provoke North Korea. With this in mind, are Washington and Seoul really likely to keep prioritizing bilateral ties at the expense of other actors? Extinction. Straits Times -2K (Straits Times, June, 25, 2000, No one gains in war over Taiwan] (PDNSS2115) THE DOOMSDAY SCENARIO -THE high-intensity scenario postulates a cross-strait war escalating into a full-scale war between the US and China. If Washington were to conclude that splitting China would better serve its national interests, then a full-scale war becomes unavoidable. Conflict on such a scale would embroil other countries far and near and -horror of horrors -raise the possibilityof a nuclear war. Beijing has already told the US and Japan privately that it considers any country providing bases and logistics support to any US forces attacking China as belligerent parties open to its retaliation. In the region, this means South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and, to a lesser extent, Singapore. If China were to retaliate, east Asia will be set on fire. And the conflagration may not end there as opportunistic powers elsewhere may try to overturn the existing world order. With the US distracted, Russia may seek to redefine Europe's political landscape. The balance of power in the Middle East may be similarly upset by the likes of Iraq. In south Asia, hostilities between India and Pakistan, each armed with its own nuclear arsenal, could enter a new and dangerous phase: Will a full-scale Sino-US war lead to a nuclear war? According to General Matthew Ridgeway, commander of the US Eighth Army which fought against the Chinese in the Korean War, the US had at the time thought of using nuclear weapons against China to save the US from military defeat. In his book The Korean War, a personal account of the military and political aspects of the conflict and its implications on future US foreign policy, Gen Ridgeway said that US was confronted with two choices in Korea -truce or a broadened war, which could have led to the use of nuclear weapons. If the US had to resort to nuclear weaponry to defeat China long before the latter acquired a similar capability, there is little hope of winning a war against China 50 years later, short of using nuclear weapons. The US estimates that China possesses about 20 nuclear warheads that can destroy major American cities. Beijing also seems prepared to go for the nuclear option. A Chinese military officer disclosed recently that Beijing was considering a review of its "non first use" principle regarding nuclear weapons. Major-General Pan Zhangqiang, president of the military-funded Institute for Strategic Studies, told a gathering at the Woodrow Wilson International Centre for Scholars in Washington that although the government still abided by that principle, there were strong pressures from the military to drop it. He said military leaders considered the use of nuclear weapons mandatory if the country risked dismemberment as a result of foreign intervention. Gen Ridgeway said that should that come to pass, we would see the destruction of civilization. There would be no victors in such a war. While the prospect of a nuclear Annaggedon over Taiwan might seem inconceivable, it cannot be ruled out entirely, for China puts sovereignty above everything else. Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 0.85 Mb. Share with your friends:
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