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CHAPTER 9: PROSPECTS FOR INDO-PAK TRADE



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PR-14-13

CHAPTER 9: PROSPECTS FOR INDO-PAK TRADE
80
9.1. The Automotive Sector of India
81 9.2. Extent of Trade Complementarity
84 Likely Pattern of Indo-Pak Trade
86 9.4. Perceptions of Trade with India
87 9.5. Possible Mitigation Measures
89
CHAPTER 10: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
91
10.1. Conclusions
91 10.2. Recommendations
97
APPENDICES
101
Appendix 1: Chronological History of the Automobile Industry
101 Appendix 2: Questionnaire for Autoparts Manufacturer
103

REFERENCES

114


iv
LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1: Indicators of Size of the Automotive Sector from the CMI of 2005-06 17 Table 2.2: Number of Units in 2011 According to Associations
18 Table 2.3: Reported Capacity of OEMs and Rates of Utilisation
18 Table 2.4: Estimated Levels of Production of Different Types of Vehicles, 2000-01 to
2010-11 21 Table 2.5: International Comparison of Production of Vehicles in Relation to Population
22 Table 2.6: Recent Trends in Prices of Cars, 2008 to 2012 23 Table 2.7: Estimated Turnover in 2009-10 in Different Sub-sectors
24 Table 2.8: Increase in Number of Motor Cycles on Road and Annual Sales
25 Table 2.9: Imports by the Automotive Sector, 2005-06 to 2010-11 25 Table 2.10: Total Exports by Automotive Sector, 2005-06 to 2010-11 26 Table 2.11: Estimated Investment in the Automotive Sector, 2000-01 to 2009-10 26 Table 2.12: Estimated Value Added by the Automotive Sector, 2009-10 27 Table 2.13: Estimated Employment in the Automotive Sector, 2009-10 28 Table 2.14: Estimated Revenue Contribution by the Automotive Sector, 2009-10 29 Table 2.15: Estimated Foreign Exchange Savings due to the Automotive Sector, 2009-
10 30 Table 2.16: Summary of the Key Indicators of the Size and Contribution to the Economy by the Automotive Sector
31 Table 2.17: International Comparison of the Contribution to the Economy by the Automotive Sector, 2010 32 Table 2.18: Short-Run Elasticities of Demand of Different Types of Vehicles
33 Table 3.1: Governing SROs
41 Table 3.2 SRO 693: Levy of Additional Duty on Automotive Sector
42 Table 4.1: Duty Structure on Automotive Sector (During 2011-12)
48 Table 4.2 Effective Protection Rates
50 Table 4.3: Proposed Tariff Structure in Automotive Sector
51 Table 5.1: Magnitude of HHI, 2010-11 54 Table 5.2: Trends in Profitability of OEMs and Autoparts Manufacturers
56 Table 6.1: Legal Status of Vendors and OEMs
61 Table 6.2: Investment and Capacity of Sampled Vendors
62 Table 6.3: Annual Turnover of Sample Vendor Units
63 Table 6.4: Average Employment by Type in Sample Vendor Units
63 Table 6.5: Labour Productivity in Sample Vendor Units
64 Table 6.6: Average Share of the Main Cost Components in Sample Vendors
64 Table 6.7: Gross Profits of the Sample Vendor Units
65 Table 6.8: Share of Value Added in Turnover
65 Table 7.1: Estimated Level of Employment in the Vending Industry
66 Table 7.2: Percentage of Sample Vendors by Type of Production Process
67

v Table 7.3: Presence of Quality Assurance Measures in Sample Vendors
68 Table 7.4: Establishment of Quality Control Procedures by Sample Vendors
68 Table 7.5: Percentage of Sample Vendors with Quality Control
69 Table 7.6: Main Constraints to Improvement of Quality by Sample Vendors
70 Table 7.7: Vendors Share in Supply of Parts
70 Table 7.8: Main Factors Contributing to Vendors' Growth
72 Table 7.9: Government Agencies Approached for Approval of Imports
72 Table 7.10: Impact of Government Regulations on Growth of Sample Vendors
73 Table 7.11: Support Required from Government to Produce Higher Technology Products
73 Table 7.12: Implications of Power Outage
74 Table 8.1: Composition of Pakistan’s Imports and Exports of Automotive Products,
2009-10 76 Table 8.2: Origins of Major Imports of Pakistan of Automotive Products
77 Table 8.3: Destination of Major Exports by Pakistan of Automotive Products
77 Table 8.4: Support Required for Establishing Export Market
79 Table 9.1: Volume of Trade in the Automotive Sector of India
81 Table 9.2: Automobile Production Statistics by Country
82 Table 9.3: Index of Production of Vehicles in India
82 Table 9.4: Composition of India’s Exports and Imports of Automotive Products
83 Table 9.5: Index of Trade Complementarity between Pakistan’s Imports and Indian Exports of Automotive Products
85 Table 9.6: Index of Trade Complementarity between Indian’s Imports and Pakistan’s Exports of Automotive Products
86 Table 9.7: Landed Prices of Potential Indian Exports of Automobile Products to Pakistan and Domestic Prices
88

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