Currently most of the money coming into the ARB health sector comes from the government of PNG (GoPNG), with smaller contributions by donors and the ABG government (see table below). The level of spending is about the bare minimum required to effectively run a health service, and well below what neighbouring countries are spending on health.
This plan assumes that by 2030 ARB health spending will reach the current average expenditure on health for Melanesia, which is double the current ARB expenditure, or an annual real increase of 6%.
Melanesian comparisons – per capita government health expenditure US$2
If expenditure only just keeps up with inflation (6.1%) and population growth (2.3%) then it will be impossible to staff and run the additional services and facilities outlined in this plan. Resources would have to be taken from an existing part of the health sector.
The big challenge in financing this plan will come between 2015 and 2020 as a consequence of changes made as a result of the referendum. If the referendum decision leads to financial independence from PNG, then there is likely to be a lag period before ABG is able to generate enough of its own revenue to replace the current GoPNG contribution to health.
Bringing ABG health expenditure up to US$120 per capita by 2030 on a steady basis with a 5.92% real increase per year (before inflation)
US$100 per capita by 2025
Likely Funding Gap period
US$120 per capita by 2030
The financing of this plan requires a commitment by all partners: the government of PNG, ABG, donor partners and development banks to a funding pathway as indicated above.
In addition, the different funding mechanisms need to be brought together so that the Bougainville health system can make optimal and efficient use of the funds. There is not the management capacity to deal with multiple funders and multiple accountability and reporting lines.
Buildings, timing and financing
The changing shape of the ARB health sector
2012 2030
The crisis has left the ARB health sector with a depleted healthcare infrastructure, as a consequence of the destruction of key facilities such as Arawa Hospital. A key focus of the plan is to rebuild this infrastructure over the next 10 years.
This rebuilding will take a different shape to the current health infrastructure. Changes in communication and transport systems, including roads and bridges, make a big difference to the way people use health services. The redevelopment of the roading system will mean people travel to health facilities more easily. This means there will be a need for fewer facilities, but they will have far greater capacity.
In addition, what is being expected of a health facility has changed. In order to meet the aspirations of this plan, health facilities need to be offering a higher level of skill and a wider range of services than is seen currently. The future will see fewer aid posts, and the development of community health posts with a minimum of three staff. There will be fewer in-patient facilities in health centres and community health posts – most people requiring more than a short stay as an inpatient will travel to the hospitals.
Effective transport arrangements between the facilities will be an important part of the health system.
The plan has indicated a number of buildings that are required for the ABG health sector.
The timing of the building developments depends on the availability of financial and staff resources to sustain a facility once it is built.
As the table below indicates, some of these are already planned and funded – others will require further development of a business case to resolve issues of location, size, cost and staffing.
ARB health infrastructure plan
Facility | Start | Finish | Comments | Capital cost | Additional staff | Recurrent costs. |
STI Clinics (2)
|
2012
|
2012
|
At Buin and Arawa
|
AusAID project funded and currently underway
|
|
|
Rural health service delivery & rural health infrastructure upgrade
|
2012
|
2016?
|
Covers South and Central Region
|
ADB/AusAID/ and other donors. K20m over 5 years
|
? 20
|
?K1m
|
Rural health service delivery & rural health infrastructure upgrade
|
|
|
North
|
No funding identified
|
? 10
|
? K0.5m
|
CHW training school establishment
|
?2013
|
?2016
|
Increased availability of CHWs
|
K 10m
|
|
Currently met by GoPNG
|
Arawa District Hospital development
|
?2018
|
?2020
|
New/rebuilt district hospital
|
K25m
|
60
|
?K5m
|
Rural hospital development Tanamalo, Moratona
|
?2020
|
?2019
|
|
K20m
|
?20
|
? K2m
|
Buin Hospital development
|
?2016
|
?2021
|
Currently MSF supporting this service at K2.2m per year till 2016
|
?K10m
|
?15
|
?2.2m
|
Development of Buka Hospital as provincial hospital
|
2022
|
2022-2029
|
|
K120m
|
?
|
? K20m
|
Nursing school development
|
2023?
|
2030
|
|
|
|
|
Children’s hospital development
|
|
Post 2030
|
|
|
|
|
A full list of sector developments is in Appendix 10.
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