The ban of Muslim NGOs in Kenya has resulted in Muslim resentment against the US
Arye Oded, Institute of Asian and African Studies at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 2000
[Islam and Politics in Kenya, http://www.questia.com/PM.qst?a=o&d=105963685, Questia]
On 8 September, nearly a month after… between Supkem and Imam Shee is paradigmatic
Scenario One is Terrorism
This resentment hinders effective terrorism operations in Kenya by denying cooperation and use of military bases
Hared H. Adan, Major in the Kenyan Army, 2005
[“Combating Transnational Terrorism in Kenya,” Thesis presented to the Faculty of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, http://stinet.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=A436675&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf]
Diplomacy is the instrument of power… support contributes to the dissent.
This results in terrorism
Hared H. Adan, Major in the Kenyan Army, 2005
[“Combating Transnational Terrorism in Kenya,” Thesis presented to the Faculty of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, http://stinet.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=A436675&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf]
By focusing on front organizations and… to correct this misconception.
Kenya is a breeding grounds for terrorism because of its strategic importance, easy targets, and lack of security in the country
Hared H. Adan, Major in the Kenyan Army, 2005
[“Combating Transnational Terrorism in Kenya,” Thesis presented to the Faculty of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, http://stinet.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=A436675&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf]
Kenya’s geography and geographic location… infiltrate into the country.
Terrorists will get WMDs
Stephen Mbogo, Cybercast News Service Correspondent, July 6, 2007
[“Africa Faces Potential WMD Terror Risk, Security Analysts Say,” http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewForeignBureaus.asp?Page=/ForeignBureaus/archive/200707/INT20070706a.html]
With the "globalization" of terrorism and… or local strategic facilities.
Kenya is key to global war on terror
Hared H. Adan, Major in the Kenyan Army, 2005
[“Combating Transnational Terrorism in Kenya,” Thesis presented to the Faculty of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, http://stinet.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=A436675&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf]
Kenya also joined the US… recruiting grounds for terrorists.
Terrorism escalates to a nuclear exchange
Patrick F. Speice Jr., JD Candidate at College of William and Mary, 2006
[“Negligence and Nuclear Nonproliferation,” William & Mary Law Review, 47 Wm and Mary L. Rev. 1427, February]
Accordingly, there is a significant and… the use of nuclear weapons. 53
Scenario Two is Hegemony
Popularity in Kenya is key to establishing a lily pad in Kenya
Peter Halvorsen, US Naval Institute Proceedings, 2005
[“Making a Case for Naval Lily Pads,” Vol. 131, Issue 3, March 20, p. 84-86, Proquest]
The advantages of a lily pad are… Force for the Horn of Africa.
Lily pad bases are critical to military flexibility, power projection, and overall hegemony
Peter Halvorsen, US Naval Institute Proceedings, 2005
[“Making a Case for Naval Lily Pads,” Vol. 131, Issue 3, March 20, p. 84-86, Proquest]
Ongoing U.S. military operations in Afghanistan… liberal governments in the region.
Collapse of hegemony results in apolarity, risking multiple scenarios for nuclear war
Niall Ferguson, Senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, 2004
[“A world without power,” Foreign Policy 143, July-August, p. 32-39]
For more than two decades,… so-new world disorder.
War and instability can only occur in a world absent primacy
Bradley Thayer, Professor of Security Studies at Missouri State, 2006
[“In Defense of Primacy,” The National Interest, November/December, p. 32-37]
A grand strategy based on… of solving the world's ills.
Contention Four is Health
There is a massive shortage of health care workers and services in Kenya
USAID, Capacity Project Knowledge Sharing, 2007
[“The Capacity Project in Kenya,” March, http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PDACJ711.pdf]
Kenya’s health care system suffers… in other essential areas.
Demand for HIV treatment equipment outstrips supply – more assistance is needed
Robert K. Nyaga, Social Sector Division of the Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, 2004
[“HIV/AIDS in Kenya: A Review of Research and Policy Issues,” KIPPRA Discussion Paper No. 38, June, http://www.kippra.org/Download/DPNO38.pdf]
Drugs that prevent mother-to-child… incurring heavy negative externalities.
Health centers have had to close as a result of the US ban on aid to Muslim NGOs – more will close without aid. This also bolsters resentment against the US
Sheikh Hussein Ibrahim Burale, Chairman of the Supreme Council of Kenya Muslims Garissa District, 2003
[“Open Letter to Heads of All Diplomatic Corps in Kenya,” December 15, http://www.twf.org/News/Y2004/0229-Kenya.html]
It is unfortunate and unfair that… funding the local Muslim projects.
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