contention one:
increasing foreign aid to africa is like throwing gasoline on a fire. instead, we should withdraw from these quick-fix solutions and develop sustainable aid structures including corruption controls, cutting aid, and focusing on several key countries.
Calderisi 2006 (Robert, Rhodes Scholar and 30-year career in International Development principally at the World Bank, “The Trouble with Africa: Why Foreign Aid Isn’t Working”, p.208-210)
furthermore, foreign aid is channeled through corrupt governments which funds embezzlement or luxury and prevents development for the poor. it props up oppressive dictatorships and encourages continuation of poverty so governments can continue getting loans.
Blanchette 2003 (Jude Daniel, studies economics at Loyola College, 4/23, “Foreign Aid, Foreign Disaster”, http://www.mises.org/story/1212)
Japan Counterplan
(solvency cards as per the aff)
Malthus
A) Uniqueness - Africa is already overpopulated
The Guardian 06
August 25, Population Explosion Threatens to Trap Africa in Cycle of Poverty, Xan Rice, Staff Writer, www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/o,,1857730,00.html
B) Link - Improvements in public health explode the population in Africa
Goliber 1997- (Thomas, UC Davis, “Population and reproductive health in sub-Saharan Africa” http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3761/is_199712/ai_n8764393/pg_3)
C) Impact:
1. Turns Case: Each person saved now costs 10 in the crunch
Ehrlich, 74 –Professor of Biology at Stanford University-1974 (Paul June 16th The New York Times)
2. Population growth is the cause of African war, poverty, and all instability
Caldwell, 02 – 2002 (Joseph George Caldwell PhD, “Population Moderation” http://www.foundation.bw/OnWarAndPeace.htm)
Pivotal States
the u.s. is adopting a policy of selective engagement now – but the public hates foreign aid – the plan engages a pivotal state that would make the public isolationist.
Chase 1996 (Robert S., PhD Candidate in Economics at Yale, Pivotal States and U.S. Strategy, Foreign Affairs, Jan-Feb, Vol 75 Issue 1, in conjunction with Emily B. Hill [PhD Candidate in history at Yale] and Paul Kennedy [Prof. of History at Yale])
Khalilzad
Uniqueness
Increasing aid costs political capital
INSTITUE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS 05 [THE POLITICS OF U.S. FOREIGN AID, 2005, http://www.iie.com/publications/chapters_preview/321/3iie2911.pdf]
only bush’s political capital can push the controversial deal through a divided congress – our evidence is comparative.
Energy & Environment Daily, 5-16, 7
LOST provides a comprehensive solution to ocean environmental protection
David B. Sandalow, 2004, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Brookings, August 2004, http://www.brookings.edu/papers/2004/08energy_sandalow.aspx
Declining ocean health risks the end of all life within the next decade St. Petersburg Times 4-25-04
Heg Bad
Engagement draws the u.s. into great power wars which go nuclear
Gholz, press, sapolsky 97
(Eugene, Daryl, and Harvey, doctoral candidates and professors of public policy at mit, come home, america, international security, vol. 21, no. 4, p.5-48)
Hegemony provokes nuclear terrorism – even the dod admits
Eland 1998 (Ivan, Director of Defense Policy Studies at CATO, Foreign Policy Briefing No. 50, Does U.S. Intervention Overseas Breed Terrorism, December 17)
Hegemony kills the economy – prefer our comparative evidence that on balance hegemony is the worst option
Layne 97 (christopher, visiting associate professor at naval postgraduate school, international security, from preponderance to offshore balancing, summer)
Hegemony necessitates a growing area of nuclear commitment which makes confrontation and crisis instability inevitable – the result is nuclear war and the collapse of leadership
May 2000 (Michael, us enlargement strategy and nuclear weapons, ciaonet, march, senior fellow at institute of social studies and professor at sanford university, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/mam03/MayEnlargement2000.pdf)
HEGEMONY AND EXTENDED DETERRENCE COMMITMENTS IN EAST ASIA WILL INEVITABLY FAIL, CHAIN-GANGING THE US INTO A NUCLEAR WAR. MUST WITHDRAW AND ALLOW RENUCLEARIZATION TO STRIKE A STABLE BALANCE AND PREVENT A LARGER WAR BETWEEN THE US AND ASIA**
LAYNE (CATO Visiting Fellow) 1996
[Christopher, “Less is More”, National Interest, Spring, p. 72-73]
Nigeria PIC
Militants in Nigeria have given president Yar’Adua a window of opportunity to maintain credibility and end their conflict. Failure will cause more terrorism and oil companies to pull out.
Vanguard 7-24-07 (Africa News (Nigeria), “Nigeria; Economy Realises N536.47bn From Crude Oil in June,” Lexis)
Aid policies destroy government credibility – they’re seen as unable to protect their own people or negotiate effectively with donors.
Herfkens, 6-22-07 (Eveline, executive coordinator of the Millennium Campaign of the UN, Sabina Zaccaro: staff writer/interviewer for IPS, Q&A: "Too Few African Governments Have Had the Guts to Say 'No'" Interview with Eveline Herfkens, http://www.ipsnews.net/africa/nota.asp?idnews=38277)
Loss of legitimacy in Nigeria would destroy standards throughout west Africa and cause massive state failure.
J. Peter Pham, director of the Nelson Institute for International and Public Affairs at James Madison, quoting Paden, Prof. of Int’l Studies at George Mason and dean of Social and Management Sciences, at Bayero University, Nigeria; 4-24-07 (The National Interest Online, “Nigeria: Crisis of Legitimacy,” http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=14120)
And, African instability risks great power draw-in and global nuclear war
Jeffrey Deutsch, PhD & Founder, Rabid Tiger Project, RABID TIGER NEWSLETTER v. 2 n. 9, November 18, 2002. Available from the World Wide Web at: www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html)
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