OBSERVATION ONE: THE STATUS QUO
AIDS CONTINUES TO SPREAD AND ALL STATUS QUO MEASURES WILL FAIL—VACCINES ARE THE ONLY CHANCE FOR A CURE
BERKELEY 12-18-2007 (Dr. Seth, chief executive and president of the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative, Washington Post)
First, there was the announcement ... eliminate the need for all others.
UNFORTUNATELY, VACCINE RESEARCH IS FAILING IN THE STATUS QUO—COMPANIES HAVE A PERVERSE FINANCIAL INCENTIVE TO AVOID VACCINE RESEARCH—BILLIONS COULD DIE AS A RESULT
FINANCIAL TIMES 3-3-2005
For the billions of potential victims of Aids ... antiretroviral Aids drugs cheaply.
AND, THIS INADEQUATE VACCINE RESEARCH IS FOCUSED ON STRAINS COMMON TO THE UNITED STATES, NOT AFRICA
CRADDOCK 2007 (Susan, Department of Gender, Women, and Sexuality Studies, University of Minnesota, Social Science & Medicine, March)
In the meantime, the interrelation ... regions of Africa and Southeast Asia.
OBSERVATION TWO: AIDS
FIRST, AIDS CONTINUES TO SPREAD IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA AND ALL PREVENTIVE MEASURES WILL FAIL—ONLY A VACCINE CAN SUCCEED
BERKELEY 2007 (Dr. Seth, President of the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative, November 21, http://www.iavi.org/viewfile.cfm?fid=47261)
“We at IAVI are encouraged ... for those who need it most.”
AND, THE AIDS PANDEMIC IS UNIQUE—IT WILL NOT BURN OUT OR LEVEL OFF
PIOT 2005 (Dr. Peter, Director of UNAIDS, “Why AIDS is Exceptional,” Feb 8, http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/LSEPublicLecturesAndEvents/pdf/20050208-PiotAIDS2.pdf)
A first and crucial way ... expand for decades!
200 MILLION PEOPLE WILL BE LIVING WITH HIV BY 2020—THIS REDUCES THE OVERALL IMMUNITY OF THE HUMAN SPECIES AND INCREASES THE RISK OF PANDEMICS FROM RE-EMERGING, NEW, AND CURRENT DISEASES
NEWSDAY 5-31-2001 (http://www.aegis.com/news/NEWSDAY/2001/ND010505.html)
Today, with the AIDS ... popping out of our DNA to cause disease.
THE IMPACT OUTWEIGHS ALL DISADVANTAGES—EMERGING DISEASES ARE THE GREATEST THREAT TO HUMAN SURVIVAL
ZIMMERMAN AND ZIMMERMAN 1996 (Barry and David, both have M.S. degrees from Long Island University, Killer Germs p 132)
Then came AIDS…... Robin Marantz Hening.
AIDS HOLLOWS OUT AFRICAN MILITARIES AND CRUSHES DETERRENCE—THIS RESULTS IN WAR
SINGER 2002 (Peter, John M. Olin Post-doctoral Fellow, Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution, Survival, Spring. This is not the bioethicist/activist Peter Singer.)
The results are devastating ... rates as classified information.25
THIS ESCALATES TO NUCLEAR WAR
DEUTSCH 2002 (Jeffrey, Political Risk Consultant and Ph.D in Economics, The Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Vol 2, No 9, Nov 18, http://list.webengr.com/pipermail/picoipo/2002-November/000208.html)
The Rabid Tiger Project believes ... people love to go fishing.
ALL OTHER WAR IMPACTS HAVE A ZERO PROBABILITY—DETERRENCE PREVENTS ESCALATION
MUELLER 1988 (John, Professor of Political Science at the University of Rochester, International Security, Fall)
In the second part, these ... born of boredom.
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OGLETHORPE AND GELMAN 2006 (Judy, World Wildlife Fund; Nancy, Africa Biodiversity Collaborative Group, Frontiers in Ecology and Environment, April 2006)
Behind these broad population... Center for Research on Women 2004).
DEFORESTATION IS THE KEY TO ALL SPECIES LOSS—COLLAPSE OF PLANT LIFE WILL EVENTUALLY DESTROY ALL LIFE ON EARTH—THIS OUTWEIGHS ANY DISAD IMPACT
WATSON 2006 (Captain Paul, Founder and President of Sea Shepherd Conservation Society, Last Mod 9-17, http://www.eco-action.org/dt/beerswil.html)
The facts are clear. More plant ... massive human destruction.
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Plan: The United States federal government, through the Partnership for AIDS Vaccine Evaluation, should establish an advance purchase commitment for human immunodeficiency virus clade C vaccines for Africa south of the Sahara. Vaccine candidates should be given a fast-track review evaluation.
OBSERVATION THREE: SOLVENCY
ADVANCE MARKET COMMITMENTS ENCOURAGE VACCINE RESEARCH AND DISTRIBUTION—THIS WOULD PREVENT MILLIONS OF INFECTIONS
I.A.V.I. 2005 (International AIDS Vaccine Initiative Policy Brief, “Advance Market Commitments: Helping to accelerate AIDS vaccine development,” November, http://www.iavi.org/file.cfm?fid=35155)
Researchers face significant challenges... infections and AIDS-related deaths.
FAST-TRACK TESTING WOULD CUT YEARS OFF THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS AND QUICKLY RESULT IN AN EFFECTIVE VACCINE—EVEN A WEAK VACCINE WITH POOR DISTRIBUTION WOULD STOP AIDS
BERKELEY 2007 (Seth, president and CEO of the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative, Foreign Policy, May 1)
An AIDS vaccine is ... so desperately needs.
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