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***Regional stability*** Relations Good



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China Relations Core - Berkeley 2016
High Speed Rail Affirmative Politics Elections Link Turns UTNIF 2012

***Regional stability***



Relations Good

Relations good – ASEAN mod***




Positive relations between the U.S. and China is key to ASEAN solidarity


Greg Earl, Financial Affairs editor, June 19, 2016, “Kishore Mahbubani says US-China tension could split southeast Asia” Australian Financial Review, http://www.afr.com/news/world/asia/kishore-mahbubani-says-uschina-tension-could-split-southeast-asia-20160618-gpmh25
We are now moving into an era where competition between the United States and China will step up in the decades to come and when it does ASEAN and to some extent Australia could also be torn apart in this competition," Professor Mahbubani said, ahead of a major lecture in Canberra on Tuesday. "Clearly all the ASEAN countries want to be friends with the US and they want to be friends with China, they don't want to choose but events might arise which force them to choose." Even in a worst-case scenario they won't formally break up for five to 10 years but there could be paralysis and inefficiency before that." Professor Mahbubani said this would have profound implications for Australia because it had benefited from the stability provided by peace in southeast Asia and a steady relationship with ASEAN. "Let's say in the worst-case scenario ASEAN breaks apart, among the biggest losers will be Australia. Australia actually should have been living in an uncomfortable geopolitical neighbourhood but the success of ASEAN and the calm that ASEAN has created has been a geopolitical gift to Australia.


A2 China kicks USA out



China does not mind American involvement in ASEAN


Xinhua News Agency, February 17, 2016, “U.S.-ASEAN relationship should benefit regional peace: FM spokesman”, Xinhua News, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-02/17/c_135106984.htm
China said on Wednesday that the development of relationship between the United States and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) should be conducive to regional stability and development. Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei made the remarks when asked to comment on a gathering between U.S. President Barack Obama and leaders of Southeast Asian countries on Monday and Tuesday. In a joint statement issued after the meeting, the two sides shared a commitment to "maintain peace, security and stability in the region, ensuring maritime security and safety, including the rights of freedom of navigation and overflight." "We have taken note of the attempt by some country to use the summit to stir up the South China Sea issue, but most of ASEAN members did not agree, because such a move will not only damage trust among countries in the region, but will interfere with their efforts in safeguarding the peace and stability in the South China Sea," said Hong at a routine press briefing.


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