Citi Chicago Debate Championship Varsity and jv previews

Status quo warming causes extinction – 4 to 6 degrees make adaptation impossible – tipping points

But the bigger problem—and the reason Copenhagen caused such great despair—is

AND

now convinced that global warming poses a clear and present danger to civilization.”

Independently, there will be a race to the bottom among multilateral development banks and poorly planned infrastructure development --- impact on the environment will be even greater than climate change

If you care about the environment and human rights, there's good reasons to be

AND

and human rights, the signs are all pointing in the wrong direction.

Biodiversity loss is a threat multiplier, it outweighs and triggers their impacts

According to the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, the two greatest existential threats to human

AND

as one of the most significant contemporary risks to human prosperity and survival.

China’s rise is inevitable --- U.S. failure to seek membership in the AIIB sends the signal that it doesn’t want to integrate China into global economic governance and crushes America’s ability to shape the global order

The United States has sensibly declared its intention to rebalance towards the Asia-Pacific

AND

writ large—than, respectively, excluding China and shunning its efforts.

U.S. concerns over Chinese governance prevents efforts to positively reform the AIIB and facilitate multilateral diplomacy and deep cooperation with China

South China Sea conflict goes nuclear.

Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, “China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part” http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part

One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial

AND

a marriage in which divorce is not an option. Divorce means war.

Independently, China will be forced to turn to aggressive military actions if the U.S. doesn’t support its growing role in the global economy via the AIIB

Lipscy, 15 --- Assistant Professor of Political Science and the Thomas Rohlen Center Fellow, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University (5/7/15, Phillip Y., “Who's Afraid of the AIIB; Why the United States Should Support China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,”zhhm≥/;;;;;;pp https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2015-05-07/whos-afraid-aiib, downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)

To put it differently, China has a basic choice. It can create an

AND

encourage, not discourage, Chinese foreign policy initiatives such as the AIIB.

Failure to recalibrate U.S. economic policy toward China risks miscalculation that triggers great power conflict

Wyne, 15 --- contributing analyst at Wikistrat and a global fellow at the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (6/1/15, Ali, “Is America’s Mind-set the Greatest Threat to Its Future?” http://nationalinterest.org/feature/america%E2%80%99s-mind-set-the-greatest-threat-its-future-13004?page=show, article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP) ***Joseph Nye is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and one of the most esteemed analysts of world affairs

Nye suggests that the greatest threat to U.S. influence may not be

AND

world order.” Here’s to hoping that the United States heeds that judgment.

Warming causes water shortages

Mooney 16 (Chris, writes about energy and the environment at The Washington Post and published four books about science and climate change, “World Bank: The way climate change is really going to hurt us is through water”, Washington Post, 5/3/16, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/05/03/world-bank-the-way-climate-change-is-really-going-to-hurt-us-is-through-water/ //HY)

As India, the world’s second-most populous country, reels from an intense

AND

for water due to increased needs in the electricity generation and agricultural sectors.

4 billion people go without water every year and hotspots for escalation are appearing all over the world – traditional deterrents don’t check

Cook 16 (grace, researcher at the Wilson center for water, water scarcity is making for some scary conditions, http://www.environmentalleader.com/2016/03/01/water-scarcity-is-making-for-some-scary-conditions/, LB)

In a study published in Science Advances, Mesfin M. Mekonnen and Arjen Y

AND

for water-related crises – and how unique these factors can be.

Our scholarship is uniquely good

Healey 11 [Thomas, The Global Water Crisis Is Too Big to Ignore]

Over the long-term, the most potent tool in reversing the world's growing

AND

coordination and cooperation across international borders, the ripple effects are felt everywhere.

The ability to disregard water scarcity is a privilege granted to us by our ability to access it – Working across different levels is necessary for an effective response

DeBaun 2013 (Dan, reporter on international affairs, could water scarcity be the national security issue of the future, http://www.bigberkeywaterfilters.com/blog/water-activism/could-water-scarcity-be-the-national-security-issue-of-the-future, LB)

Scientists have been warning world leaders about an imminent global water crisis for some time

AND

life – no living thing can live without it, neither can we.

Independently, water scarcity forces migration which alienates people from their homes – this allows water to be weaponized against those most in need

Kuross 2015 (even, Management Consultant based in Oslo focusing on public sector issues. water scarcity being a source of conflict, http://www.fairobserver.com/region/middle_east_north_africa/water-scarcity-risks-being-a-source-of-conflict-28740/m, LB)

The UN estimates that, considering current water depletion trends, up to 700 million

AND

for human existence creates the potential for hostilities to continue and eventually worsen.

Prefer the newest peer reviewed studies – water scarcity creates flashpoints for conflict all over the globe

Ahmed 2015 (nafeez, PhD, is an investigative journalist, international security scholar and bestselling author who tracks what he calls the ‘crisis of civilization.’ He is a winner of the Project Censored Award for Outstanding Investigative Journalism for his Guardian reporting on the intersection of global ecological, energy and economic crises with regional geopolitics and conflicts. He has also written for The Independent, Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, The Scotsman, Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, Quartz, Prospect, New Statesman, Le Monde diplomatique, New Internationalist. His work on the root causes and covert operations linked to international terrorism officially contributed to the 9/11 Commission and the 7/7 Coroner’s Inquest.new age of water wars portends bleak future for the middle east, http://www.mintpressnews.com/new-age-of-water-wars-portends-bleak-future-for-the-middle-east/203712/m, LB)

Behind the escalating violence in Iraq, Syria and Yemen, as well as the

AND

dam would reduce the capacity of Egypt’s hydroelectric plant at Aswan by 40%.

Only our evidence is comparative – Status quo studies ignore the unconventionality of water wars which means that you should prefer specificity

Zala 2012 (ben, Lecturer in International Politics at the University of Leicester, UK, where his works focuses on great power diplomacy, rising powers in the global order and global security issues. Prior to taking up this position, Ben was Director of the Sustainable Security programme from 2010-2013. He has also worked at Chatham House (Royal Institute of International Affairs) and on the editorial teams of the academic journals Civil Wars and Global Change, Peace and Security (both published by Routledge). Ben holds a PhD in International Relations from the University of Birmingham and a Bachelor of International Relations with first class honours from La Trobe University, Melbourne. His work has been published in leading journals and blogs and regularly contributes to UK and international media, water scarcity: the real and virtual problem, https://www.stratfor.com/the-hub/water-scarcity-real-and-virtual-problems, LB)

Of course, for all the evidence of past disputes over water, there is

AND

other similarly dispossessed groups across the world at the touch of a button.”

Only U.S. China collaboration can produce effective solutions to water scarcity.

Ghallager 15 [Paul, Obama’s War on China’s AIIB Bank Is Virtual Treason Against U.S.]

What Obama has done is virtual treason against the United States, on two counts

AND

speed transport, storm-protection, and communications infrastructure within the United States

Squo policy debate privileges high magnitude low probability impacts – most DAs have hundreds of discrete steps that are left unmentioned which reduce their probability to functionally zero – as a judge you should raise your threshold for voting for these arguments to shift debate towards a more equitable balance of burden of proof vs. rejoinder

Cohn 13 (Nate – politics writer for the NY Times, debate coach at Georgia, “Improving the Norms and Practices of Policy Debate,” in CEDA Debate forums, 11-24-13, http://www.cedadebate.org/forum/index.php?action=printpage;topic=5416.0)

The fact that policy debate is wildly out of touch—the fact that we

AND

to hear others comment on specific norms and practices that they find problematic.

Subsequently, low probability should be no probability – try or die logic promotes serial policy failure

Sunstein 2 (Cass, Karl N. Llewellyn Distinguished Service Professor, University of Chicago, Law School and Department of Political Science, Probability Neglect: Emotions, Worst Cases, and Law, http://www.yalelawjournal.org/pdf/112-1/SunsteinFINAL.pdf)

If someone is predisposed to be worried, degrees of unlikeliness seem to provide no

AND

the small difference would not matter when each risk is taken in isolation.

Directory: wp-content -> uploads -> 2017
2017 -> Leadership ohio
2017 -> Ascension Lutheran Church Counter’s Schedule January to December 2017
2017 -> Board of directors juanita Gibbons-Delaney, mha, rn president 390 Stone Castle Pass Atlanta, ga 30331
2017 -> Military History Anniversaries 16 thru 31 January Events in History over the next 15 day period that had U. S. military involvement or impacted in some way on U. S military operations or American interests
2017 -> The Or Shalom Cemetery Community Teaching on related issues of Integral
2017 -> Ford onthult samenwerking met Amazon Alexa en introduceert nieuwe navigatiemogelijkheden van Ford sync® 3 met Applink
2017 -> Start Learn and Increase gk. Question (1) Name the term used for talking on internet with the help of text messege?
2017 -> Press release from 24. 03. 2017 From a Charleston Car to a Mafia Sedan
2017 -> Tage Participants
2017 -> Years of Sporting Execellence update 2 -on 12. 02. 17

Download 465.95 Kb.

Share with your friends: