Hypothesis Testing We start with an example



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2. means that we reject in favor of
The significance level is usually a matter of choice for the researcher, and is selected in advance of the test.

Choosing a significance level is not important unless the researcher must make a decision on the basis of the test.
Terminology
If the p-value falls below the predetermined significance level, we say the results are “statistically significant”.

If the p-value does not fall below the significance level, we say the results are “not statistically significant”.


Example: Let suppose that the math SAT scores are distributed with mean 500 and standard deviation 40. Suppose that an “SAT school” proclaims “Our students have higher math SAT scores.” A random sample of 3600 “alumni” from the SAT school has a sample mean of 502.

Test the schools claim at significance level 0.05.


Solution: Let denote the true mean for all students from SAT school.
Here we test vs
(This is a RTA test)

The test statistic comes out to

The p-value is
Since the p-value is less than 0.05, the result is statistically significant and we reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we conclude that the school has a benefit to the students.


Observe that the result is highly statistically significant, but of not much practical significance. We say that the observed gain of 2 points is statistically significant, but not of much practical significance.
Statistical Significance is not equal to practical significance.

(See the above example)


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