International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Monday 24 September
German information event
10:00 Auftaktveranstaltung “Stand der deutschen Meeresforschung”
Senatorin Dr. D. Stapelfeldt (BWF), Ministerialdirektor Dr. K. E. Huthmacher (BMBF), Prof. Dr. R. Mielke (UHAM-
Präsident, Prof. Dr. J. Marotzke (WCRP), Prof. Dr. M. Latif (GEOMAR)
11:00 Diskussion und Gelegenheit für Pressefragen
12:00 Registration open for all participants
Buffet lunch for all conference participants (from 12.30 to 14.00)
14:00-14:20 Opening of the conference:
Welcome and introduction
D. Stammer and D. Quadfasel, University of Hamburg
A. Tilche, European Commission
K. Wollin/ C. Alecke, Federal Ministry for Education and Research
Scientific Talks
14.20-17.40 1)-Observation systems, Chair: Martin Visbeck
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
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14:20
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Martin
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Visbeck
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GEOMAR
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Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
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In Situ Sustained Ocean Observations in support of MOC research and ocean indices
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14:50
|
Jürgen
|
Fischer
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GEOMAR
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Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
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Intra-seasonal variability of the DWBC in the western subpolar North Atlantic
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15:10
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Bogi
|
Hansen
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HAV
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Faroe Marine Research Institute
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Interactions between the Atlantic inflow branches to the Nordic Seas
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15:30
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Christian
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Mertens
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Univ. Bremen
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University of Bremen
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Observations of circulation and transport variability in the Newfoundland Basin
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15:50
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Johanna
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Baehr
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Univ. Hamburg
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Institute of Oceanography, University of Hamburg
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AMOC state and variability from existing and planned mooring arrays in the Atlantic
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16:10
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Uwe
|
Send
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San Diego
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Scripps Institution of Oceanography
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Comparison of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) at two latitudes - 16°N and 24°N
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16.30-17.00 Coffee break
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
|
17:00
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Shane
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Elipot
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NOC
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National Oceanography Centre
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Observed basin-wide response of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to wind stress forcing
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17:20
|
Gerard
|
McCarthy
|
NOC
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National Oceanography Centre
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The Seasonal Cycle of the AMOC at 26.5N - Local or Global?
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17.40-19.10 2-Natural variability, Chair: Jim Hurrell
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
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17:40
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Jim
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Hurrell
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UCAR
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University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
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Sources of Uncertainty in Climate Predictions: The Role of Natural Variability
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18:10
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Mojib
|
Latif
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GEOMAR
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Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
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Southern Ocean Centennial Climate Variability: Origin, AMOC Impact, and Implications for Global Warming
|
18:30
|
Johann
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Jungclaus
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MPG
|
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
|
Arctic climate and sea-ice changes over the last millennium: what is the role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?
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18:50
|
Matthew
|
Menary
|
Met O
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Met Office Hadley Centre
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Solar forcing of the AMOC since 1859
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19.10-21.30 Poster Session & Aperitif
Tuesday 25 September
08.30-09.00 Coffee break
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
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9:00
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Stephen
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Outten
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NERSC
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Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
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Bjerknes compensation and the multi-decadal variability of heat transports
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9:20
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Guillaume
|
Gastineau
|
UPMC-LOCEAN
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Université Pierre et Marie Curie- LOCEAN/IPSL
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Atmospheric response to the North Atlantic Ocean variability on seasonal to decadal time scales
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9:40
|
Sybren
|
Drijfhout
|
KNMI
|
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
|
An abrupt cold event in the pre-industrial control run of ECEARTH induced by the AMOC
|
10.00-10.30 Coffee break
09.00-10.00 3-Key processes, Chair: Antonio J. Busalacchi
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
|
Title presentation
|
10:30
|
Antonio
|
Busalacchi
|
ESSIC
|
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland
|
Physical Processes Key to Advancing our
Understanding of North Atlantic Climate Variability
|
11:00
|
Juliette
|
Mignot
|
UPMC-LOCEAN
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Université Pierre et Marie Curie-LOCEAN
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Volcanic impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in two generations of the IPSL model
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11:20
|
Laura
|
Jackson
|
Met O
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Met Office Hadley Centre
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Exploring the stability of the AMOC in HadCM3
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11:40
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Chris
|
Roberts
|
Met O
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Met Office Hadley Centre
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Are SSTs useful for detecting changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation?
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12.00-13.00 Lunch
Starting at
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Name
|
Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
|
Title presentation
|
13:00
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Claus
|
Boening
|
GEOMAR
|
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
|
Decadal changes in subpolar North Atlantic heat and freshwater content orchestrated by the NAO
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13:20
|
Eleanor
|
Frajka-Williams
|
NOC
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National Oceanography Centre
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Causes and impact of the recent slowdown of the MOC at 26N on heat content in the North Atlantic
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13:40
|
Jin-Song
|
von Storch
|
MPG
|
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
|
An estimate of Lorenz energy cycle for the world ocean based on the one tenth degree STORM/NCEP simulation
|
14.00-14.30 Coffee break
14.30-18.00 4-Predictability, Chair: Tim Palmer
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
|
Title presentation
|
14:30
|
Tim
|
Palmer
|
UNIV. OX
|
University of Oxford
|
On the reliability of multi-year forecasts of climate
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15:00
|
Wilco
|
Hazeleger
|
KNMI
|
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
|
Multimodel decadal predictions of the North Atlantic Ocean
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Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
|
Title presentation
|
15:20
|
Susanna
|
Corti
|
ECMWF
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European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
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Impact of initial conditions with respect to external forcing in the decadal predictions: a sensitivity experiment
|
15:40
|
Juergen
|
Kroeger
|
MPG
|
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
|
Decadal Climate Prediction with ECHAM5-MPIOM: Sensitivity to Initialization
|
16:00
|
Nick
|
Dunstone
|
Met O
|
Met Office Hadley Centre
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Results from multi-model idealised observing system experiments being carried out for THOR WP4.2 Impact of Ocean Observations on THC predictions
|
16.20-16.50 Coffee break
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
|
Title presentation
|
16:50
|
Daniela
|
Matei
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MPG
|
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
|
Towards multiyear climate predictions of the North Atlantic/European climate
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17:10
|
Ed
|
Hawkins
|
Univ. Reading
|
NCAS-Climate, University of Reading
|
Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
|
17:30
|
Thomas
|
Martin
|
GEOMAR
|
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
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Uncertainties of North Atlantic MOC and atmosphere-ocean interaction in future climate projections
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Wednesday 26 September
08.30-09.00 Coffee break
09.00-12.00 5-Marginal seas and coastal impacts, Topic session chair: Hans von Storch
Starting at
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Name
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Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
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9:00
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Hans
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von Storch
|
|
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research
|
tbc
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9:30
|
Dmitry
|
Sein
|
MPG
|
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
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Modeling anthropogenic Climate Change of the northwest European Shelves and the northeast Atlantic
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9:50
|
Tor
|
Eldevik
|
Bjerknes Center
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Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen
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Sources and propagation of anomalous freshwater content in the Nordic Seas
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10:10
|
Roshin
|
Pappukutty Raj
|
NERSC
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Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
|
Atlantic Water temperature variability in the northeastern Nordic Seas
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10.30-11.00 Coffee break
Starting at
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Name
|
Surname
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Acronym inst.
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Institute
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Title presentation
|
11:00
|
Héðinn
|
Valdimarsson
|
MRI
|
Marine Research Institute Iceland
|
Observations of currents and hydrography in the eastern Iceland Sea
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11:20
|
Michael J
|
Karcher
|
AWI
|
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research
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Arctic ocean circulation variability – causes and consequences
|
11:40
|
Ursula
|
Schauer
|
AWI
|
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research
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Change of heat in the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean in the last two decades
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12.00-12.30 Wrapping-up
12.30 -14.00 Lunch and closure of the conference
For THOR scientists only: THOR Meeting
Starting at
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Scheduled
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Presentations by
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Mandatory presence for
|
14:00
|
CT1, CT2, CT3 CT4, CT5 group meetings running in parallel
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All THOR scientists involved
|
all THOR scientists involved
|
Coffee break
Starting at
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Scheduled
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Presentations by
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Mandatory presence for
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16:00
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Project briefing: status of the project, reporting duties deliverables and WP reports
|
Detlef Quadfasel, Chiara Bearzotti
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all THOR scientists involved
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17:00
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CT discussion in plenary session:
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Presented by Johann Jungclaus, Kikki Kleiven, Steffen Olsen, Svein Østerhus and Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and Detlef Stammer
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all THOR scientists involved
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18:00
|
Scientific Steering Committee meeting: Detlef Quadfasel, Johann Jungclaus, Kikki Kleiven, Steffen Olsen, Svein Østerhus and Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and Detlef Stammer
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Chaired by Detlef Quadfasel
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Detlef Quadfasel, Johann Jungclaus, Kikki Kleiven, Steffen Olsen, Svein Østerhus and Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and Detlef Stammer
|
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