Peak Oil Theorists Wrong – Future Oil Production 167
Oil Reserves High 169
Oil Reserves High 170
Oil Reserves High 171
Oil Reserves High 172
Oil Reserves High 173
Oil Reserves High 174
Oil Reserves High 175
Reserve Growth/Tech Solves 177
Tech Solves 179
Tech Solves 180
Tech Solves 181
Tech Solves 182
New Techniques Solve 184
Other Resources Solve 185
Natural Gas Solves 187
[card continues --- no text deleted] 187
Natural Gas Solves 188
188
Natural Gas Solves 189
Natural Gas Solves 190
Natural Gas Solves 191
Coal Solves/Energy Use Decreasing 193
Alt Energy Solves 194
Unconventional Oil Solves 195
Unconventional Oil Solves 196
Unconventional Oil Solves 197
Unconventional Oil Solves 198
Unconventional Oil Solves 199
Unconventional Oil Solves – Smooth Transition 200
Undiscovered Oil Solves 201
Offshore Drilling Solves 202
Oil = Renewable 203
Oil = Renewable 204
Oil = Renewable 205
High Oil Prices Solve 206
High Oil Prices Solve 207
High Oil Prices Solve 208
High Prices Solve/No Impact 209
Peak Rhetoric Bad 210
Peak Rhetoric Bad 211
Peak Rhetoric Bad – Militarism 212
AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 213
AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 214
AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 215
AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 216
AT: Saudi Arabia Lies About Oil Numbers 217
AT: China/India Demand Causes Peak 218
No Impact – Smooth Transition 219
No Impact – Smooth Transition 220
No Impact – Smooth Transition 221
Alt Energy = Warming Increase 223
***Neg*** 225
1NC Frontline 225
1 NC Frontline 226
Uniqueness-Oil Prices High Now 227
Uniqueness-Oil Prices High Now 228
Impact-Conflict 229
Impact-Democracy Promotion 230
Impact-National Security 231
Impact-Terrorism 232
Impact-Terrorism 233
Impact-Prolif 234
Impact-Econ 235
Impact-Readiness 236
Impact-Global Warming 237
Impact-Deforestation 238
No Solvency 239
***Aff*** 240
Oil Dependence Decreasing 240
Status Quo Solves Oil Dependnece 241
Oil Dependence Inevitable 242
Oil Dependence Inevitable 243
Oil Dependence Inevitable 244
AT: Oil Dependency Kills Economy 245
Economic Independence Good 246
Oil Independence Expensive 247
Solvency-Alt Energy Reduces Oil Dependecne 248
248
Oil Prices – Up 249
Oil Prices – Down 250
Oil Prices – A2 Bubble 251
Oil Prices – A2 Declining Now 252
Oil Prices – Down 253
Oil Prices – A2 Drilling 254
US Economy - Advantage 255
US Economy Advantage – Economic Collapse Impact 256
US Economy – Declining Now 257
US Economy - Dollar 258
US Economy – Trade Deficit 259
US Economy – Inflation 260
US Economy – Wage-Price Inflation 261
US Economy – Inflation + Growth 262
US Economy – Inflation + Growth 263
US Economy – Inflation + Growth 264
US Economy – Inflation + Growth 265
US Economy – Stagflation 266
US Economy – Stagflation 267
US Economy – Growth 268
US Economy – World Growth 269
US Economy – Japan, Germany, South Korea 270
US Economy – World Econ & Trade 271
US Economy – 3rd World Exporters 272
US Economy – Foreign Investors 273
US Economy – Expert Consensus 274
US Economy – Consumer Spending 275
US Economy – Alt Energy Solves 276
US Economy – A2 Monetary Policy Solves 277
US Economy – A2 Housing 278
US Economy – A2 Declining Oil Prices 279
US Economy – A2 Decreased Demand 280
US Economy – A2 Housing 281
A2 US Economy – Housing 282
A2 US Economy – Housing 283
A2 US Economy – Construction 284
A2 Trade Deficit 285
A2 World Economy Decline – Country Housing Markets 286
A2 Economy – Economy Decreases Oil 287
A2 Economy – Central Banks Key 288
A2 Stagflation – Exogenous oil shock 289
Developing Countries - Food Shortages Advantage 291
Developing Countries – Poverty Advantage 292
Developing Countries – Poverty Advantage 293
Developing Countries – Poverty Extension 294
Developing countries – Poverty Extension 295
Developing Countries – Industry 296
Develolping Countries – Persistent Recession 297
Developing Countries - Inflation 298
Developing Countries – Capital Markets 299
Developing Countries – Stock Markets 300
Food Prices - Link 301
Food Prices - Riots 302
Developing Countries – Central America 303
Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage 304
Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage Terror Impact 305
Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage Indo-Pak War Impact 306
Developing Countries – Pakistan Extension 307
Developing Countries – State Failure & Terror 309
Food Prices - Violence 310
Food Prices – Mid East Stability 311
Food Prices – Protectionism Advantage 312
A2 Food Prices - Production 313
A2 Food Prices – Alt Causes 314
India Advantage 316
India – Inflation Extension 317
India - Transportation 318
India – Economy 319
India – Economic Growth 320
India – A2 Airline Losses 321
A2 India – Currency Up 322
A2 India – Economy Okay 323
A2 India – Inflation Doesn’t Escalate 324
Uniqueness Frontline 326
Uniqueness Frontline 327
Gregory Meyer, Dow Jones Newswires, The Autralian Business, 7/19/08, Oil prices slide for a fourth straight session, http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24043762-20142,00.html 327
Uniqueness Frontline 328
Uniqueness Ext 329
Uniqueness Ext 330
Uniqueness Ext 331
Germany 1NC 332
Germany 1NC 332
Germany 1NC 333
Germany Link Frontline 335
Germany Link Frontline 336
Germany Link Ext 337
Germany Link Ext 338
Germany Link Ext 339
Germany Internal Links 340
International 1NC 341
Gregory Meyer, Dow Jones Newswires, The Autralian Business, 7/19/08, Oil prices slide for a fourth straight session, http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24043762-20142,00.html 341
International 1NC 341
International Link Frontline 343
International Link Frontline 344
International Link Frontline 345
International Link Ext 346
International Link Ext 347
International Link Ext 348
Japan 1NC 349
Japan 1NC 349
Japan Link Frontline 351
Japan Link Frontline 352
Japan Link Ext 353
Impacts 354
Impacts 355
A2: Inflation Link Turn 356
German Economy - Link 357
German Economy - Inflation 358
German Economy – Link Ext 359
Germany Link Ext 360
Germany – Investor Confidence 361
International Link Frontline 362
International Link Frontline 363
International Link Frontline 364
International Link Ext 365
International Link Ext 366
International Link Ext 367
International Link Ext 368
A2 Germany Economy – Wind Energy 369
A2 German Economy – Environment 370
Uniqueness- Oil Prices 371
Uniqueness- Oil Prices 372
China Oil Prices Add On 373
2AC China Shell (1/3) 374
2AC China Shell (2/3) 375
2AC China Shell (3/3) 376
376
Competition Link 377
Competition Link 379
Competition Link 380
Competition Link 381
Competition Link 382
Competition Link 383
Competition Link 384
Instability/Competition Link 385
Economy Link 386
Economy Link 387
Economy Link 388
Economy Link 389
Economy Link 390
Economy Link 391
Economy Internal 392
Economy Impact 393
Instability Impact 394
Instability Impact 395
Neg Answers- Economies 396
Neg Answers- Cooperation 398
Neg Answers- Cooperation 399
Neg- Cooperation 400
Neg- Cooperation 401
Neg Answers- Cooperation 402
Neg Answers- Relations 403
Neg Answers- Threat Con 404
In this sense, the discursive construction of China as a threatening other cannot be detached from (neo)realism, a positivist, ahistorical framework of analysis within which global life is reduced to endless interstate rivalry for power and survival. As many critical IR scholars have noted, (neo)realism is not a transcendant description of global reality but is predicated on the modernist Western identity, which, in the quest for scientific certainty, has come to define itself essentially as the sovereign territorial nation-state. This realist self-identity of Western states leads to the constitution of anarchy as the sphere of insecurity, disorder, and war. In an anarchical system, as (neo)realists argue, “the gain of one side is often considered to be to the loss of the other,” (45) and “All other states are potential threats.” (46) In order to survive in such a system, states inevitably pursue power or capability. In doing so, these realist claims represent what R.B.J. Walker calls “a specific historical articulation of relations of universality/particularity and self/Other.” (47) 404
The (neo) realist paradigm has dominated the U.S. IR discipline in general and the U.S. China studies field in particular. As Kurt Campbell notes, after the end of the Cold War, a whole new crop of China experts “are much more likely to have a background in strategic studies or international relations than China itself.” (48) As a result, for those experts to know China is nothing more or less than to undertake a geopoliticall analysis or it, often by asking only a few questions such as how China will “behave” in a strategic sense and how it may affect the regional or global balance of power, with particular emphasis on China’s military power or capabilities. As Thomas J. Christensen note, “Although many have focused on intentions as well as capabilities, the most prevalent component of the [China threat] debate is the assessment of China’s overall future military power compared with that of the United States and other East Asian regional powers.” (49) Consequently, almost by default, China emerges as an absolute other and a threat thanks to this (neo)realist prism. 404
The (neo)realist emphasis on survival and security in international relations dovetails perfectly with the U.S. self-imagination, because for the U.S. to define itself as the indispensible nation in a world of anarchy is often to demand absolute security. As James Chace and Caleb Carr note, “for over two centuries the aspirations towards an eventual condition of absolute security has been viewed as central to an effective American foreign policy.” (50) And this self-identification in turn leads to the definition of not only “tangible’ foreign powers but global contingency and uncertainty per se as threats. For example, former U.S. President George H. W. Bush repeatedly said that “the enemy [of America] is unpredictability. The enemy is instability.” (51) Similarly, arguing for the continuation of U.S. Cold War alliances, a high-ranking Pentagon official asked, “if we pull out, who knows what nervousness will result?” (52) 404
A2 Threat Con 405
406
Iran 2AC Add On 407
Iran 2AC Shell (1/1) 408
Iran 2AC Shell (2/4) 409
Iran 2AC Shell (3/4) 411
Iran 2AC Shell (4/4) 412
Uniqueness- Nukes 413
Uniqueness- Nukes 414
Uniqueness/Link- Oil Revenue 415
Impact- Corruption 416
Impact- Corruption 417
Impact- War 418
Impact- War 419
Impact- Nuclear Terrorism 420
420
Neg Answers- Iran won’t use nukes 421
Neg Answers- Oil revenues temporary and have no effect 422
Neg Answers- Oil key to Econ 423
Neg Answers- Oil key Econ 424
Neg Answers- Oil key Econ 425
Neg Answers- Oil key to Econ 426
Neg Answers- Iran Economy key to world economy 427
Neg Answers- World econ collapse = nuke war 429
Neg Answers- Oil key reform 430
Neg Answers- No nuke program 431
A2- Oil change doesn’t solve 432
A2- negotiations solve 433
A2- Stop Iran after goes nuclear 434
A2- Oil key economy 435
Europe 2AC Shell (2/2) 438
Internal Link- Europe Econ Key to World Econ 441
Internal Links- Europe Econ key world/Econ key soft power 442
Internal Link- Europe Economy key to Soft Power/Unity 444
Internal Link- EU key to Iran nuke program 445
Iran Impact- Nuke terrorism 446
Terrorism Impact 447
Econ Collapse= war/nationalism 448
Neg Answers- EU ineffective 449
Neg Answers- EU ineffective 450
Neg Answers- EU Ineffective- Procedure 451
Neg Answers- EU Ineffective- Leadership 452
Neg Answers- EU Ineffective 453
Neg answers- Europe Econ Resilient 454
Neg Answers- Europe Econ. Resilient 455
Proliferation 2AC Add On 456
2AC Shell (1/2) 457
2AC Shell (2/2) 458
Impact- Nuke War 459
Neg answers- Proliferation good 460
Neg Answers- Proliferation Inevitable 461
Terror – Advantage 463
Terrorism - Advantage 464
Terror – Link Extension 465
Terror – Link Extension 466
Terror – Saudi Arabia Link 467
A2 Terror – Oil Not Key 468
Econ Backstopping 1NC 471
Saudi Prolif 1NC 473
Saudi Arabia can flood the market 476
Saudi Arabia can flood the market 477
Link—Turns case/Terrorism 478
Link—kills Saudi Relations 479
2AC 481
High oil prices =>transition away now 484
Status Quo solves—shift to renewables 485
Market Wire 7-06, “Leveraging Against High Oil Prices; Become Educated on Renewable and Green Technology,” http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_pwwi/is_200607/ai_n16631543 485
Aff—Current shift to renewables won’t solve 486
Azerbaijan Econ 1NC 487
Oil K2 Azerbaijan Econ 490
Oil k2 Azerbaijan Economy 492
Link—State Collapse 494
Aff 496
Nigeria Disad 497
Nigeria Oil DA 498
Nigeria Oil DA 499
2NC UNIQUENESS BOMB—OIL PRICES RISING 500
2NC LINK—AE CAUSES OIL PRICES TO REDUCE 501
HIGH PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN ECONOMY 502
HIGH OIL PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN ECONOMY 502
STRONG OIL SECTOR KEY TO ECONOMY 504
OIL MAKES UP 95% OF NIGERIA’S REVENUES 505
HIGH NIGERIAN OIL REVENUES ATTRACTS FOREIGN INVESTORS 506
IMPACT—HIGH OIL REVENUES CREATE POLITICAL STABILITY 507
NIGERIAN COLLAPSE GUARANTEES SPILLOVER AND ARMED CONFLICT 508
508
Low oil revenues trigger unemployment 509
RANDOM—HIGH OIL PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN EDUCATION 510