Afghanistan Aff


NATO impacts- Pakistan Nukes



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NATO impacts- Pakistan Nukes



Afganistan is NATO’s top priority- Citizen Protection
Eurasia Review 10 ( Eurasia Review, http://www.eurasiareview.com/201006102998/nato-chief-says-afghanistan-remains-top-priority.html)

NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen opened here Thursday a two-day meeting of NATO defence ministers stressing that the Alliane's mission in Afghanistan is the highest priority.   "Our aim is to help Afghanistan stand on its feet as a sovereign country that can defend itself against terrorism. Because a stable Afghanistan means a safer world," he said in opening remarks. Rasmussen also mentioned missile defence, for which Allies are already developing a system to protect troops "We will discuss all that today with an eye to a decision on whether to do it, which will be taken this November in Lisbon," he said. Speaking of the financial environment, he said, "we must ensure that tax payers get value for the money that is spent on defence. But our job is to guarantee that our citizens are defended. Which means spending enough on defence and spending smart." He also noted that meetings would take place later on with the NATO-Ukraine Commission and the NATO-Georgia Commission.
Civilian causalities are the Taliban’s biggest support- they blame the US military
Jaffe 9 (Greg, Washington Post Staff Writer, Washington Post, May 8—9) ET

The truth of what happened in Farah may be less important than what the Afghan people believe took place in the remote western region. Gates said that a cornerstone of the Taliban campaign is to blame civilian deaths on U.S. troops. And he suggested that the best way to counter the enemy's strategy would be to reduce civilian casualties throughout the country. "Even if the Taliban create these casualties or exploit them, we need to figure out a way to minimize them and hopefully make them go away," he said. The difficulty of the civilian casualty issue was evident in Farah, where anti-American protests erupted Thursday. The Associated Press reported that Afghan police wounded one demonstrator.
Increased Taliban power causes pakistan nuclear war that goes nuclear



Gregorian 1(Vartan, president of Carnegie Corporation of New York NY Times ,11/15/01) ET

After Sept. 11, with options and allies in short supply, Pakistani leader Pervez Musharraf agreed to cooperate with the United States against the Taliban. Both countries now face the thorny issue of the Pashtuns. Wiping out the Taliban won't end the prospect of Pashtunistan -- it may even energize it. If a government dominated by the Northern Alliance denies the Pashtuns power in Afghanistan proper, they will exert power elsewhere. Taliban forces could retreat into Pakistan's Northwest Frontier Province and form alliances with their Pashtun cousins. If, on the other hand, Pashtuns were to become a dominant power in Afghanistan in the post-Taliban era, Pakistan could face a revival of Afghan interest in expanding into Pakistani territory. Pakistan cannot afford any movement that threatens to fragment it, and it cannot withstand simultaneous challenges in Kashmir and Afghanistan. Nor can it afford a civil war between disappointed fundamentalists and disappointed nationalists -- particularly given its possession of nuclear weapons.


Pre-emptive strike by India ensures nuclear confrontation
Ricks 1 (Thomas, Washington Post Staff Writer, Washington Post, Oct 21-1) ET

The prospect of Pakistan being taken over by Islamic extremists is especially worrisome because it possesses nuclear weapons. The betting among military strategists is that India, another nuclear power, would not stand idly by, if it appeared that the Pakistani nuclear arsenal were about to fall into the hands of extremists. A preemptive action by India to destroy Pakistan's nuclear stockpile could provoke a new war on the subcontinent. The U.S. military has conducted more than 25 war games involving a confrontation between a nuclear-armed India and Pakistan, and each has resulted in nuclear war, said retired Air Force Col. Sam Gardiner, an expert on strategic games.

NATO impacts- Pakistan Nukes



And, the impact is extinction
Fai 1 (Dr. Ghulam Nabi, executive director of the Kashmiri American Council, The Washington Times, 8 July 2001) ET

The most dangerous place on the planet is Kashmir, a disputed territory convulsed and illegally occupied for more than 53 years and sandwiched between nuclear-capable India and Pakistan.  It has ignited two wars between the estranged South Asian rivals in 1948 and 1965, and a third could trigger nuclear volleys and a nuclear winter threatening the entire globe.  The United States would enjoy no sanctuary.



This apocalyptic vision is no idiosyncratic view.  The Director of Central Intelligence, the Department of Defense, and world experts generally place Kashmir at the peak of their nuclear worries.  Both India and Pakistan are racing like thoroughbreds to bolster their nuclear arsenals and advanced delivery vehicles. Their defense budgets are climbing despite widespread misery amongst their populations.  Neither country has initialed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, or indicated an inclination to ratify an impending Fissile Material/Cut-off Convention.



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