Appendix S1: Considerations for developing robust gb models 2 Appendix S2: Sensitivity Analysis 5 Table summary of Sensitivity Analysis on Parameters 11 Table summary of Sensitivity Analysis on Model Assumptions 12 Figure S1

Figure S18: Shorter Bird Dispersal and More LDD

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Figure S18: Shorter Bird Dispersal and More LDD

Assuming the starlings cannot disperse seeds a far (using a mean dispersal distance 1/3 that of the full model) and that LDD is greater (5 events/ year, which sensitivity analyses shows is sufficient to saturate the New England by 1960) leads to a much patchier distribution of bittersweet that does not closely resemble historical records.

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