Border surveillance neg cartels k



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AT CARTELS ADVANTAGE

Funding CP

The United States federal government should investigate and eliminate Mexican cartel financing.

Cutting off cartel funding streams solves violence- counter terror proves


Morris 12/4/13, Ph.D. history of US foreign relations from Georgetown University (Krache Morris, “Think Again: Mexican Drug Cartels”, Foreign Policy, http://foreignpolicy.com/2013/12/04/think-again-mexican-drug-cartels/?wp_login_redirect=0)AM

To that end, investigative techniques and legal precedents for going after global criminal networks are increasingly robust, and the political payoffs could be substantial. One of the more successful campaigns in the war on terrorism has been the financial one; experience gained in tracking the funds of al Qaeda could make it easier to similarly unravel Los Zetas’ financing. Malfeasance in the financial industry is nothing new, but public sensitivity to banks’ wrongdoing is arguably higher than it has been in decades. An enterprising prosecutor could make quite a reputation for herself by tracking DTO money through the financial system. The cartels, along with the violence and corruption they perpetrate, are threats to both Mexico and the United States. The problem is a complicated one and taps areas of profound policy disagreement. The way to make progress in combating the DTOs is to ignore issues like gun control and illegal immigration and follow the money. Stanching the cartels’ profits will do more to end the bloodshed than any new fence or law.


UQ – Violence low

Mexico will remain stable—collapse not imminent or inevitable


Bremmer 1/7/15

Ian Bremmer is a foreign affairs columnist and editor-at-large at TIME. He is the president of Eurasia Group, a political-risk consultancy, and a Global Research Professor at New York University. 1/7/15, Time Magazine, “These Are the Geopolitical Risks You Won’t Have to Fear in 2015” http://time.com/3656679/these-are-the-geopolitical-risks-you-wont-have-to-fear-in-2015/, jj

4. Mexico¶ Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto has his hands full. He’s fighting off accusations of financial impropriety involving his wife and his finance minister. Economic growth has been anemic. Many Mexicans, outraged by the murder of 43 college students who were handed over to drug lords by a local mayor, feel that the government hasn’t lived up to its commitments to improve securityDespite the storm clouds, though, it should be a reasonably positive year for Mexico. Pena Nieto still has the popularity and the determination to push forward with economic reforms in the telecom and energy sectors. The President’s weakness has mainly benefited the right-of-center National Action Party (PAN), which generally supports his agenda. If he can make progress on his reforms, it will have a huge impact on Mexico’s productivity and competitiveness, which will help attract large-scale investment from abroad. Combine that with an economic rebound in the U.S. as well as improving cross-border trade, inbound investment and tourism numbers, and Mexico could be a bright spot for 2015.

Violence is declining -


Goforth 12/8/14 (Sean, Nearshore Americas, Special Analysis: The Rise and Fall of Violent Crime in Latin America")

After Brazil, Mexico has the highest number of murders in Latin America, though in per capita terms its homicide rate is well below that of Honduras, Venezuela, and many other countries in the region. English-language news coverage of Mexico has tended to paint the violence as nationwide, creating a sense north of the border that the country is lawless; the government in Mexico City an observer to the mayhem all around. This was never the case.

As The Economist’s Mexico correspondent advised business travelers to the country back in 2010: “Once you avoid the hotspots, it’s downright safe.” For sure, the states of Sinaloa and Guerrero remain dangerous to travelers and Mexicans alike, but “hot spots” like those are shrinking, and throughout most of Mexico things are calm. Ciudad Juarez, the world’s murder capital three years ago, is undergoing something of an urban renaissance, its bars and nightclubs now crowded on the weekends.

Headlines are misleading – violence in Mexico is on the decline


Pinker and Mack 12/22/14 (Steven and Andrew, Slate Magazine, "The World Is Not Falling Apart")

The global average, to be sure, conceals many regions with horrific rates of killing, particularly in Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa. But even in those hot zones, it’s easy for the headlines to mislead. The gory drug-fueled killings in parts of Mexico, for example, can create an impression that the country has spiraled into Hobbesian lawlessness. But the trend line belies the impression in two ways. One is that the 21st-century spike has not undone a massive reduction in homicide that Mexico has enjoyed since 1940, comparable to the reductions that Europe and the United States underwent in earlier centuries. The other is that what goes up often comes down. The rate of Mexican homicide has declined in each of the past two years a reduction of global violence by 50 percent in the next three decades is a feasible target for the next round of Millennium Development Goals.

Border violence is on the decline


Seelke 12/16/14

(Clare Ribando, Congressional Research Service, "Mexico: Background and US Relations")



Organized crime-related homicides continued to decline in 2013 as they had during the last year¶ of the Calderón government, yet serious security challenges remain in many parts of Mexico.¶ President Peña Nieto has said that organized-crime violence declined by 30% in 2013.23 Since the¶ government is no longer publicly releasing information on trends in organized crime-related¶ killings as opposed to all homicides, it is difficult to analyze the security situation with precision.¶ According to Mexican government figures, all homicides fell by 16.5% as compared to 2012.24¶ Independent estimates appear to verify that figure.25 Nevertheless, kidnappings increased in 2013,¶ with police among those accused of carrying them out.26 Violence has declined in some parts of northern Mexico (except for Tamaulipas), but has spiked in the interior of the country and along¶ the Pacific Coast, particularly in Michoacán. The failures of past federal efforts to quell violence¶ and reestablish state presence there have led to the development of armed civilian “self-defense¶ groups” there that have clashed with crime groups. Recent events, including discoveries of mass¶ graves, have laid bare the dire security situation in Guerrero.


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