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AT WAGES ADVANTAGE

UQ – Econ high

Economy is thriving---jobs and wages


AP 6-10

(“US jobs, wages hit 15-year high,” http://www.herald-dispatch.com/business/x1641594689/US-jobs-wages-hit-15-year-high)//BB



U.S. employers advertised the most open jobs in April than at any time in the 15 years that the government has tracked the data, a sign that this year's steady hiring will likely continue.∂ The Labor Department said Tuesday that the number of open jobs at the end of April jumped 5.2 percent to 5.4 million. The figure suggests that employers anticipate stronger customer demand in the months ahead.∂ The job market has remained healthy even as the economy faltered at the start of 2015. The steady hiring shows that businesses see the economic slump as having resulted mainly from temporary factors such as a harsh winter.∂ On Friday, the government said employers added a robust 280,000 jobs in May after a healthy gain in April. Average hourly wages also ticked up.∂ Tuesday's figures show "the bigger than expected gain in employment in May was no fluke," said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist for Capital Economics. "Labor market conditions are strengthening and wage growth will accelerate further."∂ The unemployment rate rose to 5.5 percent last month, from 5.4 percent. But even that was partly good news: the improving job market and wage gains encouraged more people to start searching for work, reducing the number who had given up the hunt.

UQ – Wages high

Wages high now


Davidson 15 – analyst @ WSJ

(Kate, “Jobs and Wages Grew in Nearly Every Large U.S. County in 2014,” Wall Street Journal, 6/17, http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/06/17/jobs-and-wages-grew-in-nearly-every-large-u-s-county-in-2014/)//BB



Employment and wages grew in the vast majority of large U.S counties last year, underscoring the job market’s momentum through much of 2014.

More than 94% of large U.S. counties reported employment gains through December compared with a year earlier, and 98% saw average weekly wages increase, the Labor Department said Wednesday. The 339 largest U.S. counties have 75,000 workers or more.

Last year’s gains are consistent with an economy that was adding jobs at a robust pace. The U.S. added an average 260,000 jobs a month in 2014—a pace that has since slowed—and the national unemployment rate dropping by a full percentage point during the year, to 5.6% in December. The average weekly wage in the U.S. increased 3.5% last year, growing to $1,035 by the end of 2014.

Momentum---many economic measures prove


Sparshott 15 – analyst @ WSJ

(Jeffrey, “Are Wages and Benefits Growing Faster Than We Think?,” 6/10, http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/06/10/are-wages-and-benefits-growing-faster-than-we-think/)//BB



U.S. workers’ wages and benefits may be picking up faster than previously thought.∂ Employer costs for employee compensation jumped 4.9% from a year earlier in March, the Labor Department said Wednesday, the second consecutive increase at that relatively robust level.∂ Average cost per hour worked rose to $33.49 in March, versus $31.93 a year earlier. Wages and salaries climbed 4.2% to $22.88 while benefits rose 6.4% to $10.61. Health insurance, one component of benefits, was up 2.5%.∂ That’s well above a 1.2% gain as recently as the third quarter of 2013 and a sign the labor market is getting tighter as employers add jobs at a healthy pace.∂ “The growth reported over the most recent four quarters is one of the firmest over-year-ago changes in the ECEC on record back to 1991,” Daniel Silver, an economist at J.P. Morgan Chase, said in a note to clients. “The ECEC is not one of our preferred measures of wage inflation, but its recent firming echoes the message from many other related measures that have also been strengthening lately.”

No link – immigrants don’t influence wages

Even if they win the aff solves wages it’s not key to the economy


Camarota 1 (Steven, Director of Research at the Center for Immigration Studies, “Impact of Mexican Immigration on Wages and Prices in the United States,” July 2001, Center for Immigration Studies, http://cis.org/articles/2001/mexico/wages.html)//JL

Mexican Immigrants Account for a Small Share of Economic Output. It may be surprising that the millions of Mexicans holding jobs in the United States have such a small impact on the overall U.S. economy. To understand why the effect of Mexicans must be very small, it may be helpful to examine what share of total economic output Mexican immigrants account for. Based on the March 2000 CPS, which asked about employment in the previous calendar year, there were a total of 4.9 million Mexican immigrants working in the United States for at least part of 1999 — out of a total U.S. workforce of 149 million. This means that Mexican immigrants accounted for 3.3 percent of the total workforce. Of these, 4.4 million worked full time out of a total full-time workforce of 119.2 million, and 500,000 worked part time out of a total part-time workforce of 29.8 million. Mexican immigrants therefore accounted for 3.7 percent of all full-time workers and 0.4 percent of all part-time workers. Despite the fact that they account for 3.3 percent of the U.S. workforce, Mexican immigrants’ total earnings account for only 1.91 percent of all labor income (including, salary, wages, commissions, tips, etc.) paid to workers in the United States because of their lower skill levels and resulting lower average incomes. This breaks down to 1.32 percent of labor incomes going to legal Mexican immigrants and 0.58 percent to illegal Mexican immigrants. Making the standard assumption that capital comprises 30 percent of economic output, this means that Mexican-immigrant labor accounts for 1.34 percent of GDP, with 0.93 percent from legal Mexican immigrants and 0.41 percent from illegal Mexican immigrant labor. Thus Mexican immigrants have only a very small effect on the total U.S. economy.





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