Chicago Debate League 2013/14 Core Files


NC Frontline: Inherency 34



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1NC Frontline: Inherency 34



1) The Affirmative case is not Inherent because Congress is already looking to increase financial support to Mexico.
SEELKE AND FINKLEA, 13

[Clare, Specialist in Latin American Affairs; Kristin, Analyst in Domestic Security with Congressional Research Service; “U.S.-Mexican Security Cooperation: The Mérida Initiative and Beyond,” 1/14, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R41349.pdf]


The 113th Congress is likely to continue funding and overseeing the Mérida Initiative and related domestic initiatives, but may also consider supporting new programs. From FY2008 to FY2012, Congress appropriated $1.9 billion in Mérida assistance for Mexico, roughly $1.1 billion of which had been delivered as of November 2012. The Obama Administration asked for an additional $234.0 million in Mérida assistance for Mexico in its FY2013 budget request. Congress has also debated how to measure the impact of Mérida Initiative programs, as well as the extent to which Mérida has adequately evolved to respond to changing security conditions in Mexico. Another issue of congressional interest has involved whether Mexico is meeting the human rights conditions placed on Mérida Initiative funding.
2) This is an Independent Voting Issue. Inherency is a Stock Issue that the Affirmative has a burden to meet, because if the Status Quo is already moving towards the plan then the Negative cannot argue that the Status Quo is good. This also means the Harms will be solved by doing nothing, and in a tie the judge must default to the Negative.

1NC Frontline: Harms [1/3] 35



1) The U.S. and Mexico are already cooperating to increase border security, and this is solving terrorism.
U.S. CUSTOMS AND BORDER PROTECTION, 12

[Federal division of Department of Homeland Security, “CBP Leaders Describe Progress on U.S.-Mexico Border Security”, 9/21, http://www.cbp.gov/xp/cgov/newsroom/highlights/us_mex_progress.xml]


During a panel discussion on U.S.-Mexico security cooperation yesterday, U.S. Customs and Border Protection Chief Operating Officer Thomas Winkowski said he believes significant progress has been made on border security between the U.S. and Mexico during the last five years. Winkowski credited a strong Border Patrol presence and joint targeting efforts by the U.S. and Mexico as being instrumental in apprehending more illegal aliens and drug smugglers from Mexico along America’s southern border. He pledged that more security will be added to the southern border but CBP will be facing “budget challenges” in the coming fiscal years, as will other federal agencies. Winkowski’s remarks came at the 16th annual U.S.-Mexico Chamber of Commerce Congressional Border Issues Conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C. Winkowski credited Mexico in helping America better secure the southern border by cooperating with the U.S. on its Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism and by operating its Alliance for Secure Commerce, a program that has been an asset to American border security, he said. “The relationship with Mexico is stronger and there have been tremendous inroads “in how both sides look at the southern border, Winkowski told the audience. “When I think of security, it is catching bad people but it is also… so we can facilitate legitimate trade and travel.” CBP Acting Assistant Commissioner for the Office of Field Operations Kevin McAleenan also addressed an earlier panel on trade, commerce and infrastructure along the U.S.-Mexico border and said he believed that since the chamber’s last Capitol Hill gathering in 2011 partnerships have added to U.S.-Mexico border security. “It has been a period from our perspective that has really been marked by innovation and partnership in a lot of areas,” McAleenan said. He noted that relations between the U.S. and Mexico at all levels of government and with the private sector have never been stronger “because we are all working together on our shared challenges.”


1NC Frontline: Harms [2/3] 36



2. Impact exaggerated: Their evidence is about a nuclear terrorist attack, but there is no proof that terrorists from Mexico would have nuclear weapons. Nuclear terrorism is less probable and less destructive than intentional war between states.
AYSON, 10

[Robert, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington, “Power or Posturing? Policy Availability and Congressional Influence on U.S. Presidential Decisions to Use Force”, After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, July, 33:7]


A terrorist nuclear attack, and even the use of nuclear weapons in response by the country attacked in the first place, would not necessarily represent the worst of the nuclear worlds imaginable. Indeed, there are reasons to wonder whether nuclear terrorism should ever be regarded as belonging in the category of truly existential threats. A contrast can be drawn here with the global catastrophe that would come from a massive nuclear exchange between two or more of the sovereign states that possess these weapons in significant numbers. Even the worst terrorism that the twenty-first century might bring would fade into insignificance alongside considerations of what a general nuclear war would have wrought in the Cold War period. And it must be admitted that as long as the major nuclear weapons states have hundreds and even thousands of nuclear weapons at their disposal, there is always the possibility of a truly awful nuclear exchange taking place precipitated entirely by state possessors themselves.
3. Risk of the Harms is shrinking: Mexico’s economy is growing and cross-border violence is decreasing.
THE ECONOMIST, 12

[“From darkness, dawn,” 11/24, http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21566773-after-years-underachievement-and-rising-violence-mexico-last-beginning]


Many of the things that the world thinks it knows about Mexico are no longer true. A serially underachieving economy, repeatedly trumped by dynamic Brazil? Mexico outpaced Brazil last year and will grow twice as fast this year. Out-of-control population growth and an endless exodus to the north? Net emigration is down to zero, if not negative, and the fertility rate will soon be lower than that of the United States. Grinding poverty? Yes, but alleviated by services such as universal free health care. A raging drug war? The failure of rich countries’ anti-drugs policies means that organised crime will not go away. But Mexico’s murder rate is now falling, albeit slowly, for the first time in five years.



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