Chicago Debate League 2013/14 Core Files
AC Solvency: A/t - #1 “Anti-Democracy Backlash” [1/3] 78
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- 2AC Solvency: A/t - 1 “Anti-Democracy Backlash” [2/3] 79
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2AC Solvency: A/t - #1 “Anti-Democracy Backlash” [1/3] 781) The plan creates political will and momentum for the new government to distance themselves from Chavez, and allows new democratic movements to succeed. Their evidence is old and does not assume Chavez’s death. Extend the 1AC CHRISTY and ROBERTS AND DAGA evidence. 2) Tying U.S. economic assistance to specific democratic reforms will allow Venezuela to transition from Chavez to stability. WALSER AND ZUCKERMAN, 13 [Ray, PhD., senior policy analyst at The Heritage Foundation; Jessica, Research Associate in the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation, “Venezuela After Chavez: U.S. Should Rally to Democracy,” 3/06, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/03/venezuela-after-death-of-chavez-us-should-rally-to-democracy] A principled U.S. policy toward Venezuela should be guided by continued commitments to broad-based—not just electoral—democracy enshrined in the 2001 Inter-American Democratic Charter. Preservation of the constitutional order in Venezuela requires new elections that are not only free but fair. The interests of the U.S. will be best served with the return of fully functioning democracy (separation of powers, rule of law, protection of individual rights and liberties) in Venezuela. To achieve these objectives, the Obama Administration should: Deliver by public diplomacy channels a comprehensive report on the costs and consequences of the Chavez regime; Insist on maintaining the 30-day electoral timetable and press for real international electoral observation; Signal clearly that anything other than free and fair elections will open the door to possible diplomatic and economic sanctions; Continue to investigate narco-corruption and collect intelligence on criminal, terrorist, and Iranian activity in Venezuela; and Refrain from restoring relations at the ambassadorial level without a firm Venezuelan commitment to cooperate in fighting drug trafficking and international terrorism. Too Big to Ignore The weeks and months ahead are a period of opportunity and peril in Venezuela. The Obama Administration should not be content with leading from behind or claiming more pressing engagements. From defending democracy to preserving stability, a post-Chavez Venezuela is too big to ignore. 2AC Solvency: A/t - #1 “Anti-Democracy Backlash” [2/3] 793) Maduro is already conducting a backlash against democratic protests. A principled stand by Obama will cause him to crack, and restore U.S. credibility in the region. CARDENAS, 13 [Jose, associate with the consulting firm VisionAmericas; served in various senior positions in the Bush administration working on inter-American relations, including in the U.S. Department of State, the National Security Council, and the U.S. Agency for International Development; “Obama must stand firm on Venezuela ,” 4/19, http://shadow.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2013/04/19/obama_must_stand_firm_on_venezuela] Maduro is in a panic. He knows he cannot handle declining socio-economic conditions in the face of a reinvigorated opposition, dissension in his own ranks, and an engaged U.S. government standing firm on principle regarding the legitimacy of his election. Of course, the administration will face a vociferous public campaign by chavista sympathizers pressuring it to accept Sunday's disputed result. Already, the feckless Organization of American States Secretary General José Miguel Insulza has backtracked from the organization's initial strong statement on behalf of a recount and now has accepted the result. Recognition proponents will tell us the United States faces "isolation" in the region if the administration doesn't recognize Maduro (only Panama and Paraguay have joined the call for a recount) and that its supposed intransigence plays right into Maduro's hands, allowing him to whip up nationalist sentiment. Nonsense. Those proposing such arguments fail to recognize that governments are pursuing interests. Certain countries such as Brazil, Colombia, and even Russia and China, have benefited greatly from economic ties with Venezuela under Chávez and their short-sighted view is to try and keep that spigot open. Most citizens throughout the region, however, tend to be more appreciative of principles, such as the security and integrity of one's vote. One can be sure that, in case of a disputed election in their own country, they would hope to count on external support for an honest accounting in their own electoral processes. Secondly, as the election just demonstrated, Maduro is not Chávez, and his capacity to whip up anything but official violence against Venezuelans protesting in the streets is extremely doubtful (Warning: graphic photos here). In short, no one should be misled by the noisemakers. A continued firm stand on behalf of a clean election will resonate positively throughout the region, sending a strong signal to all democrats that the United States does indeed care and that intimidation and violence have no place in any democracy. It is not likely that such sentiments will sway Maduro and his Cuban advisors to accept any sort of recount, but it will certainly place the United States on the right side of the debates and confrontations to come. 2AC Solvency: A/t - #1 “Anti-Democracy Backlash” [3/3] 804) Chavez’s death has opened an opportunity for the U.S. to create change in Venezuela. CHRISTY, 13 [Patrick, senior policy analyst at the Foreign Policy Initiative; “Obama Must Stand Up for Democracy in Post-Chavez Venezuela,” 03/15, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/world-report/2013/03/15/after-chavez-us-must-encourage-democratic-venezuela] Venezuela's upcoming election to replace the late Hugo Chavez gives the country an important opportunity to break away from over a decade's worth of strongman rule—and move towards better governance, improved internal security and stability, a stronger and more vibrant economy, and a truly constructive role in regional and global affairs. It's critical that the United States do what it can to encourage Venezuela to seize that opportunity. 5) Venezuela is in desperate need of U.S. economic assistance, which establishes the economic conditions for political change. NEGROPONTE, 13 [Diana Villiers, nonresident senior fellow with the Latin America Initiative under Foreign Policy at Brookings Institute; “Hugo Chavez's Death an Opportunity for More Pragmatic Relationship with U.S.,” 03/05, http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2013/03/05-chavez-venezuela-negroponte] The death of Hugo Chavez presents an opportunity for the new Venezuelan leadership to tone down the rhetoric of anti-Americanism and put our bilateral relations on a pragmatic basis. The U.S. remains the principal purchaser of Venezuelan oil which is refined in Gulf Coast refineries for later export to China and other markets. Food and pharmaceutical products, cosmetics, spare parts and electrical equipment are bought from the U.S. although payment for these goods is delayed and consumers must wait 4 to 5 months for the new inventory to arrive at Venezuelan ports. Venezuela is in the midst of an economic crisis with shortages of U.S. dollars, a devaluation of 32 percent and the prospect of searing inflation. Furthermore, Venezuela needs foreign direct investment, technical expertise and spare parts from the U.S. Rather than demonizing Washington, an opportunity exists for Caracas to reframe the relationship to a realistic mode. 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