Weaponization hurts satellites, which monitor proliferation
Graham 5 – Ambassador Thomas Graham Jr. is a former senior-level diplomat and a world-renowned authority on nuclear nonproliferation. As a U.S. diplomat, Ambassador Graham was involved in the negotiation of every major arms control and nonproliferation agreement from 1970 to 1997. He participated in nuclear talks with more than 100 countries. Graham was general counsel for the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency. He has advised five U.S. presidents. He earned his J.D. from Harvard Law School and his bachelor’s degree from Princeton. December 2005, "Space weapons and the risk of accidental nuclear war," Arms Control Today, 35.10, p. 12
Moreover, a space arms competition could hinder the flow of satellite imagery that can be used to track activities that might reveal programs to develop weapons of mass destruction in countries of concern. For example, activities detected through space-based collection systems can be used to trigger requests for inspections pursuant to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) (implicitly) or the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (explicitly), should that treaty be brought into force. It is important in this respect to recall that the suspicions that Israel and South Africa may have conducted an atmospheric nuclear test in 1979 were driven by readout from a U.S. VELA satellite. Similarly, the United States has benefited from the revolution in national intelligence that began with and is based on photographic reconnaissance satellites and related systems, which has helped bring to an end the worst-case analysis and close calls with nuclear war that existed throughout the Cold War. If a truly peaceful and stable world order is ever achieved, the advent of this technology beginning in the late 1950s will be regarded by future generations as a major historical turning point. These are crucial efforts that must never be allowed to be disrupted, either by space-based weapons or with the relatively simplistic ground-based anti-satellite weapon systems that could today be deployed. The United States has considerable anti-satellite weapons capability. An F-15-based homing vehicle system was successfully tested in the 1980s, and the anti-ballistic missile system currently being deployed in Alaska and California has an inherent anti-satellite capability. Right now, no other country is developing a counterspace system, although the Soviet Union successfully tested a co-orbital anti-satellite system in the 1970s and 1980s and Russia and China are believed to be capable of doing so. Notably, 28 countries have ballistic missiles that can reach LEO satellites, and all have the technical capability to develop a LEO anti-satellite system by modifying these missiles. Active defenses--the deployment of devices intended to deflect, destroy, or render unworkable offensive systems--cannot by themselves be expected to provide adequate protection of space assets either now or in the long term. These technologies, as well as hardening and other passive means of defense, may provide some means of defending against the current generation of anti-satellite technology. Eventually, however, our would-be attackers would find ways to counter those defenses. Thus, it would appear that an agreed legal regime, predicated on mutually beneficial and, of course, verifiable restraint, should at least be considered.
Weaponization hurts US satellites – the US is very dependent on satellites
Christy 6 – Donald P. Christy, Lieutenant Colonel, United States Air Force, U.S. Army War College, March 15th, 2006, "UNITED STATES POLICY ON WEAPONS IN SPACE," www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/ksil307.pdf
The case for counter space requires thoughtful consideration. Conceivably, the United States could pursue weapons such as micro-satellites designed to disable or destroy an adversary’s space systems. These satellites could be concealed and parked near potential targets and employed only if necessary to take away an adversary’s. The peril of this is two fold. First is the potential of creating space debris that interferes with everyone’s peaceful or military use of space. The second reason, and perhaps of greater concern, was articulated well by John Pike, director of the think tank Globalsecurity.org, when he said, “People who live in glass houses should not organize rock-throwing contests.” 44 The United States has more satellites in orbit than any other country and has greater civilian and military dependence on space than any other nation.
Satellites 2NC –-- Key to Economy
US satellites are key to the economy and military
Blazejewski 8 – Kenneth S. Blazejewski, master's degree in public affairs from Princeton, JD degree from the New York University School of Law, Spring 2008, "Space Weaponization and US-China Relation" www.au.af.mil/au/ssq/2008/Spring/blazejewski.pdf
First, as the world’s most technologically advanced country, the United States owns a highly disproportionate share of the world’s space assets and satellites. These satellites play a vital role in US economic activity and military operations. 45 Foreign states have certainly taken note. “The political, economic, and military value of space systems makes them attractive targets for state and non-state actors hostile to the United States and its interests.” 46 Unfortunately, satellites also make relatively easy targets for foreign antagonists. Satellites move in predictable patterns, cannot remain over friendly territory, and are easily located by other states. 47 While most commercial satellites are in geosynchronous Earth orbit, beyond the reach of existing Chinese ASAT weapons, China could reach US satellites in LEO with its current basic ballistic missile technology. In the case of a limited US-China conflict,perhaps over Taiwan, US military satellites, most of which orbit in LEO, would make for a tempting target. Strategic elimination of US military satellites could effectively blind US forces. China might consider such a limited attack especially attractive since it would be unlikely to incite a full-scale nuclear response.
Satellites are key to the US economy
Gydesen 6 – Paul W. Gydesen, Lieutenant Colonel of USAF, February 2006, “What Is The Impact To National Security Without Commercial Space Applications?” http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/awc/gydesen.pdf
There is also a significant impact to just-in-time inventory management. Many companies have reduced storage costs and freed up capital by not maintaining a large supply of parts on-hand. This is possible due to computer networking. As new goods are ordered, requests to parts suppliers are simultaneously made. This ensures a just-in-time delivery of parts. It reduces expenses and improves profitability. If businesses are forced to return to holding a large supply of parts on-hand, profitability will decrease, which will lead to a loss of investor confidence and lower stock prices. This sequence of events, repeated throughout many businesses, will start a cascading cycle of second and third order effects. Some of the more direct impacts are easy to identify; however, there will be numerous second and third order effects that will be difficult to predict. History offers numerous examples of human behavior when people are uneasy about the market place. The stock market crash of 1929 caused thousands of individuals to withdraw money from banks. It did not take long for banks to deplete their cash reserves. Once the assets were gone, the banks failed, leaving many people destitute. The withdrawal of capital from the nation’s money supply dried up lending and investment opportunities which inhibited growth. Consumers started to panic and stopped spending what little money they had left. The job markets contracted due to decreased sales which led to more business failures. Soon the nation was in a depression. One only needs to look at Hurricane Katrina for a more recent example. Soon after the hurricane, rumors abounded that gasoline supplies were running low. Consumers panicked and started a run on gasoline stations which led to a self-fulfilling prophecy. A large demand was placed on gas supplies at the same time that suppliers were unable to provide additional resources. Customers sat in gas lines for hours to fill their tanks, all the while getting worried over their future ability to buy gas. This demand caused gas prices to rise to exorbitant levels, over $5.00 a gallon in some areas. This rise in prices further led to reductions in consumer spending due to less disposable income and fewer trips to the store in order to save fuel. This action increased speculation of a post-hurricane recession. A widespread loss of all or numerous satellites will have a global affect on the world economy. Second and third order effects are easier to see in hindsight than they are to predict ahead of time, especially when it comes to satellite services which have become embedded in many parts of the economy. Money and finances project power and wealth; this leads to prosperity and confidence. When the ability to access money and finances is removed, an individual’s daily routine is interrupted. This begins a cascading effect driven in part by human behavior and partially by the actual loss of services. One can see both of these examples in the stock market crash and Hurricane Katrina aftermath. If the networks that process and reconcile payments (mortgage, automobile, credit card and student loans), taxes (sales, corporate, income, and social security), and financial transactions (grocery store, retail clothing, restaurant, accounts receivable) are not quickly restored, a loss of confidence will result. When automatic teller machines, instant check-writing approval, and credit and debit card processing stops, individuals will try and turn to cash. When checks do not clear the banking system quickly, business will not have funds to make payroll or tax payments. Without tax payments, cities cannot provide services or make payroll. When individuals revert to cash, there will not be enough cash in the system to supply the demand. Additionally, individuals with large amounts of cash draw attention. Those that are without means to obtain basic needs may turn to violence. As observed during Hurricane Katrina, this will place a greater demand on law enforcement and create further distrust and loss of confidence.