Strategic Cluster 1: Federally-led Structural Reform Agendas for Growth and Jobs
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Engagement Area: Power Sector Reform
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Outcome 1: Increased power generation and transmission capacity
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1.1: 16 percent increase in generation capacity supported by the WBG interventions by 2017.
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Megawatt
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6000 in 2012
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6960 by 2017
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No Change
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1.2: 8 percent increase in transmission capacity.
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Mega Volt Amp
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8588 MVA on 330kV level in 2013
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9275 MVA on 330kV level in 2017
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No Change
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Outcome 2: Improved the efficiency of electricity delivery
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2.1: AT and C losses of privatized DISCOs supported by the WBG. EBP reduced by 8 percentage points from 25% in 2013 to 17% in 2017.
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Percentage
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45%
in 2014
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37%
in 2017
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Revised: Baseline and target values of Indicator 2.1 were revised following the post privatization verification. Baseline for losses was adjusted to 45% from 25%; Target was increased from 17% to 37%, based on the revised baseline.
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Outcome 3: Improved access to modern lighting for the base-of-the –pyramid through supporting the value chain of procuring and distributing solar products such as lanterns and cook-stoves
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3.1: 1 million solar lanterns distributed.
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Million
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0 in 2013
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0.74 in 2017
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Revised: The target value is revised from 1 to 0.74 to account for the start of the program in 2015.
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3.2: 5 million people with improved energy services (assumes industry estimate of 5 people per household).
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Million
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0 in 2013
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3.7 in 2017
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Revised: The target value is revised from 5 to 3.7 to reflect slower than anticipated progress.
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3.3: 100,000 tCO2 being GHG avoided (Key assumptions: (i) kerosene lamp emission factor (t/Coe/ltr) =0.0026 (ii) kerosene consumption per year for a lantern = 55 ltrs (iii) solar lantern to kerosene lamp displacement factor = 70%).
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Metric tons CO2/Year
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0 in 2013
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74,000
in 2017
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Revised: The target value is revised from 100,000 to 74,000 to reflect slower than anticipated progress.
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Engagement Area: Agriculture Productivity and Climate Change (Resilience)
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Outcome 4: Improved access of small farmers to inputs and technology, and increase in their average income
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4.1: Increased effectiveness of publicly supported seed and fertilizer distribution systems as measured by the increased number of farmers benefiting from those programs.
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Million
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1.2 in 2012
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5 in 2017
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No Change
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4.2: Additional 20,000 hectares of improved irrigation in North and North-West areas.
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Hectare
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26,000 ha in 2014
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36,000 ha in 2017
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Revised: End of Target value revised from 46,000 to 36,000 to reflect delays in the project implementation caused by the political change and security challenges in the North of Nigeria.
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4.3: Rural households in supported Fadama areas reporting 40% increase in average household income.
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Naira
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184,240 in 2013
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257,937in 2016
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No Change
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Outcome 5: Improved horizontal coordination of small farmers
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5.1: Number of farmer associations and or marketing cooperatives supported in (projects) intervention areas.
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Number
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0 in 2013
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7,400 in 2017
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Revised: The indicator reformulated to ‘Number of farmer associations and or marketing cooperatives supported in (projects) intervention areas’ to better capture the support provided under Fadama, WAPP and CADP projects to (1) establishing such associations, and (2) supporting the existing ones for access to markets and services. End target value is revised from 7,400 to 6,000 to reflect the delay in the program implementation.
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Outcome 6: Improved road transportation connectivity of rural markets
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6.1: Additional 2,000 km or rural roads rehabilitated and maintained in supported states.
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Kilometer
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0 in 2013
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2,000 in 2017
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No Change
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6.2: Additional 2 million people in rural areas gained access to an all-season road in supported states.
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Million
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0 in 2013
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2 in 2017
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No Change
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Outcome 7: Enhanced country’s preparedness to respond to natural hazards, climate risks and natural disasters (resilience)
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7.1: # ha of land treated for erosion.
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Hectare
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0 in 2013
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2,800 in 2017
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No Change
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7.2: % of upgraded or new HydroMet stations providing data that are published annually and uploaded to the web.
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Percentage
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0 in 2013
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60 in 2017
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No Change
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Engagement Area: Financing For Development
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Outcome 8: Expanded financing opportunities for SMEs
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8.1: Additional 60,000 loans outstanding to SMEs by 2017 by IFC.
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Number
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0 in 2013
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100,000 in 2017
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Revised: IFC Financial Institutional Group (FIG) has stopped tracking the indicator ‘loans disbursed’ as a standard SME financing indicator as of 2015. The indicator is therefore reformulated to ‘loans outstanding to SMEs’. The target is also revised from 100,000 to 60,000.
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8.2: Additional 2 million micro entrepreneurs provided with financial services by IFC.
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Million
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0 in 2013
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2 in 2017
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No Change
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Outcome 9: Improved institutional infrastructure for longer term financing (Changed from “Improved supply of longer term financing”)
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9.1: New wholesale financial institutions are established and operational. The institutions are the DBN and NRMC.
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Yes/No
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No in 2014
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Yes in 2017
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New indicator: This new indicator reflects the institution building effort related to establishment of the DBN and NMRC which are prerequisite for facilitating improved supply of longer term finance. It is introduced to acknowledge delays associated with political transition, and the impact of deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and resulting banking sector vulnerability. The next CPF will include target values of the support to MSMEs as facilitated by the DBN and Number of housing loans supported by the NMRC.
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9.2: Percentage of long term financing > 24 months of outstanding private sector credit increased to 5% of the total private sector credit.
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Percentage
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22% (long term financing > 2 years) of total credit in 2013
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? in 2017
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Dropped: See above
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9.3: Percentage of housing finance loans in the financial sector increased to 5% of the total loans.
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Percentage
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0.13% in 2013
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5% in 2017
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Dropped: See above
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9.4: Volume of corporate bond issues increased on average to 2 issues every year.
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Number
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0 in 2013
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8 in 2017
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Dropped: This indicator was supported by IFC instruments but was eventually dropped/not monitored.
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Outcome 10: Improved financial infrastructure
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10.1: Value of financing facilitated through WBG-supported financial infrastructure.
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Million
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0 in 2013
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1,634
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New
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10.2: Value of securities transactions.
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Million
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0 in 2013
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332
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New
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Strategic Cluster 2: Quality, Effectiveness and Efficiency of Social Service Delivery at State Level for Greater Social Inclusion
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Engagement Area: Strengthening Community Driven Mechanisms for Social Inclusion, and Effectiveness of Social Protection Programs
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Outcome 11: Improved targeting of social protection and increased employment readiness of youth in supported states.
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11.1: Improved targeting of social protection programs in states as measured by the # of states using the unified registry of beneficiaries and common targeting mechanism.
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Number
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0 in 2013
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10 in 2017
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No Change
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11.2: Enhanced resilience of the youth participating in workfare programs in supported states as measured by the number of youths who received orientation and life skills training.
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Number
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0 in 2013
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100,000 in 2017
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No Change
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11.3: Increased in % of poor beneficiaries (lowest quintiles) from targeted poor households receiving cash transfers.
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Percentage
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0 in 2013
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40% by 2017
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No Change
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Outcome 12: Increased Access of Poor and Vulnerable to Social and Economic Services
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12.1: 50 percent increase in the # of poor households with access to social and livelihood support services through community development plans in supported areas (baseline: 900,000 in 2012).
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Number
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900,000 in 2012
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1,350,000
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No Change
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Engagement Area: Coverage and Quality of Health Services
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Outcome 13: Improved coverage and quality of health service delivery
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13.1: The share of child deliveries that are assisted by trained health personnel in 3 states increases to 43 % by 2017 (baseline: 33% in 2013; delivered by the results-based financing of health services in 3 states).
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Percentage
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33% in 2013
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43% by 2017
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No Change
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13.2: The share of children 12-23 months old who are fully immunized in 3 states increases to 45.4% by 2017.
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Percentage
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25.4% in 2013
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45.4% by 2017
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No Change
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13.3: % of under-5 children sleeping under insecticide treated net the night preceding the survey increased from 44.6 % in 2010 to 60%.
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Percentage
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44.6% in 2010
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60% by 2017
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No Change
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13.4: At least 80 % coverage with oral polio vaccine sustained in every state.
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Percentage
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December 2012, 90% coverage (8 endemic states average)
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80% by 2017
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No Change
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13.5: % of pregnant women living with HIV who receive a complete course of antiretroviral prophylaxis to reduce the risk of mother to child transmission increased from 18% to 40%.
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Percentage
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18% in 2013
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40% by 2017
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Revised: The indicator has been revised from cumulative to yearly target, so that the revised indicator reads’ 40,000 pregnant women living with HIV who receive annually a complete course of antiretroviral prophylaxis to reduce the risk of mother-to-child transmission’. The cumulative end target for FY14-FY17 period is 160,000. The baseline set in 2010 was 26, 133 women.
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13.6: Additional in- and out-patients in private hospital facilities to complement public healthcare delivery.
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Patients
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148,268 in 2013
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2,000,000 by 2017
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New indicator (IFC)
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Engagement Area: Efficiency, Equitable Access and Quality of Education Services
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Outcome 14: Improved learning environment and management
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14.1: 10,000 additional teachers in rural areas.
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Number
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31,243 in 2013, delivered by the results based financing of education services in 3 states
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41,243 in 2017
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No Change
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14.2: 50% of supported schools demonstrate improvements in learning outcomes.
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Number
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4,000 supported schools in 2013, delivered by the results based financing of education services in 3 states
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2000 schools improved
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No Change
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14.3: Number of students at IFC-supported education institutions.
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Number
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3,850 in 2013
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5,000 by 2017
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New indicator (IFC)
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Outcome 15: Strengthened responsiveness of public and private training institutions to skills demand
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15.1: Increased # of states with approved Strategic Plan for improving quality and relevance of TVE (Baseline 4 in 2013; Target 15 by 2017).
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Number
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4 in 2013
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15 by 2017
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Revised: End of project target value revised from 15 to 10 to reflect better the number of states where the Bank is directly involved in the TVET sector (Lagos, 3 SEPIP sates and 4 SEEFOR states).
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Engagement Area: Coverage and Efficiency of Water Supply Services
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Outcome 16: Improved coverage and efficiency of water supply service in selected states
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16.1: # of people with access to improved water supply increased by 4 million (baseline: 9.2 million in 2013, target: 13.2 million in 2017).
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Million
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9.2 in 2013
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13.2 in 2017
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Revised: The initial baseline included results from the urban Water 1 project, which closed in 2013. This is now corrected, and the indicator reflects contributions from the Urban Water 2 & Urban Water 3 (UW3) projects. UW3 appraised plan was to benefit 0.5m people with access to improved water service by 2017 and 0.92 m people by closing in 2020. Due to initial implementation delays, it is estimated that by 2017 UW3 will only have extended service to approx. 0.1m people. The baseline is therefore revised from 9.2m to 6.2m people, and the end target from 13.2m to 7.5m people.
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16.2: Cost recovery for operation and maintenance increased in average by 25 percent in supported states by 2017.
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Percentage
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Lagos 55% in 2012; Cross River 66% in 2012; Kaduna 65% in 2012; Ogun 56% in 2012; Enugu 65% in 2012
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25% increase on average
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Revised: The original baseline included data from the Water 1 project which closed at end FY13. The baseline is revised to capture the program that was active in FY14 and since then (Water 2 and Water 3 projects). The revised baseline for Lagos is 25% in 2012 and 55% for Cross River in 2012. Kaduna, Ogun and Enugu state are dropped from the baseline. The Water 2 project closed at end May 2015, achieving the average increase of 25%. There has been no progress under the Water 3 project, due to the slow uptake of the implementation. The end target for this indicator is therefore revised downward to 25%.
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Foundational/Cross Cutting Cluster 3: Governance and Public Sector Management
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Outcome 17: Enhanced transparency on budget execution in targeted states and at Federal level
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17.1: # states and the Federal GoN with an integrated fully functioning financial information system producing and publishing consolidated quarterly financial statements within 14 days of end of each fiscal quarter.
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Number
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0 in 2012
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Federal GoN and 8 supported states in 2017
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No Change
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17.2: # of states that have adopted procurement law increased from 24 in 2013 to 30 in 2017.
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Number
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24 in 2013
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27 in 2017
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No Change
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17.3: % of public procurement contracts above threshold awarded through open competition in 12 states increased from 30 % in 2013 to 75% in 2017.
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Percentage
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30% in 2013
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75% in 2017
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No Change
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Outcome 18: Improved quality and accessibility of statistics
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18.1: Increased availability of official statistics to all users at federal and state level as measured by 40 percent increase in the number of states with State Statistical Yearbook which is less than 3 years old.
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Number
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14 states in 2013
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20 states by 2017
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Dropped: This indicator was supported by the SRF Grant that was closed in February 2014. As the planned new intervention did not materialize, this indicator is dropped.
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18.2: 40 percent increase in the number of statistical thematic areas where internationally agreed concepts and standards are applied at federal and state level.
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Number
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7 areas in 2013
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10 areas by 2017
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Dropped: This indicator is dropped for the same reason as the one above.
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Strategic Cluster 4: Restoring Macroeconomic Resilience – new cluster
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Outcome 19: Increased share of non-oil revenues in total revenues of the federal government
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19.1: Non-oil revenue growth.
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Percentage
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2% between 2014 and 2015
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8% between 2015 and 2017
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New
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Outcome 20: Reduction in growth of high pressure recurrent expenditures
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20.1: Real wage bill growth of the government at federal and state levels.
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Percentage
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3.4% between 2014 and 2015
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0.5% between 2015 and 2017
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New
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