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A2: Relations 2NC Relations answers
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A2: Relations2NC Relations answers1. US Russian relations collapse inevitable – Czech missile defense controversy Christian Science Monitor Jul 10, 2008 “U.S., Russia revert to cold-war rhetoric over missile-defense plan” http://fe1.ca.news.a1.b.yahoo.com/s/10072008/20/u-s-russia-revert-cold-war-rhetoric-missile-defense-plan.html A war of words erupted this week between the United States and Russia over a controversial US plan to deploy a missile-defense shield in the Czech Republic and Poland. The plan has already strained US-Russia relations and encountered resistance from some in Europe. The verbal spat between the US and Russia came after US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on Tuesday inked an initial agreement on missile-defense deployment with the Czech government in Prague, as reported by the Associated Press. According to Reuters, Russia's Foreign Ministry responded to the news in a statement: "If the real deployment of an American strategic missile defense shield begins close to our borders, then we will be forced to react not with diplomatic methods, but with military-technical methods." In reaction to that statement, the US criticized Russia for its "bellicose rhetoric," which it said was meant to intimidate the European partners of the US into backing out of the defense plan, according to the BBC. The report goes on to clarify Russia's statement. The BBC's Adam Brookes in Washington cites Russia's ambassador to the UN as suggesting that the phrase "military-technical means" does not mean military action, but more likely a change in Russia's strategic posture, perhaps by redeploying its own missiles. The US has ambitious plans for a missile-defense system that would include advanced radar facilities in the Czech Republic and 10 interceptor missile sites in Poland. The US insists the shield is designed to protect against attacks from "rogue states" in the Middle East, such as Iran. A graphic made available by Agence France-Presse maps the US missile shield as well as proposed deployments. But Russia has strongly protested, saying the deployment of the US shield would threaten its security by blunting the capabilities of its own missile force. Reuters adds that the US and Russia have discussed possible ways to address Moscow's worries, but that Tuesday's US-Czech deal is perceived as a step backward by Russia's Foreign Ministry. 2NC relations answers2. A decrease in oil prices would collapse US-Russian relations David Victor is director of the Programme on Energy and Sustainable Development at Stanford University and adjunct senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Nadejda Victor is research associate in the Department of Economics at Yale University and in the Programme on the Human Environment at Rockefeller University. February 19, 2003 South China Morning Post “Nuclear Energy, Not Oil, Should Fuel US-Russian Ties” http://www.cfr.org/publication/5562/nuclear_energy_not_oil_should_fuel_usrussian_ties.html Since the Iron Curtain came crashing down, American and Russian diplomats have been searching for a special relationship between their countries to replace Cold War animosity. Security matters have not yielded much. On issues such as the expansion of Nato, stabilising Yugoslavia and the war in Chechnya, the two have sought each other's tolerance more than co-operation. Nor have the two nations developed much economic interaction, as a result of Russia's weak institutions and faltering economy. Thus, by default, "energy" has become the new special topic in Russian-American relations. This enthusiasm is misplaced, however. A collapse of oil prices in the aftermath of an invasion of Iraq may soon lay bare the countries' divergent interests. Russia needs high oil prices to keep its economy afloat, whereas US policy would be largely unaffected by falling energy costs. Moreover, cheerleaders of a new Russian-American oil partnership fail to understand that there is not much the two can do to influence the global energy market or even investment in Russia's oil sector. 2NC relations answers3. Energy interest are key, the EU proves that attempts at diversification away from the Russian energy market cause Russia to abandon relations Roy Allison, Margot Light and Stephen White 2006 “Putin’s Russia and the Enlarged Europe” Chatham House (the Royal Institute of International Affairs) Papers, Blackwell Publishing; Allison is a Senior Lecturer in International Relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science, he has written 8 books on Russian and CIS foreign and security policies; Light is Emeritus Professor of International Relations at the London School of Economics; White is Professor of International Politics at The University of Glasgow, Senior Research Associate of the Institute of Applied Politics in Moscow. These fella’s is hella qualified. 
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