Proposed pebble bed modular reactor



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Structure Of Report


The structure of this report is as follow:

  • Section Two

The section presents:

  • the approach followed

  • the survey (questionnaires)

  • Section Three

The section presents a summary of the findings of the survey.

  • Section Four

The section presents the context in which the findings have to be interpreted, as well as the final conclusions.

Methodology


  • APPROACH

The focus of the study involves a particular industry in the economy (i.e. the tourism industry) and the impact it may have on the local economy. From this perspective, the most effective approach to conduct the study would be the “demand and supply" approach.

The demand side can be described in terms of measurements such as the number of tourists visiting a certain area and the money spent. The supply side can be described in terms of measurements such as overnight accommodation, places of interest, restaurants, etc.

The impact of the proposed nuclear plant will initially be on the demand side of the model, as it may impact on the propensity or willingness of tourists to visit the area. Ultimately, and depending on the degree and scale of such an impact, it might also affect the supply-side. Some of the existing tourist establishments might have to close down as a result of a decrease in the demand levels, or more establishments might open, in reaction to an increase in the demand.

Another element that may impact on the demand side refers to people working at the new plant. The survey that was conducted at local establishments, particularly those near Koeberg, have indicated that a notable component of their clientele comprised of engineers and technicians working at Koeberg. As an indication, the survey showed that 10% of people staying at the tourism establishments near Koeberg, were businessmen, with the corresponding figure at Pelindaba being 17%. This is an average percentage, and is much higher at those establishments that are located in close proximity of the plant. However, per definition, this element cannot be considered as part of the tourism industry, but should be included as a component of the broader definition of "visitors". For the purposes of this study, the definitions of these two terms are as follow:



i. Tourist:

Any person visiting and staying in an area for reasons such as being on holiday, recreation / sport, visiting friends and relatives, etc.

ii. Visitor:

Any person, including tourists, that visit and stay in an area. As such, this category can include people visiting and staying in an area for business reasons.

The focus of this study is therefore on the point of interaction between demand and supply. This approach is graphically illustrated in Figure 5.

F
Local tourism industry


igure 5:
Model used to assess perceptions










NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY:

The main elements of PBMR technology:

  • The PBMR plant at Koeberg

  • The manufacturing of nuclear fuel at Pelindaba

  • The transportation of nuclear fuel from Pelindaba to Koeberg.



  • The SURVEY

A structured survey was conducted that involved both the demand and supply sides.

On the supply side, a two pronged approach was followed. The one leg involved discussions with some of the main stakeholders in the local tourism industry, whereas the second leg involved a survey at specific tourism establishments that included B&B’s, hotels and self-catering facilities. Annexure’s 1 and 2 provide a list of the institutions contacted and the particular establishments surveyed in the Koeberg and Pelindaba study areas.

Figure 6 presents perspective on the various tourism institutions contacted and interviewed. Annexure 3 provides the questionnaire used in the survey of the tourism establishments.

The demand side involved a survey amongst the tourists that visited the two study areas. Annexure 4 presents the questionnaire used in the tourist survey.

Figure 6: Tourism institutions contacted and interviewed


SATOUR







Western Cape Tourism Board



Gauteng Tourism Board






Cape Metropolitan

Tourism

Tshwane Metropolitan Tourism

Johannesburg Metropolitan Tourism













Tourism Bureaus in Cape Metropole

(serve mainly as information centres)



  • Tygerberg tourism

  • Cape Town tourism

  • Helderberg tourism

  • Oostenberg tourism

  • Blaauwberg tourism

  • South-Peninsula tourism

Tourism Bureaus in Tshwane Metropole

(serve mainly as information centres)



  • Centurion tourism

  • Cullinan tourism

  • Tshwane tourism



The questionnaire (Refer to Annexure 3) comprised of three sections, of which the first gave a general perspective on the establishments in terms of the size (capacity), the origin of the visitors and the degree of seasonal fluctuation. The second section concentrated on the perceptions of the owner regarding nuclear technology and the degree to which the existing nuclear plants may have had an impact on the attractiveness of the two areas from a tourism perspective. The third section focussed specifically on the proposed PBMR project to determine if the owner was aware of it or not, and his / her perception on the possible impact it may have on the local tourism industry.

  • The demand side

The questionnaire (Refer to Annexure 4) established the profile of the tourist, as well as the knowledge and perception of the tourist on nuclear energy. Secondly, the questionnaire established an indication of whether the presence of a nuclear plant will effect his / her (tourist) decision to visit the area.


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