Introduction
The chapter assesses the significance of impacts according to the Significance Rating Methodology as described in Annexure 16. The methodology conforms to the guidelines provided by the Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism of 1989.
In additional to the Significance Rating Methodology a Risk Assessment was also conducted by employing the SWIFT Risk Assessment Method as per Annexure 17.
The significance assessment and the SWIFT Risk Assessment were conducted by a panel of professional persons as mentioned below.
Mr O Graupner - Poltech (Division of IRCA Technical Services)
Mrs A Haasbroek - Poltech (Division of IRCA Technical Services)
Mr W Schlechter - Netrisk (Division of IRCA)
Mr F Mellet - Netrisk (Division of IRCA)
Mr J de Villiers - Netrisk (Division of IRCA)
Mr W Lombaard - Poltech (Division of IRCA Technical Services
Mrs K Botes - Interdesign Landscape Architects (Pty) Ltd
Dr D de Waal - Afrosearch
Mrs H van Graan - Nuclear Consulting International
Mr N Andersen - Andersen Geological Consulting
Dr M Levin - Africon (Pty) Ltd
Mr G Erasmus - Ledwaba Erasmus Associates
Mr P van Wyk - J Paul van Wyk Urban Economist and Town Planners
The CVs of Consultants that participated in the EIR are provided in Annexure 20.
Significance Rating and Discussion of the Plants Related Impacts Impacts of a Social Nature
i. Impacts on Security
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Nature of the area and event
Chapter 4.3.2. provides on overview of the radiological safety programme as well as security measures for the proposed Plant.
Both safety and security are achieved through design, procedures and monitoring to protect the worker and the public. Accident scenarios for a plane crash (including a Boeing 777) and other Category C events have been developed and assessed for public radiation exposure dose(s).
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Significance Rating
Event
|
Assessment Criteria
|
Significance Rating
|
Extent
|
Duration
|
Intensity
|
Severity Rating
|
Probability
|
Security breach with internal sabotage
|
Local
|
Short term
|
High
|
|
Improbable
|
|
|
|
2
|
4
|
(8) 3
|
2
|
-6 Low
|
Safety event with release to the environment (Category C)
|
Local to sub regional
|
Short term
|
High
|
|
Improbable
|
|
|
|
2
|
4
|
(8) 3
|
2
|
-6 Low
| -
Conclusions
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Security : Security fencing and elaborate site access control, limit trespassing. Access control to the building, together with camera surveillance and interlock systems prevent ready access to the critical components of the building and building sections. (Building layout is such that the administrative section is at the front end while the critical components are secured at the back end of the building. Building structures (outer shell and citadel) are of sufficient design to protect the Plant and assure radiological safety in the event of projectiles (sabotage) and aircraft crashes.
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Category C - Safety Event : Public exposure levels at 400 meters from the station will be well within the NNR fundamental safety criteria limits. The NNR will also evaluate the SAR scenarios and analysis for conformance.
ii. Impact on Health (Epidemiology)
a. Radiologically Induced Cancers
Chapter 4.3.3. provides an overview of international literature on the correlation between radiological induced cancers/late fatalities and commercial nuclear facilities.
No credible correlation could however be established.
Eskom conducts extensive radiological/health monitoring programmes of workers, and, the environment for radiological build-up or contamination at Koeberg. A similar monitoring programme will also be followed for the proposed Plant as part of the NNRs licence conditions.
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Significance Rating
Event
|
Assessment Criteria
|
Significance Rating
|
Extent
|
Duration
|
Intensity
|
Severity Rating
|
Probability
|
Radiation induced cancers and late fatalities
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
| -
Conclusions
The need for epidemiological studies of radiologically induced cancers of the public is not recommended, in view of international research conclusions and monitoring results from 20 years of Koeberg operational results.
b. HIV/AIDS in the Workplace
The introduction of 1400 construction workers over the two year construction period may have consequences on the further communication of the disease.
However, most of the workers will be sourced from the Cape Town environment with the result that minimal new workers and thus potentially infected individuals will be introduced.
Despite local recruitment rigorous practices will have to be employed to minimise the spread or effect of the disease.
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Significance Rating
Event
|
Assessment Criteria
|
Significance Rating
|
Extent
|
Duration
|
Intensity
|
Severity Rating
|
Probability
|
|
Local to sub-regional
|
Medium
3
|
High
4
|
(12) 4
|
Probable
3
|
-12 Medium
| -
Conclusions
While construction workers will largely be recruited from the local work environment (Cape Town sub-region) the spread of the disease remains a real concern with medium term effects.
A rigorous policy, practices and programmes must be implemented, maintained and revised to educate and support worker (construction as well as own employees) on HIV/AIDS. Eskom has committed itself to the implementation of such a policy and practices.
iii. Impact on Institutional Capacity
Chapter 4.3.4. provide information on Institutional Capacity.
No significant impact will result on institutional capacity due to establishment and operation of the proposed Plant
However, definitive plans and programmes will have to be formulated and implemented to ensure timeous succession of key personnel such as nuclear operators, NNR inspection staff, radiation workers ad medical staff.
iv. Legal Impact and Financial Provision
Chapter 4.3.5. provides an overview of the legal obligations of government and the applicant.
Attention is paid to:
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The demonstration of Duty and Care in terms of the National Environmental Management Act (Act No. 107 of 1998) specifically for the finalisation of the National Radiological Waste Management Policy and the establishment of a repository for radioactive High Level Waste (HLW),
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3rd Party Liability provision
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Financial provision (Eskom) for decommissioning and the long term management of radiological waste specifically HLW.
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Significance Rating
Event
|
Assessment Criteria
|
Significance Rating
|
Extent
|
Duration
|
Intensity
|
Severity Rating
|
Probability
|
Absence of a National Policy on the Management of Radioactive Waste
|
National
|
Short term
|
Medium
|
|
Definite
|
|
-
|
2
|
2
|
(4) 2
|
5
|
-10 Medium
| -
Conclusions
Except for the promulgation of Policy on the Management of Radioactive Waste, Government and the applicant are exercising their “Duty of Care” through various facilities (Vaalputs), structures (The NNR) acts and policies (Nuclear Energy Act, Act No. 46 of 1999; National Energy Policy White Paper) and management.
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The Department of Minerals and Energy should accelerate and promulgated the National Policy on the Management of Radioactive Waste. The work on the establishment of a High Level Waste repository needs to commence inclusive of public participation .
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Financial provision must be made by Eskom for 3rd party liability and the decommissioning of the Plant (at the end of life) and final storage/disposal of High Level Waste.
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