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NC/1NR Impacts — Vaccine DAs



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2NC/1NR Impacts — Vaccine DAs

Warming/Environment

Vaccinations are key to adapt to warming.


Schulman 15 — —Jeremy Schulman, Jeremy Schulman is based in Mother Jones' Washington bureau and works on the Climate Desk partnership. He was previously editor-in-chief of The American Independent and research and investigative director at Media Matters for America, 2-11-2015 ("Vaccines are one of our best weapons against global warming," Mother Jones, 2-11-2015, Available Online at http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/02/vaccines-measles-rotavirus-climate-change, Accessed 7-16-2015)

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has suggested that vaccines cause "profound mental disorders." Paul has also said he's "not sure anybody exactly knows why" the climate changes. So the likely presidential contender would probably find this fact pretty confusing: According to leading scientists, vaccines are among the "most effective" weapons in our arsenal for combating the threats that global warming poses to human health.

In its landmark report (PDF) last year, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned that global warming poses a range of health threats—especially in the developing world. Warmer temperatures and changes in rainfall will reduce crop production, leading to malnutrition. Foodborne and waterborne illnesses will become a bigger problem. And, some scientists argue, diseases like malaria will spread as the insects that carry them migrate to new areas.

So how should humanity adapt to these dangers? The IPCC report lays out a slew of public health interventions, including widespread vaccination:

The most effective measures to reduce vulnerability in the near term are programs that implement and improve basic public health measures such as provision of clean water and sanitation, secure essential health care including vaccination and child health services, increase capacity for disaster preparedness and response, and alleviate poverty.

There are a number of reasons that vaccines will play an important role in our efforts to adapt to a warming world. The most obvious is their ability to protect vulnerable populations from diseases that will be made worse by climate change.

A prime example is rotavirus, a vaccine-preventable disease that can cause severe diarrhea. It killed roughly 450,000 children in 2008—mostly in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, according to the World Health Organization. "There is evidence that case rates of rotavirus are correlated with warming temperatures and high rainfall," according to Erin Lipp, an environmental health professor at the University of Georgia and a contributor to the IPCC report. This is particularly true in developing countries with poor sanitation and drinking water sources, Lipp explained in an email.

"A child weakened by measles is more likely to die from the malnutrition caused by climate change."

There are other, less direct, ways in which climate change can exacerbate a wide range of existing public health problems. Take measles, which is currently making a comeback in the United States—thanks in large part to the unscientific claims of the anti-vaccination movement. Measles killed nearly 150,000 people worldwide in 2013; it's particularly common in parts of sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia that have extremely low vaccination rates—areas that will be hit especially hard by the impacts of climate change.

Unlike with rotavirus, there's no direct relationship between measles and global warming. But Kirk Smith—an environmental health expert at UC, Berkeley, and a lead author of the IPCC chapter on health impacts—points out that "a child weakened by measles is more likely to die from the malnutrition caused by climate change." In other words, anything we can do to reduce the impact of existing health problems will be even more important in a warming world. And vaccinating children, he says, is one of the most cost-effective public health tools we have.

Diseases like measles pose another threat, as well, says Alistair Woodward, who is also a lead author of the IPCC chapter. Woodward, an epidemiologist at the University of Auckland, points out that extreme climate events—crop failures in Africa, flooding in Bangladesh, and even storms like Hurricane Katrina—can displace large numbers of people. "In these circumstances, with crowding and poor living conditions, all the basic public health services are put under great strain," said Woodward in an email. "The risks of infection go through the roof, for all communicable diseases…So ensuring that people are vaccinated is a logical thing to do as part of managing the risks of a rapidly changing climate."

Of course, making sure people are inoculated against deadly diseases isn't easy. In the developing world, vaccination campaigns have to overcome transportation and security issues, as well as poor local health care systems. And these challenges, says Woodward, can dwarf the problems caused by the anti-vaxxer movement.



Anti-Vaxxers lead people to question environmental science.


Romm 15 — Joe Romm, Joe Romm is a Fellow at American Progress and is the Founding Editor of Climate Progress, which New York Times columnist Tom Friedman called "the indispensable blog" and Time magazine named one of the 25 "Best Blogs of 2010." In 2009, Rolling Stone put Romm #88 on its list of 100 "people who are reinventing America." Time named him a "Hero of the Environment″ and “The Web’s most influential climate-change blogger." Romm was acting assistant secretary of energy for energy efficiency and renewable energy in 1997, where he oversaw $1 billion in R&D, demonstration, and deployment of low-carbon technology. He is a Senior Fellow at American Progress and holds a Ph.D. in physics from MIT, 2/9/2015 ("Medical Ethicist: Anti-Vaxxers Are Like Climate Science Deniers," ThinkProgress, 2/9/2015, Available Online at http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/02/09/3620665/anti-vaxxers-like-climate-science-deniers/, Accessed 7-14-2015)

If you feel a moral obligation to embrace science-based strategies to protect “unsuspecting infants” from serious dangers, should you be more concerned about those who oppose mandatory vaccinations for childhood diseases or those who oppose mandatory action against climate change?

That was a trick question: You should be exceedingly concerned about both, even though the dangers are very different in both timing and scale. Arthur Caplan, director of the Division of Medical Ethics at NYU Langone Medical Center’s Department of Population Health, explains in the Washington Post:

Thankfully, only a few physicians in America have embraced fear-mongering in the middle of this dangerous and costly measles epidemic. They deserve a place of honor next to climate-change skeptics, anti-fluoridation kooks and Holocaust deniers. They doubt the facts, ignore established evidence and concoct their own pet theories. They shouldn’t be allowed near patients, let alone TV cameras. But because their suggestions are so surprising and controversial, they often find themselves on cable news shows and in news reports about the “anti-vaxx” crowd. Their power, therefore, is radically disproportionate to their numbers.

Precisely.

Yet from MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” Scarborough to the Wall Street Journal’s editorial board, many leading conservatives want you to think that it’s only that vaccine science that provides enough certainty to require government action. They are wrong. They ignore established evidence that the world’s leading scientists and governments have “high confidence” the world faces “severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems” — devastating impacts that occur “even with adaptation” if we keep listening to the do-little or do-nothing crowd.

Last week, :

There is not, at least in the science community, a debate about [vaccines causing autism] anymore,” MSNBC’s Scarborough said last week. “This is not even close, this is not even close — there is still a debate on climate change, the effects of climate change, how quickly climate change is coming on us. How much man contributes. There are a thousand different variables in that debate.”

Not quite. There is very little debate in the scientific community about the conclusion that humans are the primary contributor — by far — to recent warming. The world’s largest general scientific society, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, explained this in its blunt 2014 climate report, “What We Know”:

The science linking human activities to climate change is analogous to the science linking smoking to lung and cardiovascular diseases. Physicians, cardiovascular scientists, public health experts and others all agree smoking causes cancer. And this consensus among the health community has convinced most Americans that the health risks from smoking are real. A similar consensus now exists among climate scientists, a consensus that maintains climate change is happening, and human activity is the cause.

We have a similar obligation to protect people from the dangers posed by climate change that we do to protecting people from the dangers posed by second-hand smoke

Scarborough apparently has no idea that the best estimate of climate scientists is that humans are responsible for all of the warming we have suffered since 1950. As the most recent IPCC report summarizing the recent scientific literature observations explains, “The best estimate of the human-induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.” That line was sufficiently uncontroversial it was signed off on by all the major governments in the world.



The main “debate” on climate change among scientists is just how catastrophic the “irreversible” warming we face will be if we keep doing little or nothing to sharply reverse emissions trends, which is to say, if we keep listening either to people like Scarborough (aka the cocksure ignorati) or to the professional deniers.

Amazingly, the foremost climate-science-denying editorial page in the country — which belongs to Rupert Murdoch’s Wall Street Journal — is shocked, shocked that leading Republican politicians like Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ) and Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) have indicated doubt about vaccine science:

As for Mr. Paul, he will have to avoid these libertarian dormitory passions if he wants to be a credible candidate. Government doesn’t “force” parents to vaccinate children. The states impose penalties (such as barring attendance in public schools) on those who pose a risk to public health by refusing vaccinations against infectious diseases. This strikes us as a legitimate use of state “police powers” under the Constitution. It is also a reasonable and small sacrifice of liberty to prevent the potentially fatal infection of unsuspecting infants at Disneyland.



So it is a reasonable and small sacrifice of liberty to protect unsuspecting infants from serious harm by having the state impose penalties for those who don’t adhere to what science says is the optimal prevention strategy, in the case of vaccines. But for the Journal, it is wildly unreasonable and a major assault on liberty to protect unsuspecting infants — and billions of others — from serious harm by having the state impose penalties for those who don’t adhere to what science says is the optimal prevention strategy, in the case of climate change.

The Journal routinely spreads long-debunked disinformation, smears climate scientists and denigrates the entire climate science enterprise. A particularly inane a May 2013 op-ed actually urged “more atmospheric carbon dioxide”! Scientifically, that would be comparable to an op-ed urging “less vaccination.”

The Journal editors have a real contender in their pro-vaccine editorial for the most unintentionally hypocritical science piece of the year, especially with its final paragraph lecturing us on “human progress”:

“Let’s chalk up the weird science of Messrs. Paul and Christie to a lack of information, and we’re happy to send them 13 years of vaccine editorials if they want to study up,” the editorial concludes. “The not-so-great measles vaccine debate of 2015 is one of those events that makes us wonder if there is such a thing as human progress. But then we live in America, so we know there’s hope.”

Seriously, the Journal bemoaning whether “there is such a thing as human progress” is like Bernie Madoff bemoaning whether there is such a thing as business ethics or Chief Justice John Roberts bemoaning the overabundance of corporate money in politics….



Again, it’s OK to use state power to protect “unsuspecting infants” from unvaccinated kids because science says so and the WSJ will send you 13 years of editorials on the subject. But if you want to use state power to protect unsuspecting infants — and everyone else — from catastrophic climate change because science says so, well, the WSJ can send you 13 years of anti-science climate denial opposing all action and trashing our leading scientists.

One final note: In his Washington Post piece, Caplan puts anti-vaccination doctors in the same category as “climate-change skeptics” and “Holocaust deniers.” I discussed my views on the term “deniers” in my December, post about the statement issued by four dozen leading scientists and science journalists/communicators urging the media to “Please stop using the word ‘skeptic’ to describe deniers” of climate science.




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