Unintended consequences of arable crop technology within farming systems in oyo state nigeria


Table 4.: Respondents unintended consequences on arable crop technology



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Table 4.: Respondents unintended consequences on arable crop technology

List of Technologies

Unintended consequences

Freq. (%)

1. Cereal/legume intercropping

(i) Disallowed mechanization


66 (55)

2. Improved varieties of maize

(i) Takes time when cooking

(ii) Easy to spoil



62.4 (52)

56.4 (47)



3. Improved varieties of cowpea

(i) Not palatable

(ii) Difficult to sell



56.4 (47)

49.2 (41)



4. Improved varieties of cassava

(i) Too much water

(ii) Takes time for processing



64.8 (54)

72 (60)


5. Improved varieties of tomato

(i) Difficult production

(ii) Easy to spoil



52,8 (44)

78 (65)


6. Improved varieties of eggplant

(i) Not palatable

(ii) Difficult to market

(iii) Difficult production


58.8 (49)

48 (40)


60 (50)

7. Improved varieties of Okro

(i) Easily spoilt

48 (40)

8. Crop rotation







9. Fertilizer application







10. Use of herbicides

(i) Destroy crops

(ii) Hinders germination



54 (45)

50.4 (42)



11. Use of insecticides

(i) Health hazards

(ii) Pollution

(iii) Residues on plant


84 (70)

48 (40)


72 (60)

12. Use of Jelu-dye for seed treatment

(i)Heavy to transport

54 (45)

13. Use of compost organic manure

(i) Heavy to transport


48 (40)

The relationship between unintended consequences and independent variables was established using Pearson Product Moment of Correlation. Some independent variable were selected and tested against unintended consequences. At a significance level of 0.05, age and farm size shows no significant relationship with unintended consequences. This suggests that the age of the respondent and the size of the farm do not reflect perceived negative consequences of technology adopted.

Social participation and contact with extension agent shows positive significant relationship between them and the unintended consequences. This is because this activity shows the respondent’s contact or relationship with the linkage system through which the technology are being disseminated. Social participation and contact with extension agent influence adoption of agricultural technology disseminated. Therefore, social participation and contact with extension agent are important activities in determine the unintended consequences of technology.

Table .5 also shows that there is a significant inverse relationship between the benefits of an adopted technology and the unintended consequences produced. This indicates that the technology with benefits (economic, social, cultural, etc.) will likely produce negative consequences which may lead to rejection of such technology and the resulting benefits of a technology is cogent to any technological innovation that any innovation without benefits may be rejected or discontinued.

The table also indicates that there is a relationship between adoption and unintended consequences. This reflects that some agricultural technology adopted produces some unintended consequences, which makes some farm families worse-off than if they had been left alone. The adoption of various agricultural technologies, which demonstrate some negative consequences, negates what researchers have said about the fulfillment of the characteristics or elements of innovation.

The null hypothesis that there is no significant relationship between respondent age and farm size and their perception of unintended consequences is accepted because age and farm size cannot determine their perception of unintended consequences. The null hypothesis that social participation and contact with extension agent and their perception unintended consequences is rejected because the social participation and contact with extension agent determine the perception of unintended of the respondent.


Table .5: Correlation analysis of unintended consequences and some independent variables

Variables

r

P

Remarks

Benefits

-0.40

0.00

Significant

Adoption

0.64

0.00

Significant

Social Participation

0.20

0.03

Significant

Contact with extension agent

-0.25

0.006

Significant

Age

0.06

0.47

Not Significant

Farm Size

0.02

0.84

Not Significant

P < 0.05 = significant; p > 0.05 = not significant

This relationship was established using Pearson Product Moment of Correlation. Six independent variables were selected and tested against perceived benefits.

The table indicates that there is a significant relationship between perceived benefits and adoption. This suggests that most agricultural technology adopted benefits the various adopter categories

The table also indicates that the income is significantly related to the perceived benefits that is, the amount/income earnings generated from agricultural technology is as a result of the benefits involved in the technology. If agricultural technology has no benefit it will not be accepted, if accepted it will be discontinued when realized. Therefore, this suggests that to ensure adoption for agricultural technology it has to be profitable.

From the table age, contact with extension agent, social participation and farm size are not significantly related to the perceived benefits.

The relationship shows that the age of a farmer does not influence the benefit of an agricultural technology. Likewise, the farm size may not show the benefits perceived by the farmer. This thing applies to the social participation and the contact with extension agent. This might only facilitate adoption process but will not reflect or demonstrate the perceived benefit.

The null hypothesis states that there is no significant relationship between the age and farm sizes of respondent and their perception of positive consequences of technology is accepted. This is because the age and farm size of farmers do not determine their perception of positive consequences of technology. The null statement that income is not significant to perception of positive consequences of technology is rejected because, farmer’s income determine the perceived benefits of technology.

Also, the null statement that the contact with extension agent and social participation and their perception of positive consequences of technology is accepted. This is because the social participation of farmers and their contact with extension agent do not determine the perception of positive consequences of technology.



Table 6: Correlation analysis of perceived benefits and some independent variables

Variables

r

P

Remarks

Unintended Consequences

0.40

0.00

Significant

Adoption

0.73

0.00

Significant

Income

0.21

0.025

Significant

Age

0.024

0.79

Not Significant

Contact with extension agent

-0.08

0.41

Not Significant

Social Participation

0.01

0.87

Not Significant

Farm Size

0.03

0.73

Not Significant

P < 0.05 = significant; p > 0.05 = not significant
The null hypothesis (Ho) that stated that there is no significant relationship between farmer gender religion and their perception of unintended consequences of technology” is accepted. This is because their level of significance is greater than 0.05 while the statement is rejected for marital status since they are lower than the significant level. This shows that the marital status determines their perception of unintended consequences of technology while gender and religion do not.

Also, the null hypothesis that there is no significant relationship between farmer’s membership of an association and membership of religious organization and their perception of unintended consequences of technology is accepted. This is because their level of significance is lower than 0.05 while the statement is rejected for membership of cooperative and past executive because their significant level is greater than 0.05. The membership of cooperative and past executive of respondent determines the perception of unintended consequences of technology while membership of farmers association and religious organization do not.



Table 7: Chi square analysis of unintended consequences and some independent variable

Variables

X2

df

R

CC

Remarks

Marital status

18.14

4

0.001

0.36

Significant

Educational Level

7.84

7

0.35

0.25

Not Significant

Gender

0.84

2

0.66

0.08

Not Significant

Religion

0.94

3

0.82

0.09

Not Significant

Membership of farmers association

1.10

2

0.58

0.10

Not Significant

Membership of cooperative

0.09

2

0.96

0.03

Not Significant

Membership of religious organization

1.06

2

0.06

0.09

Not Significant

Membership of past executive

1.22

2

0.54

0.01

Not Significant

X2 = Chi-square

P < 0.05 is significant

P > 0.05 is not significant
The result of the regression analysis in Table 4.8 shows that R = 0.76, which means that there is a strong correlation between unintended consequences and all the independent variable in the equation. R2 = 0.58, which shows that 58% of the variation in the dependent variable was accounted by the independent variables.

The standardized partial regression weight that is, Beta values shows that adoption of arable crop technology is the most important predictor of the unintended consequences. This is followed by frequencies of meetings with extension agent (Beta = 0.59) and contact with extension agent (Beta = -0.317). The negative sign shows an inverse relationship.



Table 8: Multiple Regression Analysis of unintended consequences and independent variable

Model

R

R2

Adjusted R2

Standard error of the estimate

1

0.764

0.584

0.479

1.0349

ANOVA


Model

Sum of squares

df

Mean Square

F

Significant

1 Regression

142.926

24

5.995

5.561

000

Residual

101.741

25

1.071







Total

244.667

119










Coefficient



Model

Unstandardized coefficient

Standard ed

Coefficient S












Beta

Std.-

Error


Beta

t

Sig.

1(Constant)

11.125

0.749




14.847

0.00

Adoption

0.253

0.035

0.757

7.186

0.00

Benefits

-4.332E-02

0.021

-0.212

-2.034

0.45

Age

1.128E-02

0.096

0.096

0.896

0.372

Marital Status

8.333E-02

0.167

0.042

0.500

0.618

Educational level

2.015E-02

0.051

0.034

0.395

0.694

Gender

0.157

0.226

0.062

0.592

0.555

Religion

-5.463E-02

0.181

-0.024

-0.297

0.773

Membership of farmers Association

0.253

0.167

0.122

1.515

0.133

Membership of Cooperative

-8.068E-02

0.192

-0.042

-0.421

0.675

Membership of religious organization

-0.145

0.179

-0.080

-0.811

0.419

Membership of past executive

-9.955E-02

0.208

-0.049

-0.048

0.633

Farm Size

1.554E-02

0.012

0.112

1.274

0.206

Maize (output)

5.867E-05

0.000

0.035

0.353

0.725

Yam (output)

-9.676E-05

0.000

-0.320

-1.395

0.166

Cassava

(output)


8.203E-05

0.000

0.400

1.638

0.105

Others (output)

-3.052E-04

0.000

-0.111

-1.343

0.183

Maize (income)

-2.143E-06

0.000

-0.100

-0.678

0.500

Yam (income)

-3.318E-06

0.000

-0.265

-2.239

0.027

Cassava

(income)


4.160E-06

0.000

0.295

1.497

0.138

Others(income)

2.992E-06

0.000

0.053

0.587

0.559

Social Participation

-0.503

0.195

-0.231

-2.580

0.011

Frequency of Contact with ext. agent

-0.487

0.368

-0.317

-1.323

0.189

Frequency of meetings

0.860

0.371

0.596

2.316

0.023

Payment of dues

-7.019E-02

0.146

-0.054

-0.479

0.633

The result shows that there is no significant difference among different educational level of respondents for adoption of technology and benefits derived from the technology (F = 1.54, p = 1.60; F = 1.12, p = 0.35 respectively). However, there is a significant difference in the unintended consequences among respondents of different educational level. F = 3.05, p = 0.006. The Duncan ratings shows that the respondent having M.Sc and above have the highest mean of unintended consequences and it is the only group that is significantly different from the other educational levels.

Table .9: Differences in the adoption, benefits and unintended consequences of



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