Table 4.: Respondents unintended consequences on arable crop technology
List of Technologies
|
Unintended consequences
|
Freq. (%)
|
1. Cereal/legume intercropping
|
(i) Disallowed mechanization
|
66 (55)
|
2. Improved varieties of maize
|
(i) Takes time when cooking
(ii) Easy to spoil
|
62.4 (52)
56.4 (47)
|
3. Improved varieties of cowpea
|
(i) Not palatable
(ii) Difficult to sell
|
56.4 (47)
49.2 (41)
|
4. Improved varieties of cassava
|
(i) Too much water
(ii) Takes time for processing
|
64.8 (54)
72 (60)
|
5. Improved varieties of tomato
|
(i) Difficult production
(ii) Easy to spoil
|
52,8 (44)
78 (65)
|
6. Improved varieties of eggplant
|
(i) Not palatable
(ii) Difficult to market
(iii) Difficult production
|
58.8 (49)
48 (40)
60 (50)
|
7. Improved varieties of Okro
|
(i) Easily spoilt
|
48 (40)
|
8. Crop rotation
|
|
|
9. Fertilizer application
|
|
|
10. Use of herbicides
|
(i) Destroy crops
(ii) Hinders germination
|
54 (45)
50.4 (42)
|
11. Use of insecticides
|
(i) Health hazards
(ii) Pollution
(iii) Residues on plant
|
84 (70)
48 (40)
72 (60)
|
12. Use of Jelu-dye for seed treatment
|
(i)Heavy to transport
|
54 (45)
|
13. Use of compost organic manure
|
(i) Heavy to transport
|
48 (40)
|
The relationship between unintended consequences and independent variables was established using Pearson Product Moment of Correlation. Some independent variable were selected and tested against unintended consequences. At a significance level of 0.05, age and farm size shows no significant relationship with unintended consequences. This suggests that the age of the respondent and the size of the farm do not reflect perceived negative consequences of technology adopted.
Social participation and contact with extension agent shows positive significant relationship between them and the unintended consequences. This is because this activity shows the respondent’s contact or relationship with the linkage system through which the technology are being disseminated. Social participation and contact with extension agent influence adoption of agricultural technology disseminated. Therefore, social participation and contact with extension agent are important activities in determine the unintended consequences of technology.
Table .5 also shows that there is a significant inverse relationship between the benefits of an adopted technology and the unintended consequences produced. This indicates that the technology with benefits (economic, social, cultural, etc.) will likely produce negative consequences which may lead to rejection of such technology and the resulting benefits of a technology is cogent to any technological innovation that any innovation without benefits may be rejected or discontinued.
The table also indicates that there is a relationship between adoption and unintended consequences. This reflects that some agricultural technology adopted produces some unintended consequences, which makes some farm families worse-off than if they had been left alone. The adoption of various agricultural technologies, which demonstrate some negative consequences, negates what researchers have said about the fulfillment of the characteristics or elements of innovation.
The null hypothesis that there is no significant relationship between respondent age and farm size and their perception of unintended consequences is accepted because age and farm size cannot determine their perception of unintended consequences. The null hypothesis that social participation and contact with extension agent and their perception unintended consequences is rejected because the social participation and contact with extension agent determine the perception of unintended of the respondent.
Table .5: Correlation analysis of unintended consequences and some independent variables
Variables
|
r
|
P
|
Remarks
|
Benefits
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
Significant
|
Adoption
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
Significant
|
Social Participation
|
0.20
|
0.03
|
Significant
|
Contact with extension agent
|
-0.25
|
0.006
|
Significant
|
Age
|
0.06
|
0.47
|
Not Significant
|
Farm Size
|
0.02
|
0.84
|
Not Significant
|
P < 0.05 = significant; p > 0.05 = not significant
This relationship was established using Pearson Product Moment of Correlation. Six independent variables were selected and tested against perceived benefits.
The table indicates that there is a significant relationship between perceived benefits and adoption. This suggests that most agricultural technology adopted benefits the various adopter categories
The table also indicates that the income is significantly related to the perceived benefits that is, the amount/income earnings generated from agricultural technology is as a result of the benefits involved in the technology. If agricultural technology has no benefit it will not be accepted, if accepted it will be discontinued when realized. Therefore, this suggests that to ensure adoption for agricultural technology it has to be profitable.
From the table age, contact with extension agent, social participation and farm size are not significantly related to the perceived benefits.
The relationship shows that the age of a farmer does not influence the benefit of an agricultural technology. Likewise, the farm size may not show the benefits perceived by the farmer. This thing applies to the social participation and the contact with extension agent. This might only facilitate adoption process but will not reflect or demonstrate the perceived benefit.
The null hypothesis states that there is no significant relationship between the age and farm sizes of respondent and their perception of positive consequences of technology is accepted. This is because the age and farm size of farmers do not determine their perception of positive consequences of technology. The null statement that income is not significant to perception of positive consequences of technology is rejected because, farmer’s income determine the perceived benefits of technology.
Also, the null statement that the contact with extension agent and social participation and their perception of positive consequences of technology is accepted. This is because the social participation of farmers and their contact with extension agent do not determine the perception of positive consequences of technology.
Table 6: Correlation analysis of perceived benefits and some independent variables
Variables
|
r
|
P
|
Remarks
|
Unintended Consequences
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
Significant
|
Adoption
|
0.73
|
0.00
|
Significant
|
Income
|
0.21
|
0.025
|
Significant
|
Age
|
0.024
|
0.79
|
Not Significant
|
Contact with extension agent
|
-0.08
|
0.41
|
Not Significant
|
Social Participation
|
0.01
|
0.87
|
Not Significant
|
Farm Size
|
0.03
|
0.73
|
Not Significant
|
P < 0.05 = significant; p > 0.05 = not significant
The null hypothesis (Ho) that stated that there is no significant relationship between farmer gender religion and their perception of unintended consequences of technology” is accepted. This is because their level of significance is greater than 0.05 while the statement is rejected for marital status since they are lower than the significant level. This shows that the marital status determines their perception of unintended consequences of technology while gender and religion do not.
Also, the null hypothesis that there is no significant relationship between farmer’s membership of an association and membership of religious organization and their perception of unintended consequences of technology is accepted. This is because their level of significance is lower than 0.05 while the statement is rejected for membership of cooperative and past executive because their significant level is greater than 0.05. The membership of cooperative and past executive of respondent determines the perception of unintended consequences of technology while membership of farmers association and religious organization do not.
Table 7: Chi square analysis of unintended consequences and some independent variable
Variables
|
X2
|
df
|
R
|
CC
|
Remarks
|
Marital status
|
18.14
|
4
|
0.001
|
0.36
|
Significant
|
Educational Level
|
7.84
|
7
|
0.35
|
0.25
|
Not Significant
|
Gender
|
0.84
|
2
|
0.66
|
0.08
|
Not Significant
|
Religion
|
0.94
|
3
|
0.82
|
0.09
|
Not Significant
|
Membership of farmers association
|
1.10
|
2
|
0.58
|
0.10
|
Not Significant
|
Membership of cooperative
|
0.09
|
2
|
0.96
|
0.03
|
Not Significant
|
Membership of religious organization
|
1.06
|
2
|
0.06
|
0.09
|
Not Significant
|
Membership of past executive
|
1.22
|
2
|
0.54
|
0.01
|
Not Significant
|
X2 = Chi-square
P < 0.05 is significant
P > 0.05 is not significant
The result of the regression analysis in Table 4.8 shows that R = 0.76, which means that there is a strong correlation between unintended consequences and all the independent variable in the equation. R2 = 0.58, which shows that 58% of the variation in the dependent variable was accounted by the independent variables.
The standardized partial regression weight that is, Beta values shows that adoption of arable crop technology is the most important predictor of the unintended consequences. This is followed by frequencies of meetings with extension agent (Beta = 0.59) and contact with extension agent (Beta = -0.317). The negative sign shows an inverse relationship.
Table 8: Multiple Regression Analysis of unintended consequences and independent variable
Model
|
R
|
R2
|
Adjusted R2
|
Standard error of the estimate
|
1
|
0.764
|
0.584
|
0.479
|
1.0349
|
ANOVA
Model
|
Sum of squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Significant
|
1 Regression
|
142.926
|
24
|
5.995
|
5.561
|
000
|
Residual
|
101.741
|
25
|
1.071
|
|
|
Total
|
244.667
|
119
|
|
|
|
Coefficient
Model
|
Unstandardized coefficient
|
Standard ed
Coefficient S
|
|
|
|
Beta
|
Std.-
Error
|
Beta
|
t
|
Sig.
|
1(Constant)
|
11.125
|
0.749
|
|
14.847
|
0.00
|
Adoption
|
0.253
|
0.035
|
0.757
|
7.186
|
0.00
|
Benefits
|
-4.332E-02
|
0.021
|
-0.212
|
-2.034
|
0.45
|
Age
|
1.128E-02
|
0.096
|
0.096
|
0.896
|
0.372
|
Marital Status
|
8.333E-02
|
0.167
|
0.042
|
0.500
|
0.618
|
Educational level
|
2.015E-02
|
0.051
|
0.034
|
0.395
|
0.694
|
Gender
|
0.157
|
0.226
|
0.062
|
0.592
|
0.555
|
Religion
|
-5.463E-02
|
0.181
|
-0.024
|
-0.297
|
0.773
|
Membership of farmers Association
|
0.253
|
0.167
|
0.122
|
1.515
|
0.133
|
Membership of Cooperative
|
-8.068E-02
|
0.192
|
-0.042
|
-0.421
|
0.675
|
Membership of religious organization
|
-0.145
|
0.179
|
-0.080
|
-0.811
|
0.419
|
Membership of past executive
|
-9.955E-02
|
0.208
|
-0.049
|
-0.048
|
0.633
|
Farm Size
|
1.554E-02
|
0.012
|
0.112
|
1.274
|
0.206
|
Maize (output)
|
5.867E-05
|
0.000
|
0.035
|
0.353
|
0.725
|
Yam (output)
|
-9.676E-05
|
0.000
|
-0.320
|
-1.395
|
0.166
|
Cassava
(output)
|
8.203E-05
|
0.000
|
0.400
|
1.638
|
0.105
|
Others (output)
|
-3.052E-04
|
0.000
|
-0.111
|
-1.343
|
0.183
|
Maize (income)
|
-2.143E-06
|
0.000
|
-0.100
|
-0.678
|
0.500
|
Yam (income)
|
-3.318E-06
|
0.000
|
-0.265
|
-2.239
|
0.027
|
Cassava
(income)
|
4.160E-06
|
0.000
|
0.295
|
1.497
|
0.138
|
Others(income)
|
2.992E-06
|
0.000
|
0.053
|
0.587
|
0.559
|
Social Participation
|
-0.503
|
0.195
|
-0.231
|
-2.580
|
0.011
|
Frequency of Contact with ext. agent
|
-0.487
|
0.368
|
-0.317
|
-1.323
|
0.189
|
Frequency of meetings
|
0.860
|
0.371
|
0.596
|
2.316
|
0.023
|
Payment of dues
|
-7.019E-02
|
0.146
|
-0.054
|
-0.479
|
0.633
|
The result shows that there is no significant difference among different educational level of respondents for adoption of technology and benefits derived from the technology (F = 1.54, p = 1.60; F = 1.12, p = 0.35 respectively). However, there is a significant difference in the unintended consequences among respondents of different educational level. F = 3.05, p = 0.006. The Duncan ratings shows that the respondent having M.Sc and above have the highest mean of unintended consequences and it is the only group that is significantly different from the other educational levels.
Table .9: Differences in the adoption, benefits and unintended consequences of
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