A best-fit analysis of the facts and circumstances related to the death of JonBenet Patricia Ramsey
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| compelled to write a “convincing” rn. The fear most ‘normal’ people would experience in writing ‘too much’ doesn’t affect them at all. They can’t help themselves. They are God, infinitely innocent and all-knowing. No one will realize it’s not authentic. This rn has “I’m smarter than anyone” written all over it. But this can be viewed two ways. The Narcissist might also be compelled to write this note as an arrogant taunt, a jab that they can’t let slip by. And yes, they would believe that they are “smarter than anyone” and few would understand the sadistic humor and would actually believe the note (which is precisely what is humorous to them). They privately giggle at the “stupidity” and “naivete” of “normal” (meaning anyone without their supernatural gifts) people.
Observations 2, 3, and 5 are statistical coincidences that, taken alone, can be attributed to chance. Perhaps the kidnapper was well-educated. It’s possible. Only in concert with other factors can we take this as meaningful. Observation 4 is very telling. The letter was chock full of corrections intended to make the letter appear more down to earth. Only someone with a “compulsion” to appear sophisticated and educated would likely make so many mistakes in this regard, then try to correct them after doing an once over and re-reading it. We see another indication that the author’s personality exhibited features of Narcissistic personality disorder. We’ll add more to that later when we discuss motive. Simply put, observation 6 tells us that the kidnapper’s information was bad, whether intentional or not. If we were to ask whether we think the author had no knowledge of the disposition of the victim, we see the probabilistic feature we are trying to bring out: it is more likely than not that this was deception. Consider the fact that such a kidnapper would have to know that the residents would find the body. It was more likely an attempt to make it appear that someone outside the home was attempting to remove the victim from the house when that is NOT what the actual intention was. This view is then corroborated by observation 7 (but with the caveat that a kidnapper may have accidentally killed their sugar girl). In order to see any significance in observations 9 and 10, a comparison between this note and the literary habits of suspects is required. Some have stated and provided the evidence to show that PR wrote the letter ‘a’ as it was written in the rn, then changed to a more common form after the murder. Some have also brought evidence forward that JR used the phrase “and hence” both prior to and after the murder. While tantalizing, we need to do the same analysis for other suspects because, the probabilities we’re discussing are somewhat conjectural. We don’t really know how likely it is for a kidnapper to use those constructions. But, we’re not quite done. Most of the “handwriting analysis” we’ve discussed so far focuses on the gross aspects. These are also the only features that a Narcissist would use to convey their sadistic joke. Other, more subtle features, speak to the person’s subconscious thought and mechanical writing habits. So, indeed, what about those other subtleties for which handwriting analysis is better known? For example, do the letters slant the same way, does the writing indicate anxiety in the writer, are the letters formed the same way (we did look at a couple of instances of that), are the words formed the same way, what about spacing, what about the pressure applied to the writing utensil, and what about the myriad of other indicators that would indeed seem more objective? One problem with pressure is that fiber-tipped pens – as used in this case – conceal much of that detail. This is an area left to an ‘expert’. Our best confidence for that lies in the FBI, and we’ll share what they observed. Out of 74 handwriting samples all were positively excluded (not easy to do) except for one. The one exception was the “questioned document” (sample) provided by PR. Though the FBI couldn’t find a positive match between the suspect document (the rn) and PR’s exemplar, but they couldn’t exclude a match either. The Colorado Bureau of Investigation (a state police agency dedicated to criminal investigation) stated that the writing was remarkably similar but fell just short of the criteria to conclude a positive match. Many make a lot of the fact that it was one of 74 that couldn’t be excluded. But this is misleading. It is very difficult to positively include or exclude anyone. But it is probably easier to exclude than to include. What this tells us is limited, in that it tells us that our probabilistic findings from our own observations (the gross features) are most likely unaffected by the more subtle handwriting analysis observations of the FBI; at least until something more is found, if it ever is. So, our gross analysis is a fair and reasonable analysis if we take the required skeptical view of handwriting analysis in general. We have not been able to confirm (readers please help out here) but there are hearsay claims that the FBI, of all the numerous agencies involved in analyzing the rn, were the only ones who asked for a left-handed sample from PR. Upon comparing, the FBI made a positive match to PR. This initially came out as tabloid material, so we don’t know what came of it, but the image is below (do note the clumsy representation of the letter ‘a’ in standard form in the exemplar provided by PR): 
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