Afghanistan wave 4


AT: Iran Cooperation / relations



Download 0.66 Mb.
Page47/54
Date26.05.2017
Size0.66 Mb.
#19254
1   ...   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50   ...   54

AT: Iran Cooperation / relations



Iran has already rejected reciprocal negotiations

Mail & Guardian, 6 (6/1, “Minister: Iran will not negotiate with US,” http://www.mg.co.za/article/2006-06-01-minister-iran-will-not-negotiate-with-us)
Iran will never negotiate its nuclear programme with the United States, its oil minister said in a television interview while in Venezuela for an Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) meeting.

"We are never going to negotiate the nuclear fuel cycle, which we were able to obtain through the efforts of our country's scientists," Oil Minister Kazem Vaziri-Hamaneh told Telesur late on Wednesday.

The Iranian minister downplayed a US offer to join direct talks with Iran if Tehran halts uranium-enrichment activities. Kazem called Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's announcement, which marks a major US policy shift, "words that US officials always repeat"
The nuclear issue is the single most polarizing issue in US-Iran Relations – plan can’t solve relations.

NYT, 10 – (6/27/10, New York Times, “Iran’s Nuclear Program,” http://www.nytimes.com/info/iran-nuclear-program/)
Iran's nuclear program is one of the most polarizing issues in one of the world's most volatile regions. While American and European officials believe Tehran is planning to build nuclear weapons, Iran's leadership says that its goal in developing a nuclear program is to generate electricity without dipping into the oil supply it prefers to sell abroad, and to provide fuel for medical reactors.

Top American military officials said in April 2010 that Iran could produce bomb-grade fuel for at least one nuclear weapon within a year, but would most likely need two to five years to manufacture a workable atomic bomb. International inspectors said in May that Iran has now produced a stockpile of nuclear fuel that experts say would be enough, with further enrichment, to make two nuclear weapons.



President Obama spent 2009 trying to engage Iran diplomatically. Tehran initially accepted but then rejected an offer for an interim solution under which it would ship some uranium out of the country for enrichment. In June 2010, after months of lobbying by the Obama administration and Europe, the United Nations Security council voted to impose a new round of sanctions on Iran, the fourth.

Along with Tehran's cat and mouse tactics, the nuclear issue has been complicated by Iran’s internal politics; the revival of the program in 2006 in defiance of international opinion helped President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad establish his hard-line credentials, and the turmoil since his disputed reelection in June 2009 has increased his reliance on the Revolutionary Guards, who are closely linked to the program. Further muddying the waters, many experts question whether much of Iran's nuclear work is meant simply to enhance its negotiating position. And many diplomats doubt that the new sanctions, targeted at the military and the Revolutionary Guards, are tough enough to force Iran to reconsider.


Turn - Iran supports US efforts to rebuild Afghanistan – the Taliban is a common enemy

AFP, 09 – (4/1/09, AFP, “Afghan backers look to build on US strategy,” http://www.thedailystar.net/story.php?nid=82162)
But despite their rivalry, the US and Shiite-majority Iran are both sworn enemies of the Taliban, a Sunni Muslim militia initially backed by Pakistan, that ruled Afghanistan from 1996 to 2001.

Obama has reached out to the Islamic republic, sending an unprecedented video appeal on March 20 for the Persian New Year in which he spoke of a "new beginning" between the two countries.

Clinton and Iran's representative stressed their support for projects to rebuild Afghanistan and end its role as the epicentre of the global heroin trade that finances Al-Qaeda activities.

"Trafficking in narcotics, the spread of violent extremism, economic stagnation (in Afghanistan) are regional challenges that will require regional solutions," said Clinton as she sat across the table from Akhoundzadeh.

She was addressing Afghan President Hamid Karzai, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and representatives of 90 countries and organisations meeting here.

Akhoundzadeh told delegates his country was "fully prepared to participate in the projects aimed at combatting drug trafficking and the plans in line with developing and reconstructing Afghanistan."

Afghanistan is the source of 90 percent of the world's heroin.



Karzai and Clinton both said dialogue with moderate members of the Taliban could help stem the insurgency.

Clinton said a collective failure so far to implement a clear strategy on Afghanistan "has allowed violent extremists to regain a foothold in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and make the area a nerve centre for efforts to spread violence from London to Mumbai."

AT: Iran Cooperation / relations



Diplomatic engagement fails and causes Iran nuclearization.

WSJ, 10 – (2/19/10, Wall Street Journal, “Obama and Iran,” http://online.wsj.com/article/NA_

WSJ_PUB:SB10001424052748703525704575061091105041372.html)


All of this suggests the need for a new U.S. strategy that drops the engagement illusion and begins to treat Iran as the single biggest threat to Mideast and U.S. security. Sanctions can be part of that strategy, but they will need to be more comprehensive than anything to date. They must also be ramped up rapidly because they will need time to be felt by the regime. The U.S. should give up on the U.N., which will only delay and dilute such pressure, and build a sanctions coalition of the willing.

The U.S. can also speak and act far more forcefully and clearly on behalf of Iran's domestic opposition. The regime's recent crackdown suggests that the chances of regime change in the near term are remote, but popular animosity against Iran's rulers still seethes underground. The U.S. should assist that opposition in any way it can, especially with technology to help communicate with each other and the world.

Finally, the option of a military strike will have to be put squarely on the table. Sanctions have little chance of working unless they are backed by a credible military threat, and in any case Israel is more likely to act if it concludes that the U.S. won't. The risks of military action are obvious, but the danger to the world from a nuclear Iran is far worse.



After a year of lost time, Mr. Obama needs to put aside the diplomatic illusions of his campaign and make the hard decisions to stop the Revolutionary Guards from getting the bomb.
Diplomatic engagement is impossible – Iran is becoming a military dictatorship and has rejected all US efforts at diplomacy.

WSJ, 10 – (2/19/10, Wall Street Journal, “Obama and Iran,” http://online.wsj.com/article/NA_

WSJ_PUB:SB10001424052748703525704575061091105041372.html)


These have been busy days for Iran's leadership. On January 28, the regime hanged two government opponents and sentenced 10 others to die. It has arrested and jailed some 500 opponents since December. Last week, it shut off access to Gmail and Google Buzz, as it already has done with Twitter, to prevent opposition forces from organizing. On the 31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, it jammed the streets of Tehran with supporters and security forces. Oh, and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that Iran has begun enriching uranium to 20% purity, making it a "nuclear state."

Maybe now we can all agree that "engagement" with Iran has failed. So where does the Obama Administration go from here? It seems to be moving on multiple, not always coherent, fronts.

Last Wednesday, the Treasury Department imposed sanctions on a commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps along with several IRGC-related companies said to be involved in WMD programs. And this week, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned that Iran may be evolving into a military dictatorship, with the Revolutionary Guards essentially running the show.



Diplomacy empirically fails – flawed talks at Geneva prove.

Lauria and Solomon, 10 – (6/10/10, Joe Lauria and Jay Solomon, Wall Street Journal, “UN Slaps Iran with New Curbs,” http://online.wsj.com/article/NA_WSJ_PUB:SB10001424052748704575304575296450656111536.html
The U.S. says its "dual-track" approach to Iran—diplomacy and sanctions—won't end with this resolution. U.N. ambassador Susan Rice said Mr. Obama had "personally" become involved in a diplomatic outreach to Iran, a break from eight years of the Bush administration shunning any contact with Tehran. But she said Iran had so far squandered the opportunity.

The diplomatic outreach's high point came when the U.S. took part in direct talks with Iran in Geneva on Oct. 1. At that meeting, a confidence-building deal was concluded with Iranian negotiators in which Iran was to send a majority of its low-enriched fuel to Russia for enrichment up to 20%. France would then manufacture the uranium into fuel rods for use in Tehran's medical research reactor.

The Iranian leadership eventually nixed the deal and afterward announced it was enriching to 20% on its own.



Download 0.66 Mb.

Share with your friends:
1   ...   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50   ...   54




The database is protected by copyright ©ininet.org 2024
send message

    Main page