CBMs (Confidence Building Measures): St.Ignatius

CBMs (Confidence Building Measures): St.Ignatius

Plan: The United States federal government should establish joint-maritime transparency confidence building measures with the People’s Republic of China in the South and East China seas including negotiation of a new multiple-link presidential hotline that communicates through text and receive-only modes with the People’s Republic of China. 

Marcus Noland, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Sherman Robinson, and Tyler Moran, “Assessing Trade Agendas in the US Presidential Campaign,” Pearson Institute for International Economics, September 2016 pages 15-16. Noland received his education from Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Yale University, and is the Executive Vice President and Director of Studies at Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow since 1992, was formerly the Maurice Greenberg Chair and Director of Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (1996–98), the Marcus Wallenberg Professor of International Finance Diplomacy at Georgetown University (1985–92), senior fellow at the Institute (1981–85), deputy director of the International Law Institute at Georgetown University (1979–81); deputy assistant secretary for international trade and investment policy of the US Treasury (1977–79); and director of the international tax staff at the Treasury (1974–76). Sherman Robinson, nonresident senior fellow, joined the Peterson Institute for International Economics in November 2016. Robinson is a leading expert on computable general equilibrium (CGE) simulation models, which have become a standard tool of analysis of trade and fiscal policy reform, regional integration, structural adjustment, and development strategies. His research interests include international trade, economic growth, agricultural and resource issues, climate change adaptation, macroeconomic policy, income distribution, and maximum-entropy econometrics applied to estimation problems... VIEW SHARING OPTIONS Tyler Moran was a research analyst at the Peterson Institute from June 2013 to July 2016. He worked with Senior Fellows Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey J. Schott on issues related to corporate tax policy, international trade, and economic sanctions. He graduated with honors from the College of William and Mary in May 2013, where he majored in mathematics and economics. His prior research experience includes higher education issues in economics, as well as various topics in linear algebra. He assisted the authors of Bridging the Pacific: Toward Free Trade and Investment between China and the United States (2014).

Marcus Noland, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Sherman Robinson, and Tyler Moran, “Assessing Trade Agendas in the US Presidential Campaign,” Pearson Institute for International Economics, September 2016. Noland received his education from Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Yale University, and is the Executive Vice President and Director of Studies at Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow since 1992, was formerly the Maurice Greenberg Chair and Director of Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (1996–98), the Marcus Wallenberg Professor of International Finance Diplomacy at Georgetown University (1985–92), senior fellow at the Institute (1981–85), deputy director of the International Law Institute at Georgetown University (1979–81); deputy assistant secretary for international trade and investment policy of the US Treasury (1977–79); and director of the international tax staff at the Treasury (1974–76). Sherman Robinson, nonresident senior fellow, joined the Peterson Institute for International Economics in November 2016. Robinson is a leading expert on computable general equilibrium (CGE) simulation models, which have become a standard tool of analysis of trade and fiscal policy reform, regional integration, structural adjustment, and development strategies. His research interests include international trade, economic growth, agricultural and resource issues, climate change adaptation, macroeconomic policy, income distribution, and maximum-entropy econometrics applied to estimation problems... VIEW SHARING OPTIONS Tyler Moran was a research analyst at the Peterson Institute from June 2013 to July 2016. He worked with Senior Fellows Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey J. Schott on issues related to corporate tax policy, international trade, and economic sanctions. He graduated with honors from the College of William and Mary in May 2013, where he majored in mathematics and economics. His prior research experience includes higher education issues in economics, as well as various topics in linear algebra. He assisted the authors of Bridging the Pacific: Toward Free Trade and Investment between China and the United States (2014).

[September 6, 2015 “Could China's Economic Troubles Spark a War? Ted Galen Carpenter, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and a contributing editor at The National Interest, is the author of ten books and more than 600 articles on international affairs.  His latest book, Perilous Partners: The Benefits and Pitfalls of America’s Alliances with Authoritarian Regimes, will be published by the Cato Institute later this month. The National Interest, http://nationalinterest.org/feature/could-chinas-economic-troubles-spark-war-13784]

Ben Blanchard and David Brunnstrom, 1-24-2017, "China says will protect South China Sea sovereignty," Reuters, http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1572M4 David Brunnstrom Correspondent, U.S. Asia Policy, Reuters Washington. Previously NATO and EU correspondent in Brussels; before that all over Asia. Highlighted portion cites Mira Rapp-Hooper: Dr. Mira Rapp-Hooper is a Senior Fellow with the Asia-Pacific Security Program at CNAS. She is formerly a Fellow with the CSIS Asia Program and Director of the CSIS Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative. Her expertise includes Asia security issues, deterrence, nuclear strategy and policy, and alliance politics. She was previously a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Dr. Rapp-Hooper’s academic writings have appeared in Political Science Quarterly, Security Studies,and Survival. Her policy writings have appeared in The National Interest, Foreign Affairs, and The Washington Quarterly, and her analysis has been featured inThe New York Times, The Washington Post, and on NPR and the BBC, among others. Dr. Rapp-Hooper is was the Asia Policy Coordinator for the 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign. She was a Foreign Policy Interrupted Fellow, and is a David Rockefeller Fellow of the Trilateral Commission and an Associate Editor with the International Security Studies Forum. She holds a B.A. in history from Stanford University and an M.A., M.Phil., and Ph.D. in political science from Columbia University.

Jane Perlez and Chris Buckley, 1-24-2017, "Trump Injects High Risk Into Relations With China," New York Times, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/24/world/asia/trump-us-china-trade-trans-pacific-partnership.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0 Jane Perlez is a long time foreign correspondent for The New York Times currently serving as Chief Diplomatic Correspondent in China where she is writing about China's role in the world, and the competition between the United States and China, particularly in Asia. Ms. Perlez arrived in Beijing in February 2012 to take up the newly created post. Ms. Perlez won the Pulitzer Prize in 2009 for coverage of the war against the Taliban and al Qaeda in Pakistan and Afghanistan, a lead member of the group of New York Times reporters included in the prize for international reporting that year.[1][2] At the start of her career as a foreign correspondent, Ms. Perlez was a Pulitzer finalist for coverage of the famine in Somalia, and the dispatch of American forces.

David Griffiths (independent consulting analyst who specializes in international aspects of confidence, cooperation, and capacity building, with a particular focus on maritime and coastal zone issues. Former Canadian naval officer and naval adviser to the Middle East Peace Process.) July 2010 [U.S.-China Maritime Confidence Building, CHINA MARITIME STUDIES INSTITUTE U.S. NAVAL WAR COLLEGE Newport, Rhode Island, p. 2, loghry]

Patrick M. Cronin (senior advisor and senior director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Previously, he was the director of the Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) at National Defense University) 2015 [“The United States, China, and Cooperation in the South China Sea” in Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea Jing Huang & Andrew Billo editors p. 157-8, loghry]

Gregory Kulacki (China Project Manager in the UCS Global Security Program) May 2016 [“The Risk of Nuclear War with China: A Troubling Lack of Urgency” online @ http://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/attach/2016/05/Nuclear-War-with-China.pdf, loghry]

Gompert 16

Gompert, David C., M.P.A., Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University; B.S. in engineering, United States Naval Academy, Astrid Cevallos and Cristina L. Garafola, M.A. in international relations and international economics, Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced and International Studies; Certificate in Chinese and American studies, Hopkins-Nanjing Center; B.A. in international relations and Chinese, Hamilton College, 2016 (“War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation,” RAND, Available Online at http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1140.html) RMT 

Bloomberg 1/25

Bloomberg, 1-25-2017, "Trump Has 1.3 Billion Reasons Not to Pick a Fight With China," https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-01-25/trump-has-1-3-billion-reasons-not-to-pick-a-big-fight-with-china Bloomberg News January 25, 2017, 3:00 PM CST January 26, 2017, 2:28 AM CST

Gregory Coutaz (PhD Candidate in the International Doctoral Program in Asia-Pacific Studies at National Chengchi University in Taipei, Taiwan) 2015 [“China, Confidence-Building Measures, and the South China Sea Peace Initiative” South China Sea Think Tank • Issue Briefings, 5, online @ http://www.scstt.org/Publications/Issue-Briefings-2015-5-Coutaz.pdf, loghry]

Zhao 15 — Zhao, expert on China’s foreign policy and diplomacy, runs a program that examines the development of China’s public diplomacy at Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, 2016 (Zhao Kejin, QandA, “China’s National Security Commission,” July 14th, Available Online at http://carnegieendowment.org/2015/07/14/china-s-national-security-commission-pub-60637) RMT

Pape 14 [Robert A., Pape Professor of Political Science Director of the Chicago Project on Security and Terrorism University of Chicago, 2014 (“Establishing a Workable US-China Hotline (CHILINK),” University of Chicago, April 30th, Available Online at http://d3qi0qp55mx5f5.cloudfront.net/cpost/i/docs/Pape_Policy_Memo.pdf) RMT 

Reuters 16

Reuters Editorial, 7-25-2016, "U.S. praises confidence-building measures with Chinese military," Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-usa-rice-idUSKCN10514Y