18.104.22.168.Entry and Exit/Transition Strategy (use common entry/exit strategy) 74
5.3.5.Local Considerations 74
6.Management Considerations and Gap Analysis 76
22.214.171.124.Personnel Requirements 76
126.96.36.199.Assessment and Analysis 77
188.8.131.52.Design, Monitoring and Evaluation 78
184.108.40.206.Human Resource Unit 79
220.127.116.11.Program Logistics 85
18.104.22.168.Information Technology and Telecommunications 86
22.214.171.124.Staff Safety 87
126.96.36.199.Information Management 91
7.Action Plan 93
This EPP was developed by CARE Sudan Emergency Response Team (ERT) during the EPP workshop on February 17-21, 2008. The ERT has identified three highest disaster risk scenarios and developed a range of CARE mitigation and response measures in response to these scenarios.
Scenario 1: Due to the shortfall of the main rain season in year 2007 which contributed to low food production, further this aggravated by lack of free access to productive lands as a result of the continued conflict and war, low acceptance of the UN peace keeping forces by the populace, fighting between fragmented factions and GoS and border tensions and deterioration of humanitarian operations space there will be internal and external displacement, epidemic, lack of basic social services, environmental resource damage, loss of livelihoods, lack of individual and household security, malnutrition, food shortage, etc in South, West and North Darfur now and through the year 2008 and beyond.
Total number of affected population 4.5 million people of which 2.5 million are living in IDP camps (Source Darfur Humanitarian Profile No. 29)
Number of affected population in CARE working areas: 1,749,231 people
Women (% of affected pop.): 30% are women population
Scenario 2: As a result of heavy rainy season in Jun–October in South Kordofan which will cause floods in Southern and Eastern Jeble’s, Kadugli County and Locality and Talodi and Abu Jebha localities? People will be displaced due to the floods in search more secure places and roads will not be accessible, crops will be destroyed causing food insecurity. In addition the escalating tribal conflict due to political affiliations and dispute over land, livestock and water, most likely to affect Abyei, Lagawa, El-Sounoul, Dilling, Meiram, Muglad, Higlig and Karasana will cause displacement of people to the larger town in Kadugli, Dilling, En-nuhud and El Obeid.
Total number of affected population 500,000 people
Number of affected population in CARE working areas: 100,000 people
Children (% of affected pop.): 48% (48,000)
Women (% of affected pop.): 32% (32,000)
Scenario 3: Due to reduced and change in the cycle of rainfall in North Kordofan the rain season from Jul-Oct in year 2007 was below the average. As a result the food production was not good in most of the rural areas of the state which will cause significant amount food shortage for rural people and lack of water both for human and livestock. In addition assets of people will deplete, loss of income, malnutrition, increased morbidity and mortality, displacement for other income opportunities/survival, increased food & water prices, cattle prices decreases, as people sell cattle to survive and cattle are not in the healthiest state, school attendance is affected, poor nutritional food as substitute. Also there will be significant effect on livestock pasture and water and health.
Total number of affected population: 500,000 people (Rural) and 1,000,000 (indirectly affected in Urban)