Relations impacts and cp’s
Turkey-Greece relations good: NATO cohesion
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- A2: relations with Turkey Key- Middle East/Balkans
- US-Turkey relations Bad- Democracy (Mid East)
Turkey-Greece relations good: NATO cohesionGreece-Turkey conflict hurts NATO cohesionUslu 03 (Nasuh, “The Turkish-American relationship between 1947 and 2003: The History of a Distinctive Alliance”, pg 282)Turkish-Greek disagreements on the Aegean, the Cyprus question, and the Turkish minority in the Western Thrace did not only cause headaches for Turkish rulers but also concerned the Western powers. The eruption of a serious fight between the two members of NATO might harm the cohesion of the Western alliance and might open the way to further conflicts inside the boundaries of the West. Turkish rulers argued in this matter that if Turkey was left outside the Western integration process, the possibility of solving Turkish-Greek problems might decrease with serious repercussions for the Western security. They also worried that their problems with Greece might hurt their relations with Western powers. Protecting their interests in the Aegean and Cyprus and not alienating their Western allies at the same was a difficult goal, which they needed to reach. A2: relations with Turkey Key- Middle East/BalkansGreece Solves middle east and BalkansBorowiec 05[Andrew Borowiec, staff writer for the Washington Times, “Greece expects closer ties with U.S.” 4/5/05, Lexis]According to the Greek press, the Washington visit established a "warm personal relationship" between Miss Rice and Mr. Molyviatis, prompting hopes for closer future cooperation. Official Greek sources said the government of Prime Minister Costas Karamanlis is prepared to adapt itself "as far as possible" to U.S. foreign policy objectives in the Balkans and in the Middle East. Mr. Molyviatis praised "the American initiative to foster and encourage the expansion of democracy and freedom in the world." In talks with Miss Rice and National Security Adviser Stephen J. Hadley, Mr. Molyviatis apparently also conveyed a message from Greek-Cypriot President Tassos Papadopoulos, who opposes further involvement "by foreigners" in efforts to solve the Cyprus problem. Political contacts between the two Cypriot communities have been suspended since the Greek-Cypriot rejection last year of the latest United Nations' plan to end the division of the east Mediterranean island. US-Turkey relations Bad- Democracy (Mid East)Turkey Relations Kill Middle East Democratic ModelingBagci & Kardas 03 [Hüseyin Bagci and Saban Kardas, Middle East Technical University, “Post-September 11 Impact: The Strategic Importance of Turkey Revisited” 5/12/03, http://www.eusec.org/bagci.htm] Yet the argument that Turkey could be a role model for Islamic world is also controversial in some aspects. First, Turkish ambitions in this direction are not new and we have enough evidence to judge how they are perceived in other parts of the Islamic world. Turks themselves are proud of being the only secular country in the Islamic world; and from time to time, Turkey is offered as a role model from the outside as well. Yet, it is also equally true that Turkey's perception of itself as a model could not go beyond being an illusion, and those Western ideas promoted by Turkey have hardly penetrated into other Muslim societies. Arab countries' criticism of the secular Turkish model, and other problems dominating Turkish-Arab relations are no secret. In this sense, any fundamental shift in the perceptions of other Muslim societies, which would ease the objections to adapting a Turkish style system, cannot be observed. To the contrary, considering the growing anti-American feelings it is hard to expect that such a role for Turkey would be welcomed. Moreover, American way of dealing with terror through primarily military means or through supporting the existing non-democratic regimes in the Islamic world may hinder the burgeoning reformist movements in those countries and set fallbacks to the natural transformation of those societies, with a result that radicalism in the Islamic world could be given a new impetus. In this sense, Turkey's attempts to carry the Western values into the region might even widen the existing gap between Turkey and other Islamic societies. Democracy is critical to preventing extinction Larry Diamond, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, 95 [“Promoting Democracy in the 1990s”]
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